Olivia
Online
Sarah
@SarahLawwd
Washington, DC
Joined January 2011
832 Following
801 Followers
3.8K Posts
The IDF is lying about the detention of Rep. Khanna.
I was on the ground with him that day, and my body camera captured us being detained by both settlers and Israeli soldiers. The IDF did not disperse the violent settlers, as they claim. They explicitly sided with them.
In the dramatic circumstances of war, information must guard against the risk of turning into propaganda. It is every journalist's duty to verify the news, so as not to become a megaphone for power. They must show the suffering that war always brings to populations, which entails showing the face of war and recounting it through the eyes of victims.
The funeral of Father Pierre El-Rahi, Maronite parish priest of a Christian village, is celebrated today in #Lebanon, as these villages once again experience the tragedy of war. I am close to all the Lebanese people in this time of grave trial. Fr. Pierre was a true shepherd. As soon as he heard that parishioners had been wounded in a bombing, he rushed to help without hesitation. May the Lord grant that the blood he shed become a seed of peace for beloved Lebanon. #PrayTogether
Israel has hit a hotel in Beirut, the first strike in a Christian-majority neighbourhood. The owner said the only casualty is their young receptionist.
The hotel has been sheltering around 13 displaced families. “We never imagined they could be targets,” the owner said.
GeoConfirmed Iran.
"The Girl School Bombing"
"Occam’s Razor" is right. Again.
Satellite imagery, provided by @planet, now confirms that the school was hit during the bombing of the base.
It is also clearly visible that all other buildings, just as the the school, were struck at the center. --> indicating that one of the two countries involved in the attack on Iran bears responsibility.
Sec. Marco Rubio said in an interview: "It is clear the the United States would not target... deliberately target a school."
https://t.co/fQQ1HjyhXI
"Deliberately" is the keyword here.
We had already proven that other buildings were struck a the same time.
(https://t.co/vSU9Fec8fv)
Read our previous statemen/assesment here:
"Using logic. Given the school’s position, next to and possibly integrated into a military facility, the more logical explanation is that the school was mistakenly targeted during an attack on the base."
https://t.co/J01OthjgFP
Statement regarding our posts about the bombing of a girls’ elementary school reportedly resulting in the deaths of over 100 girls.
Because many readers still misunderstand our posts or how geolocation verification works, I will explain this as simply as possible.
1) The girls’ school was located next to a military base and according to multiple sources even within the perimeter of that base.
However, this does not make it a legitimate target under the Law of Armed Conflict, even if it was within the premises.
The school was not in Pakistan or Afghanistan, as some claims suggest. (because the location is GeoConfirmed)
The footage is not old.
In Iran, schools are open Saturday through Thursday. (https://t.co/p11mbeHA5Q).
Fact: The school, located in Minab, Hormozgan Province, Iran, was destroyed, based on the footage.
Geolocation of the school bombing: https://t.co/OVEne9QjZ0
2) The claim that the explosion was caused by a failed IRGC missile launch has no supporting evidence, at this time (!). The widely circulated footage used to support this theory originates from a location approximately 1,300 km away from the school.
It is impossible that a missile failure visible there caused the bombing at such a distance.
At this moment, there is no proof that a failed missile launch caused the incident.
(See below or https://t.co/wxXNVLQITM)
-
Using logic. Given the school’s position, next to and possibly integrated into a military facility, the more logical explanation is that the school was mistakenly targeted during an attack on the base. A thorough investigation is required to confirm this assessment, or additional verifiable evidence must emerge to support alternative claims. When conducting analyses, always consider the principle of "Occam’s Razor"
(https://t.co/kqTtxc3WoX):
"When presented with competing hypotheses about the same prediction and both hypotheses have equal explanatory power, one should prefer the hypothesis that requires the fewest assumptions."
In this case, the only “evidence” for the failed IRGC missile launch claim has been proven false.
Therefore, there is currently no credible evidence supporting that theory.
Reminder: OSINT, and reporting (journalism) in general, is based on the information available at the time an investigation is conducted. Therefore, analyses may change as new footage or evidence emerges.
🚨 Right in the middle of the strike map U.S. War Secretary Pete Hegseth proudly displayed at a Pentagon briefing today sits Minab — the site of a school in southern Iran where a U.S.–Israeli strike killed 165 children this weekend.
BBC’s Tom Bateman asked Hegseth whether the Pentagon knows whose munition hit the school. Hegseth said the department is still investigating.
Journalist Chris Osieck plotted the Minab school (green dot) onto the strike map released by the U.S. military today.
