Michael Collins

Traveler, Critical Thinker & Investment Enthusiast 🔸🐺🔸

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@TrendSpider Ya, kinda difficult to ignore the fair value gaps.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

The 1.7 billion was not new U.S. taxpayer money or a "gift" under the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA). It settled a decades-old legal dispute dating back to before the 1979 Iranian Revolution:

Iran had paid the U.S. $400 million (principal) in the 1970s via a Foreign Military Sales trust fund for military equipment (under the Shah) that was never delivered after the revolution and U.S. asset freeze.
The U.S. and Iran had been in arbitration at the Iran-U.S. Claims Tribunal over interest owed on that money for nearly 40 years.
The settlement included the $400 million principal + ~$1.3 billion in negotiated interest, totaling ~$1.7 billion. The interest came from the U.S. Judgment Fund (used for legal settlements against the government).

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@rupasubramanya If Canadians have it so good why are so many choosing emigrate to "developing" 2nd world countries?

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@rupasubramanya @FreedomStonks How can you trust anything the IMF says? The IMF would love to give Canada a massive loan someday, and privatize what's left of Canadian resources and essential services.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@jrauch64 Both parties serve the same masters. They may differ slightly on national and local cultural issues, but they are the same when it comes to foreign and economic policy.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@GalobalWatch @Megatron_ron Sitting ducks.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@Megatron_ron Difficult to sustain an attack on iran when all US bases in the region are destroyed. Seems like a very poor plan.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

Karen Hao is an AI expert, award-winning investigative journalist, and former reporter for The Wall Street Journal covering American and Chinese tech companies. She is also co-host of the podcast The Interface and freelances for publications like More Perfect Union and The Atlantic. Her latest book is the bestselling ‘EMPIRE OF AI: Inside The Reckless Race For Total Domination.’

https://t.co/aYDXDJlBr4

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

The power structure of world can be best described as a hierarchy of gangs, mobs and cartels, with the most powering being the western establishment. The power is not with elected officials or governments. The real power resides outside the government.
Trump has understood this for a long time, but was always rejected from this secret (high) society. This is why he ran for president in the first place. He wanted vengeance, but eventually was offered membership instead.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@bigbenjiyahu @GreatBusker @BenjaminNorton Canada outlawed slavery before you were born. This UN resolution also has provision for reparations. Most people don't think you should have to pay for the crimes of slavers from before your grandparents were born.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

The resolution also contain provisions for reparations. The US and Europe outlawed slavery many decades ago.

- Calls for reparations (or “reparatory justice”) as “a concrete step towards remedying historical wrongs” affecting Africans and people of African descent in the diaspora.

Supports broader frameworks like the African Union’s Decade of Action on Reparations and the Second International Decade for People of African Descent.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@TrendSpider Tesla is currently being rejected off its 200 MA, falling into a volume gap. More downside is coming. At current price Tesla is 1000% overpriced when using traditional valuation metrics. A major crash to 30-$60 is always possible.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@elliotrades The Iran war isn't even close the over.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@MustardMindset @coinbureau Elon mainly has billions of other people's' money to spend. This is the real flex.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

The SpaceX IPO will give Elon an additional $500 billion in net worth. Then the hemorrhaging of cash will begins. It took 10 years for Tesla to become profitable, and the stock is still overvalued by about 1000%. Under the current plans for SpaceX and xAI, I don't believe they will ever be profitable. For Elon, it doesn't matter. He will still get his trillion dollars.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@MartiniGuyYT SpaceX and and XAI will take the throne.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

Sounds like a good proposal on the surface, but many issues that might be categorized as American impact people globally which is why so many non-Americans offer opinions, or focus primarily on US issues. In terms of markets, people and influencers globally are investing on US exchanges.

Maybe this process can be administered fairly, but again we are entertaining the idea that AI and individuals can fairly make these decisions.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@ShadowOfCrypt_O @LynAldenContact Do nothing. Let the world speak.

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

@ChrisGoodwin79 @Grok, List the top 10 countries with the highest amount of money creation the past 20 years. Sort by highest. Where is Canada compared to all G20 countries?

[Michael Collins @RyahTrade]

Daily Momentum Stock Screener for medium to long-term buys. AI assisted with human instruction and oversight. $PLTR $CRWD $DDOG $IOT $ROKU $GWRE $BSY $SRAD $WIX $OMDA $NTGR $CGNT

$OMDA – Omada Health, Inc. – Price: $13.9
Recommendation: Strong buy | +61.5%

- Forward Guidance. Omada Health Q4 2025 earnings call summary and full-year results; FY2026 revenue guidance $312M–$322M (approx. 22% growth), adjusted EBITDA $7M–$15M with continued GLP-1 Flex platform expansion.

