NVIDIA reportedly wants InP laser capacity up 20x by 2030. The supply chain's only penciled in 12x.
That's not a one-quarter fix - it's a structural shortage in the one material every AI optical link runs on.
Even after the planned buildout, the industry's still ~50% short into 2030.
$AXTI - one of the few making 6" InP wafers at volume
$COHR - guided to "double then double" its own InP capacity
$LITE - only shop shipping 200G/lane EMLs, and partnered with NVIDIA on this
NFA, DYOR.
Day 25 rebalance. Three exits, three new entries.
Out:
→ $STX (+46.8%) - took profits on the storage winner after a 47% run
→ $CIFR (+18.0%) - HPC capacity
→ $WULF (+24.5%) - HPC capacity
In:
→ $APLD - pure-play AI data center hosting
→ $IREN - NVIDIA managed cloud
→ $TTMI - AI accelerator PCBs
Category weights vs pre-rebalance:
→ Storage: 22% → 11% - underweighting after STX ran
→ Optical + interconnect: 19% → 28% - overweighting via $TTMI for AI PCB exposure
→ HPC capacity: same weight but rotated from BTC-miner pivots into pure-play AI hosting
→ AI power, defense/edge: roughly flat
19.1 points ahead of SPY since inception. @STMPortfolio.