Rorschach

Momentum Swing Trading. Public journal. Daily watchlists.
Setups graded, rejects included. Not advice. никакого риска, никакого шампанского

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

Since I started posting watchlists on Sept 8, 22 names have made the cut. Here's every one of them marked to market — best to worst. No cherry-picking.

$ABCL +21.7%
$IOVA +18.9%
$NTSK +17.1%
$TXG +16.0%
$PGEN +14.5%
$OKTA +13.4%
$HELP +13.2%
$PARR +6.9%
$BE +6.6%
$AGEN +5.2%
$TGTX +4.6%
$RNG +2.8%
$SGMT +2.7%
$STLN +1.7%
$TEAM −0.1%
$OMER −0.8%
$BMNR −1.3%
$SBET −2.0%
$FEIM −2.0%
$ATEC −2.8%
$NESR −3.9%
$PLSE −6.6%

14 green, 8 red.
Group average: +5.4% | Group median: +4.6%
Nasdaq same period: -0.3% | S&P 500 same period: -0.68%

One caveat before anyone screenshots this: these are watchlist-date returns, not trade returns. A name on the list is a name being watched, not a name being held.

Thread below, one post per name, what the setup was and what happened.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

NO SET UP ON ANY OF THESE! $AMD $INTC $ARM

$AMD's already up 9%+ to fresh ATH, $INTC +13.9%, $ARM +14.5%, same sector-wide vertical everyone's chasing today. Market cap comparisons to JPMorgan don't create a level, and correlated names all ripping together is the correlation cap situation, not three separate opportunities.

None of it has a pullback to buy or a tight stop to use, it's the news being priced in real-time, not a trade.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$INTC That CEO buy at ~92 actually marked the low, and it played out, base built for two months, cleared the 108-110 shelf, now at 122 up 13% on the day.

Fair callout, not hindsight. But nothing to enter here, vertical breakout, no pullback, the setup was the reclaim of that shelf, not chasing the 13% day.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$META NO CURRENT SETUP!

This trade's already done. 800c on Sep 18 off the weekly breakout was the actual call, and it printed.

Posting the gladiator gif at 4x now is a victory lap, not a fresh entry. META's up 9%+ vertical off that breakout with zero pullback, nothing to buy or sell here today.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$GLW - NO SETUP!

The gap fill call was legit, price actually did what the levels said. But "another easy money opportunity" now, at 159, up 12%+ from the call with no pullback? That's marketing the win, not a new setup. The trade was the entry at 142; this post is the highlight reel.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$GLW NO SETUP!

The gap fill call was legit, price actually did what the levels said. But "another easy money opportunity" now, at 159, up 12%+ from the call with no pullback? That's marketing the win, not a new setup. The trade was the entry at 142; this post is the highlight reel.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$CRWV $NBIS

+4.6% and +2.3% doesn't undo the charts, $CRWV 's still inside the same 80-90 chop, this move barely gets it off the bottom of the range.

$NBIS at 228 is still mid-range in the same 210-230 box it's been stuck in for weeks. Green candles, not setups, neither's broken anything yet.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$ARM This one held up. The base call was Sep 18 at ~228, days before the move, that's actually a setup called in advance.

But "join the team" is selling the entry after it already ran 15% to 316 with no pullback. The setup was posted a week ago at the base; this screenshot is the outcome, not something to buy into now.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$ARM Consolidation call was right, it based for weeks off the June low and just cleared the DTL clean, straight through 280 to 315 on nearly triple volume. Nailed the setup. Not chasing +12.8% vertical with no pullback though; the entry was the trendline break, this is the reward.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

@ProblemSniper $MSTR Called it clean, 154 held, base built, break confirmed, right at that first level now with room to 191. This one's structured, not hindsight.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$AMD Fair, the trendline break call landed and the target got hit (575-600 → now 610). Actual correct process, not hindsight.

But there is NO SETUP now. It's already 9% past the point where anyone can enter, target's been overshot with no pullback to lean on. Good trade, closed trade, not a new one.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$META Yeah, because that DTL got broken back at ~680 weeks ago, this move isn't news to anyone who was actually watching the level.

Calling 800c "the trade" from a downtrend line that's already been invalidated multiple times isn't foresight, it's a lucky ticket after the fact. The real setup was the base-and-break above 680; framing it as calling the exact top-tick explosion is just repackaging hindsight as a call.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$MSFT $AAPL $AVGO WHAT DO YOU EXPECT?!

None of these have the range to do anything. MSFT's chopping a tight 490-500 box, AAPL's grinding up slow with no volatility to speak of, AVGO's basing sideways 345-360.

Low ADR names don't do "absolutely nothing" by accident, they do it because there's nothing to trigger yet. No setup in any of the three, wake yourself up and check a scanner for names that actually qualify.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$META - "Stuck between 550-680" and it just broke straight through 700 on a 6.9% gap. That IS the range breakout, fundamentals aside, this is the move out of the year-long chop everyone's been waiting for.

But at 711, up 6.9% vertical with no pullback, it's already extended, the setup was the break of 680, not chasing it here. $700 target hit before the post even went up.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$SPCX - Chart disagrees with the doom comparison, this isn't "kinda levelized," it's a clean uptrend since the August low, higher highs, higher lows, each pullback to the rising 10/20 EMA got bought.

That's been the repeatable setup for weeks. Right now though, it's pushing to fresh highs with no pullback sitting there, the trade was the last dip to ~150, not chasing 158 on the target-inching post.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$GLW - This actually worked out.

Dip to 142, reversal off it, filled the gap and pushed to 158 exactly as drawn. Fair credit. But posting the "before/after" after it's already 5%+ into the fill isn't a setup callout anymore, it's a highlight reel.

Nothing tight to enter now, you're buying the top of the reversal, not the gap.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$SOXX

By the time this posts, the argument already won, $SOXX ripped through the 50dma and that DTL both, up almost 4% to 554, clean break not a 6th fail.

But it's not a fresh entry anymore: hourly's vertical off 520, no pullback to lean on. The setup was the break; the trade now is waiting for it to come back and hold above that old resistance turned support.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$NET

That 5R chop resolved, this is a different day. Daily's in a clean uptrend, and today's the breakout: gapped and ran straight through the 320-335 chop zone to fresh highs on real expansion, no pullback yet.

The setup was back at that 318 pivot; now it's up 6.5% and extended. Nothing to lean on here except letting it come back to test the breakout zone.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

@1ChartMaster Bro, get into compound lifting. It doesn't have to be that way. There is a better life.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$ASTS - No set up here. Fair on the shape, descending triangle, compressing into 63-64, but hourly's chopping 58-63 with no push through that level yet, just today's bounce off the lower end.

"1-2 days" is a guess, not a trigger. Actual setup is the break above 63-64 with volume; until then it's a watchlist name, not a trade.

[Rorschach @Rorschach_MST]

$META - NO SETUP. This is a clean uptrend off the July base, but a 6.67% vertical gap straight through the recent 660-680 shelf is the move already happening, not an entry into it.

No pullback, no tight stop above 700. Muse having the timeline doesn't give you a level; let it come back to the breakout zone before there's a trade.