Stocks related to artificial intelligence infrastructure have seen a parabolic price increase
Everyone is rushing into this sector, scrambling to buy them
Monday's single positive candle wiped out all losses related to the "Iran conflict."
The question now isn't whether the market will rise, but rather: Is the market already "immune" to risk?
US stock futures continued to rise in early trading on Tuesday.
S&P 500 futures were up 0.2%, and Nasdaq futures were up 0.4%. Geopolitical risks remain, but the market is no longer reacting positively.
The UK stock market is rising, but the real key isn't in the UK.
The FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 are both climbing,
but the market is actually waiting for two things:
1️⃣ US inflation data
2️⃣ US-Iran weekend talks
Today's rise is more like "betting in advance."
Yesterday there was panic, today a 1.6 trillion yuan rebound! Market sentiment reversed faster than I did.
US stocks surged by 1.6 trillion yuan. The only thing that didn't rise was my account. The market never recovers slowly; it reverses in an instant
Most people weren't there at that moment. Do you think this level of rebound is the beginning or a trap?
The so-called "capital voting with its feet" essentially means: the sentiment shifts from extreme panic to extreme optimism in just one day
Two days ago, Trump made another series of erratic remarks, followed by a sharp drop.
The market then rallied again, but many people sold at a loss before the surge, only to chase the market back in before it crashed again, getting whipsawed from both sides.
Is the market setting up for a rally?
The S&P 500 is down -5% since the Iran War started, now 15 trading days into the sell-off.
In previous geopolitical conflicts, US stocks bottomed around day 15 on average, based on over 30 major geopolitical shocks since 1939.
The current sell-off is tracking almost exactly in line with the historical average and median path.
After the typical bottom, the average recovery lasted for ~40 trading days.
From there, stocks tended to move higher after reaching their pre-event levels.
Is the usual geopolitical playbook set to repeat?
BREAKING: MUST WATCH FOR EVERYONE WHO OWNS STOCKS.
Legendary Investor Howard Marks appearing yesterday on Bloomberg discussed Retail being pushed to invest in Private Credit, Stock Market Cycles and "Cockroaches in the Coal Mine".
"It's only during tough economic times that we learn who lent money stupidly!"
If you can spare 5 mins today watch this video!
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