Wisdom

@nickshirleyy ended Tim Walz's political career 💫

[Sherri Unfiltered™ @FFT1776]

🚨Sen Mike Lee confirmed on Glenn Beck:

JD Vance can walk into the Senate ANY TIME he wants and immediately take the Presiding Officer chair.

As VP, he’s the constitutional ‘President of the Senate’, he doesn’t need permission.

JD VANCE, make your mark, the Country needs you!

[Jeremy Padawer @JeremyCom]

The odds of Nithya Raman receiving 40% of the vote yesterday are “LESS LIKELY than picking ONE GRAIN OF SAND on Earth dozens of times in a row.” I believe elections tend to be fair. Someone help me make sense of math that seems impossible…

I ASKED CHATGPT -
“What is the statistical likelihood that 40% of votes from a “new batch” of ballots go to a candidate who received 24% of votes from all other batches that represented 95% of counted electorate. Give me a % odds.”

The Answer (Part 1) -
“Assuming the candidate’s “true” share is 24%, the odds that a random new batch lands at 40% or higher depends on batch size:
50 ballots
0.88%
100 ballots
0.028%
200 ballots
0.00004%
500 ballots
~0.00000000000018%
1,000 ballots
~0.0000000000000000000000000035%”

My follow up -
“Assume 40,000 ballots. Are the odds one in a billion? One in a trillion? Worse? This seems to be happening in Los Angeles Mayor’s race between Mayor Bass, Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman.”

The Answer (Part 2) -
“If the 40,000-ballot batch were drawn from the same population that produced 24% support in the other 95% of votes, then seeing 40% support in that batch would be far beyond “one in a billion” or “one in a trillion.”

75 standard deviations is in an entirely different universe.

The probability is approximately:

~10⁻¹²²⁰

or about

1 chance in 10¹²²⁰

That’s a number with roughly 1,220 zeros after the 1.

Statistically, if the batch were truly a random sample of the same electorate, the odds are so small that statisticians would effectively treat the event as impossible. The usual conclusion would not be “wow, what a lucky fluctuation,” but rather that the batch is not representative of the earlier ballots—for example, it came from a different geographic area, voting method, demographic group, or subset of voters.

So yes: much worse than one in a billion, much worse than one in a trillion, and vastly smaller than any probability encountered in ordinary statistical analysis.”

My follow up -
“More grains of sand on earth than the likelihood of this?”

The Answer (Part 3) -
“Yes. Much, much more.

Estimated grains of sand on Earth are often put around 10¹⁸ to 10²⁰.

Your odds example was roughly:

1 in 10¹²²⁰

So this is not just “less likely than picking one grain of sand on Earth.”

It’s more like picking the right grain of sand on Earth correctly over and over again dozens of times in a row.”

Sincerely,
Jeremy Padawer
https://t.co/POrFyAfNhH

@spencerpratt @BoredElonMusk @Hotshot_Movie @415FirePhoto
#losangeles #la #fyp #mayor

[Tim Pool @Timcast]

Democrats are cheating in California

They claim its not cheating because they codified it

Its still cheating

[Lauren Chen @TheLaurenChen]

Mail-in ballots favor Democrats.

OK, fine.

Spencer Pratt was never going to lead in mail-in ballots.

But what is the justification for mail-in ballots received BEFORE the election vastly favoring Karen Bass, and the ones received AFTER the election favoring Nithya Raman?

[Catturd ™ @catturd2]

California is a communist state who picks the winners they want in each election.

The illusion of an election is just that, an illusion.

They use the drop boxes on the streets to stuff as many fake ballots as they need to choose the Democrat commie they want.

If that’s not enough, they’ll make up as many fake ballots as they need in the month that they’re “counting” ballots.

Their so-called elections might as well be in North Korea.

[Vince Langman @LangmanVince]

Once it was clear that Karen Bass had enough same day votes for her to secure first place they switched the phony mail-in ballots to Raman to help her secure 2nd.

This explains why Karen Bass percentage has stayed about the same since last Tuesday.

Simply brilliant cheating!

[MAGA Voice @MAGAVoice]

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

STOP THE CALIFORNIA STEAL

[Gunther Eagleman™ @GuntherEagleman]

Make no mistake about it… What you are seeing in the California election will happen everywhere if Democrats ever take back the power in Washington DC.

They will make sure they never lose another election.

We have to pass the SAVE America Act or we are done.

[Laura Loomer @LauraLoomer]

The Mayoral election in Los Angeles is being stolen from @spencerpratt in real time!

