Capptino

watch @ learn

[Capptino @Senei0404]

@Jack99dj @keodancer @poppataraphol 还没啊

[Capptino @Senei0404]

所有想开盒的人请注意这两个骗子号，原来2-3万粉丝都是买的。@keodancer @poppataraphol 千万别信！别信！别信！
另外有能力开盒的请私信，需要帮忙。
#��盒
#找人
#查档

[Capptino @Senei0404]

@elonmuskFatZo 24 ,Thanks God!

[Capptino @Senei0404]

最近测的是ENFJ-A，握个爪

[郭宇 guoyu.eth @turingou]

关于如何找到和我一样的人这件事，我确实想了很多方法，其中比较可执行方法是寻找到 nfj 型人，所以这段时间我把认识的 nfj 型人都问了一遍，大家如果有觉得合适的人，也欢迎给我推荐！

[Capptino @Senei0404]

@BTCBruce1 @realDonaldTrump @JDVance 来来来

[LEI @TheMarketMemo]

查理·芒格的人生箴言：
• 從生活中剔除嫉妒和貪婪
• 不要讓怨恨主導你的決策
• 避免自憐、責怪他人和受害者心態
• 量入為出（開支<收入）
• 保持冷靜：即使在困難時期也要保持積極心態
• 與更高質素的人交往
• 誠信：不要賣任何你自己不會買的東西
• 智慧始於承認自己不知道的事情
• 努力培養延遲滿足的心態
• 選擇正確的榜樣（他的榜樣是本傑明·富蘭克林）
• 發揮你的優勢，在你擅長的領域內
• 制定長期計劃並付諸行動
• 使用逆向思維來避免愚蠢的決策
• 多閱讀：每天早上醒來要變得更有智慧
• 永遠走正道，因為這條路更少人走
• 幸福生活的祕訣是保持低期望
• 注意激勵機制，因為它們決定結果
• 好結果來自於極大的耐心
• 找到好配偶的最好方法是你配得上她/他

[Capptino @Senei0404]

@iPhone16_news 宜しくお願い致します。

[Capptino @Senei0404]

回答的非常中国

[象牙山王云 @Gaomixiaodaren]

幹！我笑不活了🤣

[很大很大的橙子 @0xVeryBigOrange]

🤣实在没忍住

[Capptino @Senei0404]

@KK_CNJP 当年的日式西餐的性价比之王，每每路过银座都会想吃一次的节奏。前几个月路过的表参道的分店吃了个午餐，感觉味道差了很多。

[Morris @Morris_LT]

如果想半年内翻身，记住稻盛和夫的五句话：

1.改变自己最快的方法，就是做自己害怕的事，不敢做的事，认为自己做不到是事，觉得不可能的事。

2.买了就不要比价格，吃了就不要后悔，爱了就不要猜疑，散了也不要诋毁，所有的一切，都是为自己的选择而买单。钱没了可以再赚，工作没了可以再找，朋友没了可以再交，爱情没了可以再找，生来就一无所有，何惧重头再来。

3.水到绝境是瀑布，人到绝境是重生，半山腰总是很挤的，你的努力去山顶看看。人生这道题，怎么选都有遗憾，真正的强者，是夜深人静的时候，把心逃出来，自己缝缝补补，睡一觉起来又是信心百倍。活着就该逢山开路，遇水架桥，睡前原谅一切，醒来便是重生。

4.大起大落后，你会发现，你帮过的人，不一定帮过你，但帮过你的人，他还会再帮你，泥泞而识马，落难而识人，不经历一事，不懂得一智。一个人是真心，是假意。不在嘴上，而是在心上，一份情是虚伪，是实际。不在平时而在风雨。

5.钱的背后是事，把事做到极致，钱自来。事的背后是人，把人做好了，事自然成，人背后是命，把生命的维度修好，自有好命运的背后是道，有一颗助人的心，就是正道。

[Capptino @Senei0404]

