$1,000 GIVEAWAY ⚽️
Time to kick off our World Cup partnership with D Energy!
To enter, simply follow @MyriadMarkets + @denergychain, Like, Repost and Comment who you think will win the #FIFAWorldCup.
10 Winners announced Monday, July 20, $100 each.
If you want to know what to watch for in tonight's Pokal final, go back and look at the April league game. Bayern won 4-2, and the way they did it tells you almost everything about the matchup.
In possession Bayern basically built in a 3-1. Both center-backs plus Kimmich dropping into the back line, and then the fullbacks tucking inside into the halfspaces instead of hugging the touchline. That inside movement did the real damage: it pulled Stuttgart's defenders centrally, stretched their back four wide, and left the channels behind it wide open. Whenever the VfB press crept forward, Bayern just chipped it over the top into that space. Kane and the wide runners kept arriving.
The clever bit was that they didn't always go straight for the throat. Out wide they'd often kill the momentum, pull the ball back, then send a fresh runner diagonally in behind from a central position. Davies and Stanišić both kept breaking into those gaps to open new angles. Early chips one minute, delayed runs the next, so you could never settle on one thing to defend.
Stuttgart weren't passive about it. Against the high press they went long early and loaded up the right with Leweling and Führich, with Vagnoman shoved straight into 1v1s against Davies, trying to skip Bayern's first line and turn that high defensive line against itself. It worked in patches. The problem came after half-time: they dropped the line deeper to cut out the runs in behind, which did the job, but they lost all their press height and just handed Bayern time to build instead. Pick your poison.
Which is what makes tonight interesting. Hoeneß has gone to a back three, a pretty direct answer to that halfspace leak from April. So the whole game probably hinges on one question: does the extra body in the middle finally hold the depth, or do Bayern's inverted shape and those chipped balls find the channels one more time?
I still put my money on Bayern.
I get all of this and it seems $fun, but why do people go through all these lengths instead of playing a real game with players, countries, fantasy football layer etc.
Just sign up to @sportfun (using my code https://t.co/KoLz25cZ4G) and buy the players you want to field. Earn rewards. Strengthen your team.
The World Cup is just a few weeks away and this @base ecosystem deserves to be watched:
In the past 48h I've watched @Pitch_ERC launch, get sniped, get critiqued, get tested, and absorb all of it
The largest sporting event in the world is 3 weeks away. 48 nations, thousands of players, 3 host countries, the first 48-team tournament in history. The global attention economy is about to collapse into one month
Pitch World Cup launched three weeks before that event with a self-contained on-chain economy: one base currency ($PITCH), 48 country tokens, 144 player tokens, all paired on @uniswap v4 hooks, all settling on @Base
This is the kind of asymmetry I look for towards the World Cup: a working product, deflationary by design, and built around catalysts. Most crypto bets either have product-market fit and no catalyst, or catalysts and no product: this has both
$PITCH is the base, backed by a $1.5M ETH/PITCH @Uniswap v4 pool
Every trade on its ecosystem burns 5% $PITCH, 5% on every country pack. Around $50,000 PITCH already permanently removed from circulation in the first 24 hours, and it's still weeks away from the WC
48 country tokens sit on bonding curves paired against PITCH. They were distributed via 48,000 packs at launch, each pack costing 1 PITCH. 95% of every PITCH paid for those packs sits in the curves as real liquidity, 5% was burned
144 player tokens (Messi, Mbappé, Bellingham, Yamal, Salah, Haaland, Son, every star you would want) sit on bonding curves paired against their own country tokens
Each player is minted when someone burns 1 country token to open a player pack. Player tokens have hard max supplies: 500 for the top player, 1,500 for the captain, 2,500 for the 'rookie'
Day one had 200,000 transactions, $30,000 of PITCH burned forever, and $600,000 $PITCH in 24-hour volume: the product works, and there's real demand
I'm positioned across all three layers:
- a PITCH bag I'm holding through the tournament
- country tokens in the curves I think will run hottest (France, Spain, Argentina, England, Japan?)
