10th of June war on South Lebanon update:
Israeli warplanes launched a series of airstrikes targeting multiple civilian buildings in Nabatieh city and Harouf after midnight.
As for Israeli attacks on Lebanon yesterday,
The most frequently targeted locations were Kfarsir and Nabatieh (3 strikes each), followed by Harouf, Braachit, Jibchit, Toul, Srifa, Khardali, Yater, and Kfarromman (2 strikes each).
Israeli warplanes used more than 50 bombs in these attacks.
Geographically, the attacks were concentrated across the Nabatieh, Bint Jbeil, and Tyre districts.
Particular attention was focused on the Khardali–Sojod–Jabal AlRafi' axis, indicating sustained targeting of elevated terrain and wooded areas.
Artillery shelling remained concentrated along the border belt and adjacent villages, while airstrikes extended deeper into South Lebanon, reaching urban centers and coastal areas.
Total recorded attacks:
• 37 fighter jet airstrikes
• 10 drone strikes
• 12 artillery bombardments
59 attacks documented in a single day.
Bro.
This is humiliating.
What is even the deal with America? After years of pressuring allies to decouple from China, it is now going hat-in-hand to China to beg for rare earth for those same allies.
And is Japan even a sovereign country? Was it even consulted or is it just getting negotiated over without even being in the room? How credible is the Japanese-Filipino defence pact to counter China if Japan doesn't even have enough juice to even ask China directly without hiding behind America's skirt?
(The answer from Beijing was 'no' by the way)
Iran’s IRGC says it struck 4 major targets at a US air base and command-and-control center in Muwaffaq al Salti Airbase, Jordan, using long-range solid-fuel missiles.
Iran also launched missiles on on 21 US targets in the region (Kuwait & Bahrain).
The IRGC also downed a MQ-9 drone, and warns that any further US action will receive a harsher response.
Footage 1: Iran launches
Footage 2: Impact at the US 5th Fleet Support base in Bahrain
Image 3: circled location of footage 2
Footage 4: Downing of MQ-9 drone
BREAKING! A VLCC tanker, capable of holding 2M barrels of oil, is loading up at Kharg Island.
Why do we care about this? What is so significant about ONE vessel loading at Kharg?
When the United States' Blockade of Iran was initially implemented a full 50 days ago now, a large aspect of it hinged on a key theory.
Oil. Well. Shut-ins.
It was hypothesized, rather disastrously, that if the United States imposed a blockade of Iran, they would run out of storage capacity within 13 days. Now that was significant because, under this theory, these oil well shut-ins would be catastrophic. Irreversible damage. Iran would never be the same again.
Unfortunately, there was a plethora of flaws with this analysis... first and foremost of which is that Iran shut-in their oil wells in both 2012 and 2019, and did so without notable damage taking place.
Unfortunately, President Trump is not an energy expert, and clearly did not do his due diligence on the validity of said theory.
Speaking to Fox News on April 26th, President Trump stated that:
“Something happens where it just explodes. They say they have only three days left before that happens. When it explodes, you can never rebuild it the way it was.”
Unfortunately for President Trump, and the rest of the United States, now a full 37 days days later... Iran is STILL loading up vessels at Kharg Island.
Okay... okay... so what? Iran's oil infrastructure won't "explode". Big whoop.
Here is why this is so significant to me in particular.
Economic warfare... the blockade... Operation Economic Fury. All of these things are meant to be slow-burners. Or, at least, that is how they SHOULD be utilized. Sanctions, while devastating over the long-term, are only ever a needle-moving tool. They are not the broadsword, they are the dagger. Sharp. Nimble. Painful... but it's not the weapon to use when you want to lop off the head of your opponent.
The same, unfortunately, goes for inflation. Iran's inflation rate for the month of May was reported to be 8% month over month, bringing their total year over year inflation to ~75%. Atrocious, but... this isn't Zimbabwe or East Berlin either.
For the past month, there had been a sliver of hope for the United States and the blockade strategy. 28 days ago, Iran stopped loading vessels at Kharg Island. An oil slick, 70,000 barrels of oil, was spotted near the island. Was Iran dumping oil into the Strait? Had they run out of storage? Did they have major infrastructure damage that wouldn't allow them to load oil onto empty vessels still in the Strait? This could be game changing!
And then, just a few minutes ago, TankerTrackers posted satellite imagery of a VLCC tanker loading 2,000,000 barrels of oil. Any hope the United States now had to force catastrophic shut-ins? Dead. Why? Because Iran still has ~25M barrels of oil that they still have on-vessel storage inside the perimeter of the US blockade line. At the current rate of production for Iran? Combined with available onshore storage? Plus trucking routes into Pakistan? Plus rail lines into China?
We're talking about months until Iran would need to shut-in their oil wells, and even then... it's likely that they could lower production to a level that equates to the combination of domestic consumption and internal refining rates.
The oil well shut-ins were the only arrow the United States had left in their quiver. Military options are dead in the water. Iran has overwhelming escalation dominance options. They can close down the Bab al-Mandeb. They can sever undersea cables beneath the Strait of Hormuz. They can target the hostage tankers inside the Gulf. They can strike at Gulf energy infrastructure that would take years to rebuild.