It sits directly within the cluster of U.S. strike zones shown on the Pentagon briefing map.
@tombateman | @ChrisOsieck
🚨NEW from @DropSiteNews: Kurdish, Iranian sources reject claims of incursion
Multiple media reports, including some citing anonymous U.S. officials, have indicated that Kurdish militants have now crossed from Iraq into Iran in order to seize Kurdish territory and spark an uprising. The reports follow claims that the CIA has been seeking to arm Kurdish fighters to destabilize Iran.
Such an incursion remains a future possibility, but well-informed sources tell Drop Site News that no such invasion has yet to take place. Journalist @Alexis_Daloumis, who is in Syrian and Iraqi Kurdistan reporting for Drop Site, reports that three sources from the Kurdish liberation movement with knowledge of the situation have told him that no such invasion is underway and that PJAK, the only Kurdish organization with robust military capacity that is part of the coalition being discussed, is unlikely to make such a move at this moment.
Kurdish sources have denied the claims of an invasion to Drop Site’s @ryangrim and officials from Komala, an Iranian Kurdish organization, similarly have said no such action is being taken. An Iranian official with knowledge of the situation tells Drop Site’s @JeremyScahill that there have been no reports of any breach of the border in that region. Sources in Rojava similarly dismissed reports of any current invasion.
These reports may be aimed at sparking an uprising that is not yet happening. Reporters for CNN, Axios, and the Economist, some of whom are well sourced with the U.S. security establishment, have been leading sources of the claims. U.S. and Israeli officials have made no secret that they want to create conditions for an internal uprising to implement their regime change agenda on the ground.
Events on the ground are fluid and such an attempted incursion is possible, particularly if the CIA is coordinating or encouraging it, but as of now, reports of an ongoing and active ground operation appear premature.
The Associated Press, in a much more careful report Wednesday, said that some minor Kurdish forces were on “standby” and preparing to invade, further undercutting the claim of an active incursion.
We’ll continue to update with new developments as we hear more from our sources.
We have been told that Gaza’s borders are closed indefinitely. If they stay closed, @wckitchen will run out of food this week. We are cooking 1M hot meals every day. We need food deliveries every single day to feed hungry families who are not part of this war. All the NGOs in Gaza need more food, medicine, medical equipment, fuel, tents, personal care every day. We cannot wait...let the humanitarian trucks go through today! #ChefsForGaza
Notice every MSM outlet is in lockstep showing support for the war against Iran. There is no left-wing media or right-wing media. The only time they take different sides is when they are pushing culture war issues meant to divide us.
With a few exceptions Republicans are showing full throated support for the war while Democrats aren't opposing it, in fact, they are giving tacit approval.
Stop being a dupe, stop falling for the fake left vs right, red team vs blue team propaganda. The people who own the media and much of Congress are who you should be hating and fighting against.
Eternal war propaganda:🇺🇸
If you oppose US war in Iraq, you're "pro-Saddam."
Oppose US war in Vietnam, you're pro-Communist.
Oppose US war in Libya: pro-Gaddafi.
Oppose US war in Syria: pro-Assad.
Oppose US war in Ukraine: pro-Putin.
Oppose US war in Iran: pro-Ayatollah.
Preach
Barack Obama reached a deal that prevented Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.
Trump ripped up that deal.
Now we are at war with Iran to prevent it from getting a nuclear weapon.
PSA: Bombing a country on the other side of the globe won’t make the Epstein files go away, any more than the Dow going above 50,000 will.
GeoConfirmed Iran.
Statement regarding our posts about the bombing of a girls’ elementary school reportedly resulting in the deaths of over 100 girls.
Because many readers still misunderstand our posts or how geolocation verification works, I will explain this as simply as possible.
1) The girls’ school was located next to a military base and according to multiple sources even within the perimeter of that base.
However, this does not make it a legitimate target under the Law of Armed Conflict, even if it was within the premises.
The school was not in Pakistan or Afghanistan, as some claims suggest. (because the location is GeoConfirmed)
The footage is not old.
In Iran, schools are open Saturday through Thursday. (https://t.co/p11mbeHA5Q).
Fact: The school, located in Minab, Hormozgan Province, Iran, was destroyed, based on the footage.
Geolocation of the school bombing: https://t.co/OVEne9QjZ0
-
2) The claim that the explosion was caused by a failed IRGC missile launch has no supporting evidence, at this time (!).
The widely circulated footage used to support this theory originates from a location approximately 1,300 km away from the school.
