Sam

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@lindsaybitcoin @MortgagesByMB Do you use a property manager?

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@FibonacciInves1 The question is when do we reach near zero rates again

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@benjamincowen Historically finds resistance around the 200 daily moving average too

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@VladTheInflator And easing won't help. When they cut rates to zero and started massive QE end of 2008, home prices still took 4 years to bottom

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@Tokenicer Wow only about 1.4% of qnt supply is on exchanges

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@FibonacciInves1 @PidgeonRight @Econghost Even richer with LEAPS

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@benjamincowen Date with destiny should be much higher by then

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@FibonacciInves1 Are you mostly in $TLT shares, LEAPS, or both?

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@FibonacciInves1 @finnafinance Why not 100% allocation for $TLT

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@FibonacciInves1 Even lower if we go near zero rates. May see 3-4% mortgage rates again

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@ZTheTrader I would say either end of 2025 or early 2026 especially with the yield spreads reverting and weaker labor market data

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@ZTheTrader Do you invest in real estate at all or is most of your net worth in equities and bitcoin?

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@VladTheInflator TLT 2028 leaps active although we may get ZIRP much sooner than 2028

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@VladTheInflator @InvestInCookies I would say the bottom in rates and the market would be about 15 months after the first rate cut based on the last couple recessions unless this cycle is extended. I'm expecting near zero rates too

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@HenrikZeberg So you predict near zero or even negative rates possibly end of this year?

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@ZTheTrader With every recession the Fed will be late and cut to near zero rates. Hopefully the long end of the curve will go near zero too and the treasury can refinance this year at near zero rates

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@FibonacciInves1 So based on this chart, you predict $TLT can go back up to 170-180 by end of year

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@VladTheInflator They will probably backstop this through the same way they increased the prices. Monetary stimulus

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@VladTheInflator Unfortunately this will happen and probably will be coupled with near zero rate policy

[Sam @Sam54640353]

@FibonacciInves1 @TheOriginal5895 Last time it was at 1% TLT was at 153. Maybe happens sooner than a year with all the debt that needs to be refinanced this year