- and a small player-token basket weighted to the BEST tier across the same countries
I'm not chasing pumps, I'm not selling early, I'm letting the catalyst stack work, because every one of them adds buy pressure and every one of them burns more $PITCH
This is one of the cleaner asymmetric setups I've seen this cycle:
Working product, real users, verifiable transparency, real demand. A catalyst stack with dates, three weeks before the largest tournament on the planet kicks off
@Pitch_ERC
Ligue 1's final matchday. Nantes already relegated. Score 0:0. Nantes ultras storm the Stade de la Beaujoire with pyro, projectiles, and masks. Referee Stéphanie Frappart consults the LFP rep. Match definitively abandoned. No make up game possible. Season's over.
Polymarket's Draw market still trades at 18¢. The resolution rules read in plain English: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make up game, this market will resolve to Yes." Draw is Yes. By a strict reading, this should trade at 85¢ or higher.
So why is it still cheap? Because the LFP doesn't simply "cancel" matches. They have history.
How the LFP usually handles this:
Bastia vs Lyon (April 2017). Home fans invaded the pitch twice, attacked Lyon's goalkeeper Anthony Lopes. Match abandoned at halftime. LFP commission ruling weeks later: Bastia forfeit the match. But crucially, the LFP did not impose a 3:0 scoreline. They just declared the game lost.
Nice vs Marseille (August 2021). Payet hit by bottle, threw it back, fans invaded, Marseille's fitness coach punched a fan. Match abandoned. Two weeks later, LFP commission decision: replay the match behind closed doors on neutral ground. Nice docked 2 points (1 suspended). The replay actually happened in Troyes two months later.
Lyon vs Marseille (November 2021). Payet hit by bottle again, 5 minutes in. Match abandoned after 2 hours of chaos. LFP decision December 8: replay behind closed doors at Lyon's Groupama Stadium. Lyon docked 1 point.
The pattern: when a Ligue 1 match gets abandoned, the LFP almost always either orders a replay or imposes a forfeit without setting a scoreline. They rarely declare a match simply "canceled."
Why this matters for @Polymarket
If the LFP orders Nantes to forfeit (most likely outcome based on precedent), there's no "Yes" or "No" winner in the first 90 minutes of play. The Toulouse wins market resolves No. The Draw market should resolve Yes by the cancellation clause. But UMA, Polymarket's resolver, has a history of choosing "spirit of the market" over literal rule reading.
Three possible outcomes:
1Strict rules: Draw resolves Yes at 18¢ → 85¢ trade
2LFP forfeits Nantes 0:3: Polymarket might treat that as a Toulouse win. Draw resolves No.
350/50 ambiguous resolution: UMA splits the difference.
The market at 18¢ is pricing in heavy uncertainty about how UMA interprets a Ligue 1 forfait. That's the edge. That's also why this is not a free trade.
UMA resolutions are unpredictable, and pricing in the gap between rules and resolver is exactly what makes this market interesting, not what makes it a buy.
Sources: LFP, Polymarket rules, Washington Post, ESPN.
You can now enable Claude to use your computer to complete tasks.
It opens your apps, navigates your browser, fills in spreadsheets—anything you'd do sitting at your desk.
Research preview in Claude Cowork and Claude Code, macOS only.
@notsoeasymoney Under some jurisdictional law yes, you‘d need to disclose every single post as paid. Haven‘t read into X terms and conditions though. Interesting edge case.
The Christmas Tournament once again shows me why @sportfun is superior to @Sorare . So many annoying DNPs or late subs due to rotations makes it just more fun to choose from a larger pool of players which all count together.
And I‘m mostly playing the Sorare free.
There is unrest in the Galactic
Senate. Several thousand solar
systems have declared their
intentions to leave the Republic.
This separatist movement,
under the leadership of the
mysterious Count Dooku, has
made it difficult for the limited
number of Jedi Knights to
maintain peace and order in
the galaxy.
At the height of uncertainty, Opensea launches their Wave 42069.
On Wednesday (12/17), you’ll be able to unlock your Wave 3 chest, reveal your Treasures and rewards, and receive your Wave 4 starter chest.
Between now and Wednesday, all trading activity will count towards your Wave 4 chest progress.