- Near to long-term risks: Recent 14.4% rally tied to first GAAP profit may face valuation compression if digital health adoption slows or competitive pressures in chronic care management intensify; reimbursement and regulatory shifts could impact margins.

- AI Specific Risks: Potential AI disruption in personalized health platforms noted in broader health-tech analyst commentary; integration risks and data privacy concerns under evolving AI healthcare regulations.

- Industry Specific Risks: HIPAA compliance burdens, reimbursement policy changes for digital therapeutics, and competition from larger enterprise health platforms in the Health Information Services space.

- Insider Trading – Recent planned sales under 10b5-1 by CFO Steven L. Cook (1,884 shares) and CEO Sean P. Duffy (multiple tranches); no notable buys reported.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
“Wall Street Analysts Believe Omada Health, Inc. (OMDA) Could Rally 59.53%: Here’s How to Trade”; “Why Omada Health (OMDA) Is Up 14.4% After First GAAP Profit And GLP-1 Flex Launch”. (Yahoo Finance summaries).

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$NTGR – NETGEAR, Inc. – Price: $22.06
Recommendation: Outperform | +66.3%

- Forward Guidance. NETGEAR Q4 2025 earnings beat with record margins; Q1 2026 revenue guidance $145M–$160M supported by enterprise expansion and strategic acquisitions; 2025 return to growth trajectory confirmed.

- Near to long-term risks: Memory component shortages projected into 2026 could constrain supply; broader networking market cyclicality and macro spending caution may pressure revenue.

- AI Specific Risks: Limited direct AI exposure; potential competitive displacement if AI-driven network optimization tools from larger vendors accelerate adoption.

- Industry Specific Risks: Rapid technology obsolescence in consumer/enterprise networking hardware, supply-chain volatility, and intense competition from global hardware providers.

- Insider Trading – Recent executive sales (e.g., Pramod Badjate and others) primarily planned or tax-related; no significant buys reported.

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$GWRE – Guidewire Software, Inc. – Price: $156.81
Recommendation: Buy | +49.3%

- Forward Guidance. Q2 FY26 earnings beat; full-year outlook supported by AI-enhanced insurance platform adoption with earnings date June 2, 2026; analysts note 47.46% upside potential.

- Near to long-term risks: Momentum loss in Q4 after strong run; multiple compression amid AI hype cycle could weigh on valuation if execution slips.

- AI Specific Risks: AI hopes driving story shifts but risk of overhype and integration delays in core insurance software.

- Industry Specific Risks: Long sales cycles and dependency on insurance industry digital transformation spending; competition from legacy core systems providers.

- Insider Trading – Net executive selling reported in recent months; no major buys identified.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
“Wall Street Analysts See a 47.46% Upside in Guidewire Software (GWRE): Can the Stock Really Move This High?”; “5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Guidewire Software Q4 Earnings Call”. (Yahoo Finance).

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$CGNT – Cognyte Software Ltd. – Price: $8.15
Recommendation: Buy | +50.6%

- Forward Guidance. Q3 FY26 earnings beat (+0.03 vs +0.01 est.); Q4 FY26 earnings call scheduled March 25, 2026; steady security analytics demand outlook.

- Near to long-term risks: Limited analyst coverage may lead to volatility; broader software spending caution could slow revenue momentum.

- AI Specific Risks: AI-enhanced analytics competition risk in security software if larger players accelerate feature parity.

- Industry Specific Risks: Cybersecurity budget constraints and rapid evolution of threat landscape requiring constant R&D investment.

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$SRAD – Sportradar Group AG – Price: $19.53
Recommendation: Strong buy | +48.4%

- Forward Guidance. Q4 2025 record revenue; FY2026 revenue growth target 23–25% with FIFA integrity renewal extending data advantage.

- Near to long-term risks: Earnings miss on estimates in Q4 despite revenue beat; sports betting market cyclicality tied to major events.

- AI Specific Risks: Data advantage leverage via AI but risk of competitive data analytics tools eroding edge.

- Industry Specific Risks: Regulatory changes in sports gambling and dependency on major league contracts.

- Insider Trading – Executive sales noted; no major buys reported.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
“Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Strategic ...”. (Yahoo Finance).

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$DDOG – Datadog, Inc. – Price: $129.23
Recommendation: Strong buy | +41.2%

- Forward Guidance. Market rally noted with 3% gain on macro comments; analysts highlight leadership in observability with ongoing land-and-expand motion.

- Near to long-term risks: Slowing growth and competitive pressures in cloud observability sector.

- AI Specific Risks: AI-driven observability tools increasing competition and potential margin pressure from feature parity.