It is impossible that a missile failure visible there caused the bombing at such a distance.
At this moment, there is no proof that a failed missile launch caused the incident.
(See below or https://t.co/wxXNVLQITM)
-
Using logic.
Given the school’s position, next to and possibly integrated into a military facility, the more logical explanation is that the school was mistakenly targeted during an attack on the base.
A thorough investigation is required to confirm this assessment, or additional verifiable evidence must emerge to support alternative claims.
When conducting analyses, always consider the principle of "Occam’s Razor" (https://t.co/kqTtxc3WoX):
"When presented with competing hypotheses about the same prediction and both hypotheses have equal explanatory power, one should prefer the hypothesis that requires the fewest assumptions."
In this case, the only “evidence” for the failed IRGC missile launch claim has been proven false.
Therefore, there is currently no credible evidence supporting that theory.
Reminder:
OSINT, and reporting (journalism) in general, is based on the information available at the time an investigation is conducted. Therefore, analyses may change as new footage or evidence emerges.
Call me unpatriotic, but I believe Iranian schoolgirls are worth more than American rapists.
Further evidence of the moral collapse in the west is that this will be the first and last time you hear about the daughter and grandson being murdered. The media and politicians won't care, they won't condemn it, they'll simply move on as if murdering women and children is nothing.
I am a diplomatic aide in the Sultanate of Oman's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
My job is logistics. When two countries that cannot speak to each other need to speak to each other, I book the rooms. I prepare the briefing materials. I make sure the water glasses are the right distance apart. You would be surprised how much of diplomacy is water glasses. Too close and it feels informal. Too far and it feels like a tribunal. I have a chart.
We had a very good month.
Since January, Oman has been mediating indirect talks between the United States and Iran on Iran's nuclear program. The talks were held in Muscat and in Geneva. The Americans would sit in one room. The Iranians would sit in another room. I would walk between them. My Fitbit says I averaged fourteen thousand steps on negotiation days. The hallway between the two rooms at the Royal Opera House conference center is forty-seven meters. I walked it two hundred and twelve times in February. This is good for my cardiovascular health. It was less good for my knees. Both are in the service of peace.
By mid-February, we had something.
Iran agreed to zero stockpiling of enriched uranium. Not reduced stockpiling. Zero. They agreed to down-blend existing stockpiles to the lowest possible level. They agreed to convert them into irreversible fuel. They agreed to full IAEA verification with potential US inspector access. They agreed, in the Foreign Minister's phrase, to "never, ever" possess nuclear material for a bomb. I have worked in diplomacy for seven years. I have never seen a country agree to this many things this quickly. I made a spreadsheet of the concessions. It had fourteen rows. I color-coded it. Green for confirmed. Yellow for pending. By February 21 the spreadsheet was entirely green. I printed it. It is on my desk in Muscat. It is still green.
That phrase took eleven days. "Never, ever." The Iranians initially offered "not seek to." The Americans wanted "will not under any circumstances." We landed on "never, ever" at 2:14 AM on a Tuesday in Muscat. I typed the final version myself. I used Times New Roman because Geneva prefers it. The document was fourteen pages. I was proud of every comma.
Here is what they said, in the order they said it.
February 24: "We have a once-in-a-generation opportunity." — The Foreign Minister, private briefing to Gulf Cooperation Council ambassadors. I prepared the slide deck. Slide 14 was the implementation timeline. Slide 15 was the signing ceremony logistics. I had reserved the Palais des Nations in Geneva, Room XX. It seats four hundred. We discussed pen brands for the signing. The Iranians preferred Montblanc. The Americans had no preference. I ordered twelve Montblanc Meisterstucks at six hundred and thirty dollars each. They arrive on Tuesday.
February 27, 8:30 AM EST: "The deal is within our reach." — The Foreign Minister, CBS Face the Nation. He sat across from Margaret Brennan. He said broad political terms could be agreed "tomorrow" with ninety days for technical implementation in Vienna. He said, and I wrote this line for the briefing card he carried in his breast pocket: "If we just allow diplomacy the space it needs." He praised the American envoys by name. Steve Witkoff. Jared Kushner. He said both had been constructive.
I watched from the Four Seasons Georgetown. The minibar had cashews. I ate the cashews. They were nineteen dollars. The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten. But it was a good morning and we were within our reach.
