Seed Stage Scouting

Isolating future top 100 prospects using data-driven scouting for the most obscure DSL prospects.

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

I spent 100s of hours building a prospect model for the DSL.

It now has a 44/51 hit rate (86.3%) from 2006~2025.

A thread🧵

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

The DSL Cup Finals will be between the DSL Reds and the DSL Padres Gold!

The Reds are the sole undefeated team in the postseason with a 5-0 record, lead by top prospect Angel Nuñez.

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

The DSL Angels Red remain undefeated in the postseason, going up 1-0 (best of 3) against Jaider Suárez and the DSL Royals Fortuna.

Angel Nuñez was the clear standout, going 2-4 with a double, triple, walk, and 2 SB.

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

Joniel Hernandez belts his second HR of the postseason!

It wasn't enough to win the game though, and the DSL Padres Gold go up 1-0 (best of 3). Dawry Guerrero was the hero of the day, batting in all 5 of the Padres' runs.

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@STRealtyGroup Yep, spot on!

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

Joniel Hernandez with another dominant performance in pool play today:

2-5
HR+SB
2 RBI
3 runs

DSL Giants Black looking like a favorite early on.

#SFGiants

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

Of course, happy to shed light on the DSL! While it's hard to project the ceiling off of just three months of data, it's a guarantee that Joniel's production is in the same lane as top 100 prospects who also went through the DSL at 17. It sounds ambitious but I believe the floor is top 5 among Giants prospects, ceiling is top 20 overall prospect if his hit tool holds in the upper minors! This is assuming his make up is plus plus (almost a certainty)

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

Joniel Hernandez is set to face off against his former team, the DSL Padres Gold, in the semifinals.

What an incredible continuation of a roller coaster season for the 17 year old phenom!

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@WhistlinCoyote lol I agree

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@jamesheintz Thanks! I've been looking at it for a bit and I believe the DSL just uses pool play seeding for tiebreakers

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@jamesheintz interesting... definitely gonna need to clarify with the DSL or something. Sorry for the confusion

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

I believe the tiebreaker rules are:
1. head to head record within pool
2. winning percentage of last 20 regular season games

Since there was a three way 2-1 tie, and those three teams were 1-1 against each other, the tiebreaker defaults to 20 game win percentage, in which case the Brewers Gold wins out.

For some reason MiLB hasn't clearly outlined tiebreaker rules for the DSL, so I'm using the standard MiLB tiebreaker protocol for the postseason. So sorry if I'm wrong!

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@erick_aguirreh Read more about him here:

https://t.co/oz665b6aAN

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

OBP leaders among 5'10"+ 17 yo DSL CF (<20% BB%):

Helvin Mendoza: .495👀
Eduardo Quintero: .472
Francisco Renteria: .470
Angeibel Gomez: .467

Mendoza (#Dodgers) showed much less power than the other 3, but the upside is tremendous.

(📽️: @erick_aguirreh)

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@WhistlinCoyote i see lol, thanks for fact checking

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@WhistlinCoyote yep, that seems to be the case. ignore my ignorant note about the giants black😝

looks like brewers gold and reds, but idk about the other two pools cuz they cancelled some games

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@WhistlinCoyote lol idk either😭 Pretty sure it's head to head record and then last 20 regular season games

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

https://t.co/oz665b6aAN

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

A deep dive on 17 yo Helvin Mendoza, and why he could be the next #Dodgers success story.

Read for free on my Substack!👇

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

@ASSMAN_PTGD 🎯

[Seed Stage Scouting @SeedStageScout]

Two teams have 3 elite 2026 DSL players:

Brewers
Marlins👀

17/30 teams also have at least 1 considered elite by the Seed Stage Model. DSL talent📈📈📈