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[CoinForge @Realcoinforge]

🚨 SELL IN MAY AND WALK AWAY IS HAPPENING AGAIN NEXT MONTH.

Bitcoin has historically started dropping in May each year.

But this time, we are also getting a new Fed chair in May.

Powell's term has just ended, and Kevin Warsh is replacing him next month.

So, May has always been bearish, and a new Fed chair has also been bearish.

This year, we have both.

Brace for impact.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

@Xia__Sol Yup, only a matter of time at this point.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

@randgroup It's because you're still using GPT. Claude would give you a report on how to do it.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

@Jeremybtc That's where the money is made.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

@cryptorover Almost as if he forgets he is the President of an entire nation.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

Copper/Gold ratio looks ready to bottom.

The higher this ratio goes, fear disappears and liquidity conditions improves.

Tight down-trend that historically breaks with a MACD cross.

That cross is here right now.

Stay prepared.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

Tech stocks just saw their biggest valuation collapse since 2008.

S&P 500 Tech Forward P/E: ~38x → ~28x in months.

This isn't a dip. This is a regime change.

The Iran War didn't start a conflict.

It ended an era.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

$180 million worth of Bitcoin long positions have been liquidated in the last 24 hours.

Bears are in short-term control as these longs are being wiped.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

No, you did not meet with a Citadel intern.

No, he did not break down their entire model if they even have one.

He would owe up to $20 million in civil settlement.

Millions in criminal fines.

Likely years in prison.

Stupid tweet.

[Hanako @hanakoxbt]

a Citadel intern told me something at a party he probably shouldn't have

it was on a rooftop in brooklyn. i mentioned i trade prediction markets. he got quiet for a second.

"we have a model for that. it scores every contract on four factors. when all four align we enter. when any breaks we exit. that's it"

i asked what the four factors are.

he looked around. then said it fast like he was confessing.

"cross-market divergence. disposition coefficient. capital velocity. pair network correlation"

I didn't know what half of that meant. but i memorized it.

went home. 11pm. opened Claude.

"here are four scoring factors from a quant fund. build a terminal that runs all four on prediction markets"

Claude asked one question: "Where's the data?"

I sent him one repo: https://t.co/bDfn7TyVhG

86 million trades. every wallet. every entry. every outcome

three weeks later i'm sitting in my apartment watching a screen i barely understand print money.

the disposition meter alone changed everything. it measures how you exit - not how you enter.

top wallets capture 86% of winner value and cut losers at 12%.

everyone else captures 58% and holds losers to 41%.

same exact entries. the exits make it a completely different game.

capital velocity: 49x. every dollar gets recycled 49 times before the average trader recycles once.

the terminal found 42 pair correlations across 11 markets. when MSFT beats Q3 is priced at 80c but the model reads 93% - it enters. when the gap closes 2 hours later - it exits.

no opinions. no news. just four numbers that either align or don't.

his fund runs this with a floor of PhDs and $800M AUM.

my setup:
> Claude - $20/month
> VPS - $5/month
> poly_data repo - free
> Polymarket API - free

$25/month. no team. no office. no Bloomberg.

280 trades so far. 70% win rate. $800 seed.

four bots splitting the work:
pulse_alpha +$299.
arb_hunter +$558.
trend_rider +$337.
cal_engine +$719.

+$11,514 total.

copytrade here: https://t.co/PTZuvewZE6

he texted me last week.

"delete everything i told you"

too late.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

This chart will make you go buy Bitcoin right now.

ISM PMI expansion → TGA drain → Bitcoin bull run.

The same pattern during every bull run.

The same pattern is here now.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

Very powerful framing.

Bitcoin doesn’t need to hit trend.
It just needs to keep raising its floor.

Right now:
Price: $73.7K
Floor: $60.2K
Trend: $128.1K

That’s only +22.5% above the floor, but −42.5% below trend.

If the floor keeps compounding:
~$82.5K in 1 year
~30% CAGR long term

The floor is strong.
R² = 0.9946
Low breach rate

Bitcoin doesn’t need hype.
Just steady compounding.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

Bitcoin above 73,000! 🎉

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

The same pattern that started the last altcoin season is slowly forming once again.

The Fed net liquidity consolidates before it expands.

It expands once the ISM PMI does.

Then altcoins run aggressively.

The PMI is now expanding.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

Our macro indicator has favored longs since 67,000.

Right now Bitcoin is trading near 73,000.

Macro drives markets.

Also Bitcoin.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

https://t.co/DzYpS2VUle

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

The Bitcoin stage is literally set.

>The ISM PMI is expanding
>The RSI dipped below 30

What comes next is, historically, a massive Bitcoin rally.

You've been warned.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

Bitcoin long-term holders are buying aggressively.

This always happens yet people never take action.

Short-term holders sell, long-term holders buy.

The answer is crystal clear.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

The Russel-2000 is projecting a Bitcoin bull run.

The same pattern, every single cycle.

Russel breaks out → PMI expanding → BTC bull run.

The stage is literally set.

[Roth Talent Group @Rothtalentgroup]

Tariffs made prices of domestic and imported goods significantly more expensive.

Almost as if Trump should've listened to the economists.