God first# Passionate about Human rights# Civil Eng with focus on infrastructure resilience &Sustainability#Politics#Sports#Curving my name on hearts not Marble
In 1986 a guy got kicked out of every casino in Vegas for counting cards. So he flew to Hong Kong with $180,000 and started betting on horses instead.
He walked away with almost $900 million.
It was Bill Benter.
He realized horse racing was just another counting problem same math, more moving parts.
He and a partner built a computer model that estimated the true odds of each horse. If his numbers showed an edge, he bet. If not, he skipped it.
That’s the whole trick:
Expected value.
EV = p · b − (1 − p)
Only bet when the probability of winning × the potential payout is greater than the chance of losing.
What’s even crazier is that Benter once gave a 45-minute lecture explaining the math behind his system.
That recording was never supposed to become public.
And almost nobody knows it exists.
This is the lecture that professional bettors and hedge fund analysts studied.
The answer is in this video.
INSTEAD OF WATCHING AN HOUR OF NETFLIX TONIGHT.
This 1-hour Stanford lecture by Joel Peterson will teach you more about negotiation and getting what you want than most people learn in years.
Bookmark it and give it an hour, no matter what.
A man spends 50 years teaching at MIT.
He knows his time is running out.
So he records one last lecture — everything he knows, distilled into a single hour.
He died 5 months later.
This is that lecture.
The most important hour you'll watch this week.
Bookmark it for later!
When abducters deny knowledge of a person they picked, the fate is likely to be like Sam Mugumya’s. After all they got away with disappearing Sam and nothing happened. Every successful act of impunity emboldens more impunity, in even worse forms.
"Dialogue must be with the people of Uganda and not between general Museveni and I. General Museveni has failed to provide accountability for the extrajudicial killings of over 50 people in Kampala in November 2021. Therefore, dialogue without accountability and justice is meaningless" - President @HEBobiwine in an interview with @FRANCE24@UPCSecretariat@jeema256@NUP_Ug@FDCOfficial1@People_Power_Ug@TheAllianceUG
No member of the First Family since 2022 has liked, shared, or retweeted Gen. Kainerugaba's posts. Not his siblings, parents, wife, or children.
Not one.
If you think Uganda's opposition parties are beset with tensions, you should see the misery MK is causing his family.
Dear Kampalans, as you (rightly) express frustration about the state of our drainage system, see what your colleagues are up to. @PoliceUg, see your hommie over here also keeping law and order in reverse.
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@HuduHussein@NUP_Ug The blood of Zembra Senyange a.k.a mando mando is on your hands. You may deny of gun violence but it will one day catch up with you.
@HuduHussein@HEBobiwine COMING IN
One of @HEBobiwine's security guards @JamushidKavuma who was abducted by state security operatives 10 days ago has been rushed to Mulago hospital in a very critical condition. He was violently abducted at Masanafu; whisked away in a drone and detained illegally to date.