Sean Nottoli

International Relations and Conservative Political Campaigner- Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs Fellow, Visiting Fellow, Danube Institute 🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇪🇺🇯🇵

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

Europe wants to be free from dependence on authoritarian supply chains, and Taiwan provides expertise on how. You can see how in my latest for @hu_conservative below. #Taiwan #Europe #China #NATO #Russia #EU #Asia #Pacific #Security https://t.co/YK6lQdl26I

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

When it comes to Taiwan, leadership in Europe and the west overall tend to have the wrong conversation. While most conversations are about what we would do if China invades Taiwan, we should instead be asking "How has Taiwan become indispensable for our security?"

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

Taiwan provides a clear case study in how to shield yourself from mounting authoritarian pressures and prevent weaponized economic interdependence from threatening democracies, and leaders in the west should take note.

[Danube Institute @InstituteDanube]

https://t.co/XNhsO7QSsM

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

There is a disconnect where #China doesn’t understand how Washington views Beijing, and Washington hasn’t fully realized how China views DC. In my latest for the London School of Economics @lseideas i identify the disconnect and their consequences.

[LSE IDEAS @lseideas]

Chinese analysts often interpret Donald Trump’s approach to China through the lens of Cold War rivalry and ideological competition. But does that framework actually capture how Trump understands U.S.–China relations?

In this new China Dialogues piece, Sean Nottoli argues that Trump’s China policy is better understood through transactional realism, economic leverage, trade, technology, and strategic competition than through a democracy-versus-communism framework.
The mismatch matters. If Beijing reads Washington’s actions as part of a long-term ideological struggle, while Washington sees them as pragmatic tools of bargaining, the risk of miscalculation rises. Sustained dialogue, Track II exchanges, and clearer diplomatic signalling may therefore be essential to managing competition.

🔗 Read the full piece on LSE IDEAS’ China Dialogues blog:
https://t.co/iuqXXBVusI

[Eduard Habsburg @EduardHabsburg]

Are you in 🇭🇺Budapest on June 2? Come for a great panel on the West and Christianity at @InstituteDanube , featuring yours truly and @RaymondIbrahim5
https://t.co/o8Qc7dIxqP

[Marci McCarthy @MarciMcCarthyUS]

Tonight, we witnessed the courage of our @SecretService agents—putting their lives on the line to protect @POTUS, @FLOTUS, and everyone attending the White House Correspondents’ Dinner. 🇺🇸

One agent was shot—thankfully, expected to recover. 🙏

Meanwhile, @DHSgov has now been shut down for 70 days—and its employees are not getting paid.

Protecting this nation is not optional. It’s time ⏰ for Congress to fund DHS and keep America safe. 🇺🇸

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

🇯🇵 #Japan is making major changes. Its defense industry synchronization with NATO and U.S. allied partners is only the beginning.

[Visioner @visionergeo]

‼️‼️🇯🇵 BREAKING - The Japanese government has approved a major relaxation of arms export rules, effectively ending the post-war pacifism era and opening the country's military-industrial complex to the global market.

Japan, with a $60 billion military budget, already produces high-tech systems — ranging from submarines and warships to its own missiles, tanks, and combat aircraft. Corporations like Toshiba and Mitsubishi Electric are beginning massive hiring and factory expansions, expecting defense sales to grow by more than 50% by 2031.

As a first practical step, Tokyo plans to supply second-hand missile frigates to the Philippines to strengthen the balance against China in the South China Sea, as well as joint projects with Poland in the fields of electronic warfare and anti-drone systems.

Additionally, Ukraine is expected to join this initiative: an industrial group is already being formed in Tokyo to combine the efforts of Japanese and Ukrainian drone manufacturers.

Although the ban on supplying weapons to active war zones remains, the formation of supply chains independent from the U.S. in Asia makes Japan a serious competitor, including for South Korea and Israel.

At the same time, the country's relatively unique and self-sufficient technological base allows it to quickly take a position in the niche of air defense components and systems, offering allies an alternative to the overburdened U.S. defense industry.

See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

@InstituteDanube Want to understand what "America First" means? Check out the above thread.

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

The biggest mistake people are making about the Trump Admin and the US right now is assuming America is abandoning its allies and going its own way. It's not- it's adapting to reality and redefining how its alliances are evaluated.

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

To learn more about how US domestic politics are reshaping alliances in Europe and the Indo-Pacific, check out my latest research at the @InstituteDanube here: https://t.co/TZYz6vucgt #Japan #China #EU #NATO #Trump

[Sean Nottoli @SeanNottoli]

Great to help share insights into the reality of #Trump ‘s strengthening efforts to strengthen our alliances in #Japan as we enter a new era of great power competition with #China. https://t.co/rOdu3BMR1W