By Iran showing that they once again have Kharg Island up and running. By proving that they can extend the timeline until even modest damage could "maybe" occur to their oil wells that "maybe" could be enough to bring them to making concessions at the negotiating table...
Iran has effectively ended the US/Iran War.
Fun fact, after three months of being stuck in the Persian Gulf without routine maintenance or access to a drydock many of these ships won't be in any condition to move once the Strait does reopen.
STUDY FINDS COVID SHOTS PENETRATE THE HUMAN BRAIN AND STAY FOR AT LEAST 17 MONTHS — INCITING AUTOIMMUNE ATTACK
mRNA and spike protein were found inside the cerebral arteries of vaccinated hemorrhagic stroke victims.
Spike protein from mRNA shots is FAR MORE dangerous than viral spike.
It’s genetically engineered to stay FULL-LENGTH — making it longer-lasting, harder to break down, and more toxic.
This partly explains the collapse of common sense, deterioration of cognitive function, and personality distortions seen since 2021.
"White phosphorus ignites instantly on contact with oxygen. It burns at over 800°C. It melts through clothing, skin, muscle — and bone.
In the bloodstream, it becomes a systemic poison. It attacks the heart, liver, and kidneys leading to multi‑organ failure and death.
Monsters."
https://t.co/6EvxE6KVfy
This is utterly brutal and outrageous. There is no excuse for Dutch police violently assaulting a pregnant woman simply because she wanted to stay with her detained PALESTINIAN husband.
The Dutch authorities must ensure full accountability for this blatant human rights violation. Such incidents indicate systemic bias & discrimination within their law enforcement.
Trigger alert!
Footage circulating online shows Dutch police smashing a PREGNANT Palestinian woman into the ground, while posing no threat at all, in the Netherlands.
Australia gave Israel zero votes at Eurovision and this was brought up at the “antisemitism commission” as an example of anti-semitism. What a joke.
Australians don’t have to vote for genocidal maniacs.
One of the most horrific scenes in human history has been revealed.
A video shows people trying to rescue an injured person and carry him to the hospital; Israel bombed them all and killed them with a missile.
A video the world must never forget.
Mossad booby‑trapped 21,000 communication devices with explosives, sent them to Lebanon through shell companies, and detonated them remotely — killing dozens (including children) and injuring over 3,400.
• The devices exploded in people's hands, on their faces, and in their pockets.
• They did it over two consecutive days.
• On day two, the explosives went off while Lebanese families were at the funerals of those killed the day before.
• The attack inflicted roughly 3,000 injuries in a single hour on the first day alone.
This terrorist attack was the largest simultaneous mass‑detonation in history by the number of individual bombs.
'israelis' joke about it to this day.
If you didn't boycott Apple for the Congo, boycott it now.
حق وتو ایران
سناتور اسلاتکین: به نظر من ایرانیها جغرافیای استراتژیک دارند. آنها این توانایی را دارند که قدرت خود را بر روی زیرساختهای نفتی در عربستان سعودی یا کویت یا هر جایی که میخواهند اعمال کنند و به اقتصاد جهانی و ایالات متحده آسیب بیشتری وارد کنند. آیا شما معتقدید که در حالی که از نظر نظامی ممکن است بتوانیم تنگه هرمز را از نظر فیزیکی باز کنیم، آنها همچنان توانایی تأثیرگذاری بر زیرساختهای منطقه را حفظ میکنند و بنابراین در حال حاضر نوعی حق وتو بر اقتصاد جهانی دارند؟
چارلز کوپر، فرمانده نیروهای آمریکایی در منطقه: سناتور، من از منظر نظامی ایران را به عنوان کشوری توصیف میکنم که دارای تواناییهای باقیمانده در حوزههای مختلف است. درباره حق وتو، واقعاً خوب است به سیاستگذاران درباره این توصیف رجوع شود.
سناتور: اما، ببخشید، آیا آنها میتوانند به زیرساختهای نفتی در سراسر خلیج فارس حمله کنند؟
کوپر: آنها توانایی بسیار متوسطی، اگر نگوییم کم، برای ادامه حملات دارند. و البته ما بر این اساس برای چنین احتمالی آماده شدهایم.
سناتور: باشه، اما اگر میتوانستیم، اگر قدرت باز کردن نظامی تنگه را داشتیم و تهدید آنها واقعا متوسط یا کوچک است، پس چرا تنگه را باز نمیکنیم؟
کوپر: سناتور، واقعاً در این مورد خاص باید به سیاستگذاران رجوع شود.
سناتور: بله، منظورم این است که به نظر من ممکن است قدرتشان کاهش یافته باشد، اما اگر ارتش ایالات متحده در حال حاضر تنگه را به صورت فیزیکی باز نمیکند، به این دلیل است که ایرانیها توانایی حملات به کشورهای خلیج فارس را دارند، زیرساختهای نفتی آنها را هدف قرار میدهند و قیمت نفت را در سراسر جهان حتی بالاتر میبرند.
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نتیجه برای ایران:
۱- تنگه هرمز حداقل تا دو ماه دیگر باید بسته بماند.
۲- بعد از بازگشایی محدود، عوارض جدی فراموش نشود، حداقل ۱۰ درصد ارزش بار کشتی.
۳- مسیرهای جایگزین تنگه هرمز باید اولویت هدف موشکهای ایران باشند.