February 27, 2:00 PM EST: Meeting with Vice President Vance, Washington. The Foreign Minister presented our progress. Zero stockpiling. Full verification. Irreversible conversion. "Never, ever." The Vice President used the word "encouraging." His aide took notes on an iPad. The aide did not make eye contact for the last nine minutes of the meeting. I noticed this. Noticing things is the only part of my job that is not water glasses.
February 27, 4:00 PM EST: "Not happy with the pace." — President Trump, to reporters.
Not happy with the pace.
We had achieved zero stockpiling. Full IAEA verification. Irreversible fuel conversion. Inspector access. And the phrase "never, ever," which took eleven days and cost me two hundred and twelve trips down a forty-seven-meter hallway.
Every American president since Carter has failed to get Iran to agree to this. Forty-five years.
Not happy with the pace.
February 27, 9:47 PM EST: The Foreign Minister's flight departs Dulles for Muscat. I am in the seat behind him. He is reviewing Slide 14 on his laptop. The implementation timeline. Vienna technical sessions. The signing ceremony. The pens.
I fall asleep over the Atlantic. I dream about water glasses.
February 28, 6:00 AM GST: I wake up to push notifications.
February 28: "The United States has begun major combat operations in Iran." — President Trump.
Operation Epic Fury. Coordinated airstrikes. The United States and Israel. Tehran. Isfahan. Qom. Karaj. Kermanshah. Nuclear facilities. IRGC bases. Sites near the Supreme Leader's office. Israel called their half Operation Roaring Lion. Someone in both governments spent time choosing these names. Epic Fury. Roaring Lion. I spent eleven days on "never, ever." They spent it on branding. The President said Iran had "rejected American calls to halt its nuclear weapons production."
Rejected.
Iran had agreed to zero stockpiling. Iran had agreed to full verification. Iran had agreed to "never, ever." Iran had agreed to everything in a fourteen-page document that I typed in Times New Roman.
The President said they rejected it.
I do not know which document the President was reading. I know which one I typed.
February 28, 18:45 UTC: Iran internet connectivity: four percent. — NetBlocks, confirmed by Cloudflare. Ninety-six percent of a country went dark. You cannot negotiate with a country at four percent connectivity. You cannot negotiate with a country that is being struck. You cannot negotiate. This is not a political opinion. This is a logistics assessment.
February 28: The governor of Minab reported forty girls killed at an elementary school.
I do not have logistics for that. There is no slide for that. The water glass chart does not cover that.
February 28: Lockheed Martin: up. Northrop Grumman: up. RTX: up. Dow futures: down six hundred and twenty-two points. Gold: five thousand two hundred and ninety-six dollars. An analyst at AInvest published a note titled "Iran Strikes: Tactical Plays." The note recommended positions in oil, defense stocks, and gold.
The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten was nineteen dollars. The most expensive pen I have ever ordered was six hundred and thirty dollars. The math suggests I have been working in the wrong industry. Defense stocks do not require water glasses. Defense stocks do not require eleven days. Defense stocks require one morning.
February 28: Israel closed its airspace and its schools. Iran launched retaliatory missiles toward US bases in the Gulf. The Supreme Leader promised a "crushing response." Israel's defense minister declared a permanent state of emergency. Everyone is using words I recognize in an order I do not. I recognize "permanent." I recognize "emergency." I do not recognize them next to each other. In diplomacy, nothing is permanent and everything is an emergency. In war it is the reverse.
February 28: The Foreign Minister has not made a public statement.
The briefing card is still in his breast pocket. It still says "within our reach."
@cenkuygur Cenk: I don’t know how I can be more clear. Trump will end and prevent war in the Middle East. He wants peace.
Harris and her neocon cabinet want war, war and more war.
Be prepared, there is a small chance that our horrendous leadership could unknowingly lead us into World War III.
As yet another preemptive war is begun in the Middle East, John Quincy Adam’s words of wisdom still ring true:
“Wherever the standard of freedom and Independence has been or shall be unfurled, there will her heart, her benedictions and her prayers be.”
Like most Americans I have sympathy for the plight of the Iranian people and all subjected people around the globe, from North Korea to Tibet.
But as Adam’s wrote, America: “goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy.
She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all.
She is the champion and vindicator only of her own.”
The Constitution conferred the power to declare or initiate war to Congress for a reason, to make war less likely.
Madison wrote that “the Executive Branch is the branch most prone to war, therefore, the Constitution, with studied care, delegated the war power to the legislature.”
As with all war, my first and purest instinct is wish Americans soldiers safety and success in their mission.
But my oath of office is to the Constitution, so with studied care, I must oppose another Presidential war.
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