Do yourself a favor and check 2017 parabolic uptrend pullbacks, many in the 20-30% range. Btc as always takes liquidity from high leverage positions both ways, scare weak hands, then continue higher with the less people possible on board. Stay strong.
$BTC took the previous low, almost reaching the measured move from the channel breakdown, would be a great place to confirm a double bottom. Also a possible triple RSI divergence in the H4.
Bitcoin is doing it again.
Not the fun part yet. The part where it gets everyone doubting the whole thing before the next cycle can really begin.
People forget how this asset works. It does not just go up because “halving.” That is the kindergarten version. The real engine is fixed supply meeting human emotion. There will only ever be 21 million coins, so when demand wakes up and real holders stop selling, price has to climb until it finds enough coins willing to move.
That is how you get the insane runs. The 1k to 20k move. The 3k to 69k move. The 15k to 126k move.
But then comes the part nobody likes.
Bitcoin has to digest what it just ate.
If an asset runs 8x, the market does not just calmly reset in three weeks and move on. It has to work through late buyers, leverage, weak hands, tourists, ETF flows, and everyone who bought the top calling themselves a long-term investor until the candles turned red.
That is where the downside gets ugly. The person who bought too early in the downtrend eventually becomes a seller lower. The trader who thought he was buying the low finds out he was just catching another bounce. The leveraged long does not get to be patient. He gets liquidated. Perps and synthetic exposure make the whole thing worse because they create extra demand on the way up and forced selling on the way down.
This is how Bitcoin gets those elevator-down phases.
Not because it died. Because ownership is being cleaned up.
Coins move from people who liked the price action to people who actually want the asset.
That process feels terrible while it is happening, which is exactly why it works. Doubt comes back. The timeline gets dark. People say AI replaced it. Stocks are better. Bitcoin had its moment. The whole thing is over.
And somehow they say this while Bitcoin is still trading above the last cycle’s blow-off double top.
Think about how crazy that is.
The 2021 top near 69k was viewed as this insane parabolic event after a 20x plus move from the prior cycle low. Now, after 7+ months of crypto winter, Bitcoin is still hanging around that old “impossible” zone, and people are acting like the asset failed.
That is not failure. That is a much higher floor trying to form.
Maybe the final floor is already in. Maybe it is not. Nobody knows. The only way to stay sane is station to station. If you think it is going lower, fine. Mark the next real support. Mark the level above that proves your read is wrong. Then update when price gives you new information.
Do not do what the eternal bears do.
Do not pick some dramatic number like 15k, 3k, or zero and then build your whole personality around it. That is how people blind themselves. They stop doing analysis and start defending a prophecy.
Being wrong is not the problem. Everyone is wrong. The problem is refusing to say, “I was wrong,” when the market has clearly moved on.
That is why Bitcoin is such a funny asset. Most bears do not say it is expensive. They do not say it needs a normal correction. They say it is going to zero.
They said it at $7. They said it at $70. They said it at $700. They said it at $7,000. Now they say it when one coin is worth more than most people make in a year.
That is the magic.
Bitcoin creates doubt, then feeds on the people who get trapped inside it.
It runs. It digests. It makes everyone question the whole thing. Then when the floor is finally found, the same people who were waiting for zero are shocked when it starts moving again.
The supply is still fixed. The emotions still swing too far. The believers still absorb the panic. The doubters still give it fuel.
Everyone is falling for it again.
Fomocap 2026+ Predictions/Possibilities
1/ Nations and central banks shift heavily into gold and silver, abandoning dollars. Gold exceeds $5k, silver reaches three figures.
2/ Bitcoin rises above $150,000
3/ Conflicts stay in the gray zone. Russia-Ukraine settles into prolonged stalemate with constant infrastructure attacks and no peace agreement. Taiwan faces repeated blockade exercises, but no outright invasion occurs.
4/ Iran and Israel see renewed proxy fighting, with occasional direct attacks.
5/ Deglobalization becomes permanent. Tariffs stay in place, supply chains move back home. Emerging countries advance faster than the West by adopting local AI and robotics without heavy regulation.
6/ Demand for silver surges from solar panels, electric vehicles, and data centers. Supply shortages cause the gold-silver ratio to fall sharply.
7/ Agentic AI takes over crypto. Wallets become autonomous agents that trade, earn yields, hedge risks.
8/ Competition for computing power creates black markets. Nations smuggle advanced chips, and hidden networks train secret AI models.
9/ Real, imperfect things gain far more value. Handmade items, live events, and unpolished media stand out as trustworthy while AI-generated perfection is dismissed.
10/ Meme coins that survive develop real uses in payments, gaming, or social platforms. Those based only on hype disappear under new regulations.
11/ Attacks on undersea cables and satellites become common. Private companies build secure alternative networks for high-paying clients.
12/ Large corporations gain control over resource areas in unstable countries, exchanging infrastructure and security for mining and energy rights.
13/ Blockchain enters robotics. Humanoid robots use decentralized identities for safety, and decentralized finance supports independent factories.
14/ Tech leaders push for open talent borders while nationalists tighten controls. The conflict leads to semi-independent tech cities with their own rules.
@joshnomics That’s human mind limitations. We can’t conceive eternity of infinity, for us everything starts and finishes. God, the universe, the cosmos, always was and always will be, not beginning, no end. No need to create what always is.
$BTC
Fractals are not a forecast, but a way to accept the possibility of something happening in the market.
Useful to check your bias when you're at ewmotional extremes.
Went a little lower and took a little longer, but it was close enough.