Active managers are significantly underperforming in 2026:
Just 25% of large-cap active equity mutual funds are beating the S&P 500 year-to-date, the lowest reading since 2021.
This percentage is on track for its 4th consecutive annual decline.
Even at the peak of the 2008 Financial Crisis, 40% of active managers were still outperforming the index.
Yet before the Iran War began, almost 50% were outperforming the S&P 500.
However, as investors rotated aggressively into technology and semiconductor stocks during the conflict, that edge evaporated almost entirely, as these are sectors where active managers tend to be underweight.
Missing the AI trade is incredibly costly.
China is reducing its reliance on foreign AI chips:
China's AI chip self-sufficiency ratio is up to a record 41%.
This measures the proportion of domestic AI chip demand met by locally produced chips, rather than imported ones.
This ratio has QUADRUPLED over the last 5 years.
The AI chip self-sufficiency ratio is now projected to more than DOUBLE to ~85% by 2030, according to Morgan Stanley.
In other words, China could meet nearly all of its own AI chip demand domestically within 5 years.
China's AI chip independence is accelerating.
Just finished traveling all Europe and never seen more fcked up place in Europe than England and Ireland. Dirty in the streets, people begging for money to get drugs and generally very unhelpful people. Food sucks the most. Totally lost faith in these countries. Do you agree?
@OscarEnjoylife@krassenstein I have been to China shortly and also havent seen any… maybe he is just saying his first impression .. not saying Im with him on this.
My first cycle, I learnt a lot. I haven’t lost any money because Im not that dumb.
I started taking profits with every 20% and guess what I did 2 times more wins than losses. so Im in 2x profits. My advice is build capital take profits and protect your capital.