🚨 WARNING: BITCOIN WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE NEXT 2-3 WEEKS
2014: Mt. Gox collapsed.
Bitcoin bottomed 3 weeks later.
2018: BitGrail collapsed.
Bitcoin bottomed 2 weeks later.
2022: FTX collapsed.
Bitcoin bottomed 2 weeks later.
2026 → BitMEX just shut down.
Bitcoin will bottom in 2-3 weeks.
Keep in mind:
I publicly called Bitcoin's $17K bottom in 2022.
Then I publicly called the $126K top in 2025.
The next call will be posted here first.
Follow and turn notifications on.
🧭I randomly stumbled over this post from October 7th 2026.
❗️ONE FREAKING DAY, ONLY ONE DAY AFTER the official price ATH at $126k (October 6th 2025) - yes, you are reading that again: ONE DAY - I stated that this indicator will show us THE $BTC macro regime change and it did!
🚨Today is your chance to take the deep dive into this metric. Lean back, take a sip of your favorite drink and get this metric into your brain! If you invest ten minutes of your time, you will know more than 98% in CT, bet?
EXPLANATION:
The Central Bank Liquidity Oscillator models global monetary liquidity as a normalized, composite time series, derived from balance sheet dynamics and financial system drains. It translates heterogeneous macroeconomic inputs into a bounded statistical signal, capturing the state and momentum of global liquidity conditions in reciprocity to Bitcoin.
1. Conceptual Foundation:
In macro-financial systems, liquidity can be approximated as the net availability of money and credit provided by central banks, adjusted for institutional absorption mechanisms.
2. Data Structure:
The model separates inputs into positive and negative liquidity vectors.
Expansion variables are:
- Federal Reserve total assets
- European Central Bank total assets
- Bank of Japan total assets
Drain variables are:
- Treasury General Account (TGA)
- Reverse Repo Facility (RRP)
This reflects a net liquidity balance, where some components inject capital while others remove it from circulation.
3. First Transformation (Delta Operator)
Rather than using absolute levels (which are non-stationary), the model applies a finite difference operator. This converts the system into a rate-of-change framework, emphasizing acceleration and deceleration rather than size.
4. Standardization: Z-Score Normalization ensures:
- comparability across heterogeneous series
- transformation into a dimensionless statistical space
- identification of deviations from equilibrium
5. Composite Liquidity Function
The standardized components are aggregated into a single function attached with this post.
6. Smoothing: Low-Pass Filtering
To reduce high-frequency noise, the model applies an exponential moving average. This introduces a temporal smoothing kernel, isolating structural trends from short-term volatility.
7. Nonlinear Bounding: Arctangent Transformation
To constrain extreme values, the oscillator compresses outliers and preserves relative order. This creates a bounded oscillator, suitable for cyclical interpretation.
8. Indicator Analysis
The oscillator revolves between the +86 and -80 thresholds, volatility-implied swings are normal. When analyzing the indicator, one ONLY focuses on the final swing after each halving.
Step 1: AFTER THE HALVING, GCBLO will rise above +86 (red level), marking the final top phase aka pure risk on liquidity-wise.
Step 2: When GCBLO goes BELOW the red level threshold after its post-halving run up, this marks the final cycle top for Bitcoin, at least in liquidity terms
Step 3: GCBLO quickly crashes below -80 (green level), this is the last warning and final exit opportunity before the bear market hits
Step 4: Liquidity-wise, when GCBLO crosses above the green -80 level, a new Bitcoin bull market has started every time. Sometimes, liquidity lags price in bull market entries (2019 entry)
9. Summary
The Central Bank Liquidity Oscillator formalizes global liquidity as:
- A weighted system of monetary variables
- Transformed into momentum space (Δ)
- Standardized via Z-scores
- Aggregated into a composite index
- Smoothed using EMA filtering
- Bounded through a nonlinear transformation
This results in a dimensionless, stationary, and cyclically interpretable signal, representing the evolving state of global liquidity conditions within a mathematically consistent framework that can be used to test the waters for liquidity behavior and therefore, for Bitcoin’s current situation.
🚨Today is July 24th 2026, and I herewith declare, considering this indicator perspective, that the bottom in $BTC is in - at least liquidity-wise. According to GCBLO, it's our time to RE-ENTRY - NFA!🚨
Chinese company Unitree reveal their "all terrain" wheeled robot.
The military potential for this technology is obvious.
Europe is so far behind China, its scary.
Tokenized cows just backed a farm loan on Brazil's stock exchange
Ten dairy cows in Paraná became the first tokenized livestock collateral on B3, Brazil's stock exchange, backing a loan worth about $19,400. Each cow carries a digital ID generated from AI sensor collars tracking its health in real time.