- Industry Specific Risks: Cloud spending volatility and intense competition from established monitoring platforms.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
“Datadog (DDOG) has recently experienced a market-wide rally... However, concerns remain regarding its slowing growth and competitive pressures in the cloud observability sector.” (Yahoo Finance).

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$WIX – Wix_com Ltd. – Price: $89.46
Recommendation: Neutral | +38.5%

- Forward Guidance. Revenue growth guidance reaffirmed with $2B buyback and AI investment push; base growth highlighted in earnings.

- Near to long-term risks: Recent rally leaves less attractive setup per downgrades; AI disruption potential noted.

- AI Specific Risks: AI investment push but risk of disruption to core website builder moat from generative tools.

- Industry Specific Risks: E-commerce platform competition and dependency on small-business spending cycles.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
(WIX) Is Up 29.4% After Unveiling $2 Billion Buyback And AI Investment Push”; “Baird downgrades Wix, says recent rally leaves ‘less attractive’ setup”. (Yahoo Finance).

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$ROKU – Roku, Inc. – Price: $97.81
Recommendation: Buy (individual) | +29.3%

- Forward Guidance. Q4 FY25 phenomenal results with accelerating sales/profits/cash; higher-margin platform revenue shift driving EPS/revenue growth.

- Near to long-term risks: Mixed performance with recent 2.7% decline despite positive projections; overvaluation concerns post-earnings.

- AI Specific Risks: Limited direct exposure; potential ad-tech AI competition affecting platform revenue.

- Industry Specific Risks: Streaming market fragmentation and dependency on advertising cyclicality.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
“Roku Earnings: Phenomenal Results and Outlook, With Accelerating Sales, Profits, and Cash Generation”; “Roku Earnings: Excellent Results Don’t Merit Selloff, Even as We See Shares as Overvalued”. (Yahoo Finance).

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$IOT – Samsara Inc. – Price: $33.2
Recommendation: Strong buy | +33.0%

- Forward Guidance. 29.8% ARR growth last year; projected 21.8% revenue increase next 12 months with 34.9% upside potential per consensus.

- Near to long-term risks: Earnings estimates moving higher but IoT hardware cyclicality may pressure margins.

- AI Specific Risks: IoT data analytics AI leverage but competition risk from integrated AI platforms.

- Industry Specific Risks: Fleet/asset management market dependency on capital spending cycles.

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$BSY – Bentley Systems, Incorporated – Price: $38.23
Recommendation: Hold/Equal-Weight | +26.0%

- Forward Guidance. 2026 guidance raised with recurring software income boost; services rebound expected.

- Near to long-term risks: Target lowered by Piper Sandler amid services timing uncertainty.

- AI Specific Risks: Infrastructure software AI integration potential but slow adoption risk.

- Industry Specific Risks: Long project cycles in engineering/construction software vertical.
Supporting Analyst Quotes:

“Why Bentley Systems (BSY) Is Up 19.7% After Raising 2026 Guidance...”; “Piper Sandler Lowers Bentley Systems (BSY) Target, Sees Services Rebound in 2026”. (Yahoo Finance).

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$PLTR – Palantir Technologies Inc. – Price: $160.84
Recommendation: Strong buy | +16.0%

- Forward Guidance. Pentagon Maven AI designated permanent program significantly enhancing government revenue outlook.

- Near to long-term risks: Valuation adjustments amid broader market pressures despite growth.

- AI Specific Risks: Heavy reliance on AI platform adoption; regulatory and ethical scrutiny on government AI contracts.

- Industry Specific Risks: Government contract concentration and long sales cycles in defense/tech services.

- Insider Trading – Heavy planned selling by major holders (e.g., Thiel-related); no notable buys.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
“Palantir Technologies (PLTR) surged 6.78% after the Pentagon designated its Maven AI system as a permanent military program...”. (Yahoo Finance).

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$CRWD – CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. – Price: $413.31
Recommendation: Strong buy | +18.7%

- Forward Guidance. Optimistic growth potential despite valuation adjustments; RBC Capital reiterates Outperform with $550 target.

- Near to long-term risks: Broader market pressures and cybersecurity incident fallout potential.

- AI Specific Risks: AI-powered threat detection competition accelerating; false-positive or model drift risks.

- Industry Specific Risks: High dependency on enterprise cybersecurity budgets and threat landscape evolution.

- Insider Trading – Broad executive selling reported; no major buys.

Supporting Analyst Quotes:
“Latest Rating Date 3/17/2026 Analyst RBC Capital Rating Action Reiterates Rating Outperform Price Action Maintains Price Target 550 -> 550”; “Analysts are optimistic about the company's growth potential despite recent valuation adjustments amid broader market pressures.” (Yahoo Finance).