Stanikzai

“The man who removes a mountain begins by carrying away small stones” AUCA👨‍🎓 MA Politics & Security OSCE Academy 👨‍🎓

[Tucker Carlson @TuckerCarlson]

Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer.

Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war.

To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha.

The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people.

And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final.

We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it.

Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made.

They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making.

One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

#Afghans should not anticipate normal neighborly relations from Pakistan, whose core strategy seems to be maintaining a destabilized Afghanistan. #Pakistan prefers to achieve this through proxies, but in their absence, it has not hesitated to intervene directly.
#Afghanistan

[The Resonance @Partisan_12]

“Do you think President Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize?”

Slovenia's President, Nataša Pirc Musar: “Francesca Albanese deserves the Peace Prize for this year”

[Rashid Khan @rashidkhan_19]

Heartbroken for my people in Kunar after the devastating earthquake. I’ve launched a GoFundMe to support the victims every donation can help rebuild lives. Please stand with us. 🙏💙

https://t.co/PEcwlIGDF8

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

Bravo, Iran! Brilliant strategy, blame #Afghan workers for your intelligence failures. Next up: Holding the local bakery responsible for missile accuracy. Genius leadership! @khamenei_ir

[Cricinfo @cricinfo]

The fact that a bowler tops this list we've compiled should be the first indication of how extraordinary Rashid Khan is ⤵️ #GreatestT20Players https://t.co/qNHdmy3l2O

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

As a son of Afghan soil, I rage at the tyranny denying #Afghan #girls their pens. Tomorrow, classrooms will echo with the absence of their laughter, their brilliance extinguished.A nation that buries half its light will wither in darkness. #LetAfghanGirlsLearn
#Afghanistan

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

Against all odds, #Afghanistan stuns #England in the Champions Trophy! A victory that’s more than just a game, it’s hope, resilience, and a nation’s dream soaring high. Tears, pride, and unshakable belief. This is cricket. This is Afghanistan. 🏏🇦🇫 #ChampionsTrophy #Cricket

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

@EUinAfghanistan @RaffaellaIodic2 May her soul rest in peace.

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

د افغانستان د لویو مسافر وړونکو موټرو چلونکي او شرکتونه باید د یو منظم پلان له مخې وه ارزول شي او هغه ډریوران چې په نشه یی توکو روږدي دي له ډریوري منع شي تر څو د خونړیو ټرافیکي پیښو مخه ونیول شي.
#افغانستان
#Afghanistan

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

Congratulations #AfghanAbdalyan #Afghanistan. Men’s T20 Emerging Teams Asia Cup 2024 Champions. @ACBofficials

[Haroon Bacha هارون باچا @haroonbacha27]

سبا د جګو غرو بهير دی

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

Heartbreaking to hear of indiscriminate firing by Pakistani forces on Pashtuns peacefully gathering for a grand 'Jirga' led by #PTM. A sacred space to address years of state violence has been met with more brutality. How long will Pashtuns endure this barbarism?
#11oct_Unity_Day

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

Please take a few minute to participate in the following survey designed in the context of a feasibility study “Online University for Afghan People” click on the link below.
https://t.co/NiB8JrNSGi

[Abdul Azim Badakhshi @theafghanlion]

This monster took away this young boy’s future right in front of his mother’s eyes, while she was begging and pleading him to stop. Justice was served in George Floyd’s case. Let’s all come together and make sure justice is served for our Afghan brother.

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

#Afghans are not safe in #Iran. The same #Iranians who claim to be a civilized nation gather in groups and attack any #Afghan they see in the city. Shame on you! Is this the outcome of the 40+ Islamic regime?

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

Indiscriminate firing on peaceful #Pashtun protesters in #Pakistan is not something new. The Pakistani military establishment has a habit of killing Pashtuns with impunity. 1971 events are likely to occur again. #Bannu #PTM #peace

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

Devastating news from Nangarhaar. My heart aches for the families who've lost loved ones & homes in the flash floods.Sending strength & solidarity to the people there during this difficult time. #NangarharFlood #Afghanistan 🇦🇫

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

وایي زر دی ومره، یو دی مه مره. مونږ نه یې هماغه یو واخیست.
میړڼي دي چې یادیږي #ګیلمن_وزیر
اروا دی ښاده او جنت دی ځاي اتله. د شهید ګیلمن وزیر میړانې ته سلام. مورکۍ ته یې د زړه صبر.

[Stanikzai @Saboor_Stanikza]

A nation's joy, silenced. 🇦🇫 Afghan celebrations for their T20 heroes met with fear in #Pakistan. Cricket, a sport that unites, shouldn't divide. Let the passion for the game transcend borders. #FreeAfghanExpression #ACB #T20WorldCup #StandWithAfghanistan