Banks usually cut up to 60% off livestock collateral because they can't verify an animal is even alive. Live monitoring removes that discount just as Brazil's farm bankruptcies have nearly quadrupled since 2023.
Cowmed already monitors 100,000 cows worth around $395M and projects a fifth could be pledged within two years, stretching RWA tokenization from T-bills into working farm animals.
BUFFETT JUST ISSUED A SERIOUS WARNING:👇📊
HE SAID GOVERNMENTS ALWAYS DESTROY THEIR OWN MONEY,
AND U.S. POLICY NOW SCARES HIM.
🇯🇵 BERKSHIRE IS MOVING $348B INTO THE JAPANESE YEN.
THE MAN WHO NEVER PANICS IS PREPARING FOR A DOLLAR FALL…
🚨 THIS CHART WILL CREATE THE NEXT BITCOIN MILLIONAIRES
The 2023-2025 cycle played out almost perfectly.
Now the 2026-2028 cycle is following the exact same roadmap.
Bookmark this chart and compare later.
Reminder: I publicly called Bitcoin's $17K bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025.
The next call will be posted here first.
Follow and turn notifications on.
Je suis tombé sur ce truc ce matin et j'ai explosé de rire tout seul devant mon écran.
Quelqu'un a transformé le carnet d'ordres du Bitcoin en jeu vidéo. Un vrai champ de bataille en 3D 🤯
Les acheteurs qui chargent d'un côté, les vendeurs de l'autre, les baleines qui débarquent comme des gros chars, les liquidations qui se font dégommer en direct sur le terrain.
Le pire c'est que c'est le vrai order book, en live. Et moi je suis là, à 8h du mat, à tourner la caméra pour regarder mes liquidations préférées se faire éclater.
Dix minutes de perdues et zéro regret.
C'est débile, c'est génial et je pouvais pas garder ça pour moi.
🚨 BREAKING: JAPAN JUST ENTERED PANIC MODE!!
🇯🇵 OVER ¥30,000,000,000,000.00 HAS BEEN WIPED OUT FROM THE JAPANESE STOCK MARKET IN 10 MINUTES.
HEDGE FUNDS ARE AGGRESSIVELY DUMPING ALL JAPANESE STOCKS AFTER THE YEN COLLAPSED.
THE GLOBAL MARKET CRASH IS JUST GETTING STARTED...
I warned you about this dump.
Bitcoin is now following the path to the market cycle bottom:
July → fakeout (90% finished)
August → dump to $50K
September → relief bounce
October → dump to $40K
November → market cycle bottom
December → next cycle begins
Everything is going according to plan.
Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 BREAKING
🇯🇵 BANK OF JAPAN WILL DUMP U.S. BONDS TODAY AT 7:50 PM ET!
LAST TIME, THEY SOLD ¥280,000,000,000 AND THE MARKET CRASHED 10% IN 3 HOURS.
TODAY, THEY ARE EXPECTED TO SELL OVER ¥1,000,000,000,000.
THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD FOR BITCOIN AND RISK ASSETS...
🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL
I've watched multiple full market cycles, but I've NEVER seen this kinda setup
More than $10 billion in longs sitting below the market.
If Bitcoin drops to $40,000, EVERYTHING gets wiped out.
And once those liquidations begin, the selling can feed itself.
→ Longs get liquidated.
→ Price dumps harder.
→ More longs get liquidated.
That is how a real cascade starts.
The same influencers who said, “The Bitcoin market cycle bottom is already in,” will get completely rekt.
But here is the part nobody wants to hear:
That will be the exact moment to buy.
Not now.
Not after another fake bounce.
Exactly when the market feels the most painful, brutal and completely hopeless.
Look at every previous Bitcoin cycle:
2018 → Bottom
2022 → Bottom
2026 → The same setup is forming again
Once that liquidity gets wiped out, the market cycle bottom will no longer be a question.
This is how real bottoms form.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I’ll post the exact moment I start loading spot.
🚨CHINA’S STATE-OWNED CONSTRUCTION BANK ANNOUNCES IT WILL FORCIBLY LIQUIDATE & CLOSE ALL GOLD & SILVER FUTURES POSITIONS ON JULY 24TH⚠️
H/t @oriental_ghost
🚨 BREAKING
INSIDERS JUST STARTED MASSIVELY DUMPING EVERYTHING EXCEPT OIL RIGHT BEFORE THE U.S. MARKET CLOSE.
EVERY SINGLE INSIDER IS SELLING BILLIONS NONSTOP:
0 BUYS. 1,887 SELLS. $14.97 BILLION IN VOLUME.
THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD FOR MARKETS...
🔗 Wimar.X (@DefiWimar)