Peter Sauce

Daily UFC News & Analysis

Fight Breakdowns | Betting Insights

UFC Picks & Betting | ML/Winners: 36-14 (72%) Props: 22-26 (46%)

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

@ArtemAnalysis I already leaned Ding. Didn’t realize we were getting the baldness buff too 😭📈

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

@ChampRDS Woodson for me too, but $900 at this number is BRAVE 😭 Jenkins’ pressure/wrestling is exactly what makes this one uncomfortable. Really interesting fight.

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Monday means WAY TOO EARLY ML LEANS 🌶️

UFC Fight Night Shanghai is up next 🇨🇳

🌶️ Strongest early leans:
Umar Nurmagomedov
Rei Tsuruya
Kai Asakura
Sumudaerji

What’s the first pick you’re fading? 👀
#UFCShanghai #UFC #MMABetting

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

There's something magical about UFC that starts at 3AM EST 🤩

#UFCShanghai

[UFC @ufc]

IT’S FIGHT WEEK 🇨🇳 #UFCShanghai

[ SAT AUG 29 | 6amET on @ParamountPlus ]

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Hernandez ML ❌
Hernandez SUB +250 ❌

Rodrigues stayed composed, survived the pressure and got it done over 5 rounds. Wrong read from us to close the night.

FINAL: 8-5 ML | 5-8 Props

Not our best Sauce card. No hiding it. Full recap tomorrow.

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

UFC Sacramento. Final Sauce board is LOCKED. 🔒🌶️

13 fights. 13 ML winners. Best prop for every matchup. And a few longshots worth getting irresponsible in very small amounts with. 😂🎰

🔥 My strongest props:
Wint R1 KO/TKO -150
Judice KO/TKO +160
Petrino KO/TKO +220
Douglas R1 KO/TKO +115
Dyer KO/TKO +125
Young by Decision +180

🎰 Favorite sprinkle: Rodrigues R1 KO/TKO +800
If Fluffy gets caught tonight, I think THAT is how it happens.

We enter tonight 28-9 picking ML winners over our last 3 UFC cards.

#UFCSacramento #UFC #MMABetting

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Right side, wrong method. Spivac survived the power and took us all 15.

Petrino ML ✅
Petrino KO/TKO +220 ❌

8-4 ML | 5-7 Props

One fight left. Fluffy vs Robocop.

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

RDR JUST RAN THROUGH HIM 😳

de Ridder gets the R1 KO. We had the right winner, but definitely didn’t see THAT method coming

RDR ML ✅
RDR by Decision +135 ❌

7-4 ML | 5-6 Props

Petrino/Spivac next.

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

We had Jones controlling this one and getting to the cards. Mederos had other plans. 💀

Jones ML ❌
Jones by Decision +120 ❌

6-4 ML | 5-5 Props

RDR up next. 🌶️

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

THERE WE GO. 🔥🌶️

Judice absolutely handles business with the R1 KO.

Judice ML ✅
Judice KO/TKO +160 ✅💰
6-3 ML | 5-4 Props

That +160 was one of our strongest props for a reason. 🎯

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Wint gets the R1 submission.

Wint ML -1000 ✅... but nobody gets credit for finding that 😂

Wint R1 KO/TKO -150 ❌
We had the round right, wrong method.

5-3 ML | 4-4 Props

Judice up next. 🌶️

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Caught Douglas clean in Round 1 and that was all she wrote. Brutal way to close the prelims for us.

Douglas ML ❌
Douglas R1 KO/TKO +115 ❌

Prelims finish: 4-3 ML | 4-3 Props

Main card time. Fresh slate. 🌶️🔥

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

We took the dog and Gaziev erased that idea in 3:40 of Round 1.

Nzechukwu ML ❌
Nzechukwu KO/TKO ❌

4-2 ML | 4-2 Props

Got punched directly out of our analysis on that one 😂🌶️

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

ONE SECOND FROM THE CARDS 😳

Padilla finds the submission with literally 1 SECOND LEFT in the fight.

Padilla ML ✅
Over 2.5 -210 ✅💰

5 fights down: 4-1 ML | 4-1 Props 🔥

That finish was INSANE. 🌶️

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

BARBOSA HAD THAT MAN SCARED 😭💀

The pressure was IMMEDIATE. R1 KO/TKO, exactly how we drew it up.

Barbosa ML ✅
Barbosa R1 KO/TKO -145 CASHES 💰
3-1 ML | 3-1 Props

We’re cooking again. 🌶️🔥

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Dorsainvil deserves a TON of credit. Short-notice fight and showed some serious grit for all 15 minutes.

Dorsainvil by Decision.

Young ML ❌
Young DEC +180 ❌

2-1 ML | 2-1 Props

Can’t win ‘em all. Onto Barbosa. 🌶️

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

THE MOOSE 🫎💥

McVey gets the R1 KO!!

McVey ML -180 ✅
McVey KO/TKO +170 CASHES 💰

2-0 ML | 2-0 Props

Sauce board is HOT early 🔥🌶️

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Dyer ML starts us 1-0 ✅

Elise Reed is TOUGH. Took a beating deep into the 3rd, but Dyer’s pressure just never stopped.

Dyer KO/TKO +125 CASHES 🔥💰

ML ✅
Best Prop ✅

Perfect start to the Sauce board. 🌶️

[Peter Sauce @SauceAnalytics]

Jesus by KO