#311検索はチカラになる に参加しました。ヤフーやLINEで「3.11」と検索すると、LINEヤフーから、おひとりにつき10円が、東日本大震災および能登半島地震の復興支援のために寄付されます。#311これからもできること https://t.co/4M3zMwgKna

[Namzes Cycles @Namzes_G]

📝Long cycle thoughts (2024+):
✅Liquidity cycle turned in late 2022 at the bottom of 3.5Y Kitchin cycle and will be in uptrend for several more years 🔄Both 18.6Y and 3.5Y cycles have ~2 more years after which we re-assess if we have more time in the long cycle
✅Fed started easing exactly on time with presidential cycle working out well so far. In fact, I expected them to start cutting H2 2023, so surprised they lasted this long. I noted in December 2022 that they have to do QE soon due to bank reserves hitting stress levels - this played out exactly that way. Draining liquidity will remain impossible task keeping inflation elevated.
✅Fed over eased, then overtightened, 8%+ mortgage rates/ 5% 10Y spooked them, now making up by easing too fast and signaling further accommodating policy. Powell going for glory.
✅Any signs of banking stress, economic weakness or market crash will trigger further easing and new round of QE (powell looking for an excuse to do it)
⚠️I expect we’ll get several 10% type and at one 20% type shakeouts all within secular bull market - with 1st one being in early 2024
🛢️Mid-late 2023 was 4Y cycle low for most Commodities. Now trend is up till 2025 at least, potentially 2026. I’m looking to allocate to commodities after being out of it most of 2023.
🏠Housing cycle should also start its final leg up
✅There are still trillions of excess M2 in the system and 1T gov deficit making deflationary recession unlikely
🛢️With both oil/commodities and housing back in uptrend and 1T fiscal deficit and easy Fed in the election year, we have a set up for 2nd wave of inflation cycle within 5.34Y cycle (see chart below)
🌽Watch agris start moving up and oil spiking back to ~$100 by spring - sending first warning shot
💡One hypothesis I had past 2 years is this 18.6Y economic cycle ends with 2nd wave of 5.35Y inflation cycle and Fed tries to tighten again (yes they will hike again thinking they can repeat 2022-23), but this time there will be no excess savings and we’ll be in late stage economic cycle and this will trigger economic collapse.
🚨When Fed realizes they are on the brink of economic collapse they flood system with money triggering even bigger inflationary cycle (10%+ CPI)
🇯🇵BoJ will likely drop YCC making yen is significantly underpriced which is supported my my cycle work
💦My plan for next 2 years is stay liquid, save and have a back up plan for the crisis and assess if your job is safe due to Ai and upcoming economic collapse. Most people will be blind sided, not prepared and will overextend financially due to mass euphoria. Stay humble when everyone else will try to keep up with the joneses
⚠️Assets will become extremely overpriced and will pull decade worth of returns forward. Investors will give back most if not all gains from COVID lows.
📝This has been my working hypothesis past 2-3 years and hasn’t changed much - most of these ideas have been shared here.

[Dr.Wang @HotmailfromSH]

「十月怀胎中胎儿��怕的9件事」

[左手墨迹 @Pandazhq]

相逢的意义是照亮彼此

[小径残雪 @xiaojingcanxue]

齐齐哈尔中学体育馆坍塌事件遇难学生家长发言6分半钟完整版。

[Capptino @Senei0404]

@sumaho_mnp iPhone14一括1円複数契約について伺いたいです、詳細お願いします。

[Exclosion 👁 @exclosion]

👇SQUARE OF 9👇

1) Gann’s Pyramid is a trading system developed during the 1920s by William Gann. Although his theory was never published in a scientific journal and some traders view it as something close to astrology.

#GANN #squareofnine #timeforecasting #astrocycles

+++

[Fiorente2 @Fiorente2]

Quote of the day: "There is a Time in the Price of Certain Products and Commodities, Which, If Taken by Men at the Advance, Leads on to Fortune; And if Taken at the Decline, Leads To Ruin." Samuel Banner