Where is the DOJ?

[Nate Friedman @NateFriedman97]

The full video is here click to support: https://t.co/pdtvlBQSEK

[Nate Friedman @NateFriedman97]

I exposed Kei Pritzker for being a paid protestor. He stops my interview, has nothing to say and has to go back and google an argument.

He works for Breakthrough News which is funded by Neville Roy Singham which just HAPPENS to share the SAME address as the People's Forum, his paid protesting office here in New York City.

Soros also funds Breakthrough News through the Progress Unity Fund, Singham and Soros are employing fake journalists to pose as protestors to sow division in the west.

The expose portion begins at 1:45.

[End Wokeness @EndWokeness]

Mail-ins arriving before Election Day:
🔵 Bass: 38.1%
🔴 Pratt: 27.9%
🔵 Raman: 20%

Mail-ins arriving after Election Day:
🔵 Raman: 37% (+17% surge)
🔵 Bass: 34.9% (-3% drop)
🔴 Pratt: 19% (-9% drop)

Who are we kidding here? This is fraud.

[Derrick Evans @DerrickEvans4WV]

This is not mathematically or statistically realistic.

Mail in ballots for everyone drop except for the person they need to beat Spencer Pratt.

No way this is a coincidence. Then again, there are no consequences for the left stealing elections so I don’t blame them.

[Rob Schmitt @SchmittNYC]

Here’s Nithya Ramen crying on election night. The polls had her losing to Pratt decisively, and it happened that night as predicted. But now 5 days later she’s about to beat Pratt and move on to November. This is bullshit. Even she knows it.

[Alec Lace @AlecLace]

Trump told Kristen Welker that Jan 6 protesters were ushered into the Capitol.

Welker: “There’s no evidence of that.”

Reality: Video shows police escorting and waving them in at multiple entrances.

The media “insurrection” narrative is collapsing.

[Libs of TikTok @libsoftiktok]

BREAKING: Nithya Raman just defeated Spencer Pratt after giving a concession speech on election night and then getting the largest number in almost every mail-in ballot dump.

They just cheated in an election right in front of our eyes.

[F.A. United States Attorney Bill Essayli @USAttyEssayli]

California Is Blocking a Federal Audit of Its Voter Rolls

California allows first-time voters to register using forms of ID that most Americans would find surprising, including:

-Gym membership card
-Employer ID card
-Credit or debit card
-Prescription drug label
-Insurance card (California provides free health coverage to undocumented immigrants)

Full list: https://t.co/BvfviJsYG8

This is permitted when a voter fails to provide a Social Security number or driver’s license at registration. Our office believes this policy deserves a closer look.

We also have serious concerns about how California maintains its voter rolls. There are open questions about whether the state is promptly removing deceased voters, people who have moved, and individuals convicted of disqualifying felonies.

On top of that, California allows third parties to collect and turn in ballots on voters’ behalf (a practice known as ballot harvesting) with few restrictions. This makes it difficult to track who actually received, completed, and submitted each ballot.

For over a year, the Department of Justice has been trying to audit California’s voter rolls. Federal law gives the Attorney General the authority to review state voter files and confirm that only eligible U.S. citizens are voting in federal elections.

@AAGDhillon sent California a letter explaining our legal authority. California refused to comply, claiming state privacy laws block the review, an argument that does not hold up because those laws don’t apply to the federal government in this context. We’ve sued California in federal court, and the case is before the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals.

If California genuinely wants voters to trust its elections, it should open its records, not fight to keep them closed.

What are they afraid of?

[Spencer Pratt @spencerpratt]

Remember everyone…we are still in the lead, and we’ve got allllllll the way til July 6th to keep counting. They’re not the only ones who know where to find votes 😉

[Spencer Pratt @spencerpratt]

"A net swing of more than 43,000 votes since Tuesday.."

43,000, huh? Where have I seen that number before...?

Probably nothing. 🤷

[Nick Sortor @nicksortor]

🚨 JUST IN: Socialist Nithya Raman has OVERTAKEN Spencer Pratt in the Los Angeles mayoral election, despite Pratt’s previously sizable lead, per VoteHub

Absolutely RIGGED. This needs to be THOROUGHLY investigated.

Raman has conveniently received a WILDLY disproportionate amount of “late mail-in ballots” compared to both Bass and Pratt.

Pratt made an absolute FOOL out of Raman in the debates, even forcing her to retract her previous support of defunding the police.

God bless Spencer Pratt.