Eleven bullets, all true, none repeatable. Nobody could argue with them. Nobody could carry them into a room either. This is where most leaders fail to translate technical updates to business outcomes.
The people I learned the most from were not above me. An engineer who said my update did not say what we did. A peer whose meetings ended in decisions. A finance partner who corrected my number in front of my boss.
Forty slides, six days, best work of my year. It came back with a sticky note: “What should I decide?” I have never sent a deck since without asking that first.
The best boss I had gave me something too big for me and let me get it wrong for a quarter. “You were going to learn it on somebody’s budget. I decided it should be mine.”
I have been quiet for a while. Took time off after close to two decades inside companies. Now writing about what they taught me, mostly what I got wrong first.
After three successful trades or 10%+ gains, (over)confidence can rise much faster than evidence.
That is when position size needs rules, not feelings. (Rules over Emotions always in investing)
Let's do a complete cash reset test:
If your portfolio magically became cash tonight, would you buy the same stocks, mutual funds or gold/silver tomorrow?
Something interesting to notice:
Global equity funds received $18.6B in the latest week, their 12th consecutive inflow. Europe attracted $13.5B while technology funds lost $1.7B, with money simultaneously flowing into gold, bonds and emerging markets.
This means diversification away from concentrated technology exposure of last 2 years has begun.
Bought at ₹1,000. Now ₹700.
The wrong question:
“When will it get back to ₹1,000?”
The better question:
“Would I buy it at ₹700 today?”
Your entry price is a memory, not a valuation.
The next AI debate may be less about demand and more about financing.
Nvidia reportedly cut a potential OpenAI-linked data-centre guarantee.
Interesting because investors may now ask: who funds the AI capex, and what returns justify it?
India’s rupee may be weak, but that does not automatically mean vulnerable. FX reserves are near $707B and FCNR(B) inflows have strengthened RBI’s buffer. (Reuters)
Interesting because currency weakness and external fragility are not the same thing.