Sham

Data-driven tennis betting Focused on value, discipline, and long-term profit. | POTD🔨 RECORD: 41-10-1 | FREE TELEGRAM ➡️

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Started this account 2 months ago with one goal: build a long-term profitable model and stay disciplined through variance. 🎾📈

Since then:

🔥 +67.22 Units Profit
🇲🇨 +21.94U Madrid
🇮🇹 +2.33U Rome (ongoing)
📊 Multiple 30–70% ROI cards
🎯 Countless live reads & underdog hits

Biggest thing I’ve learned:
Consistency > chasing.
Smaller edges compound fast when bankroll management and structure stay sharp.

Appreciate everyone who’s been following the journey so far 🤝
We’re just getting started.
#atp #Gambling𝕏

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Hurkacz writeup…
The case starts with what he just did: He beat the No. 8 seed Rublev 6-3 6-2, covering this same -3.5 number against a top-10 player. He’s into this round on a clean, low-stress win rather than a grind. So there’s no fatigue working against him. The backdrop only reinforces it. Hurkacz is a former Halle champion and a past finalist here (this is one of his best events). His opponent Daniel Altmaier is a clay-court built for long topspin rallies type of player. No serve weapon to bail himself out, and limited tools to manufacture cheap holds against one of the biggest servers in the game. It’s the exact serve vs return mismatch that turns a win into a win by a comfortable margin. The real edge though is in the price. The public is 88% on Hurkacz’s moneyline, which bloated it to super crap odds and left the -3.5 spread sitting at plus money (2.05) when fair value is closer to 1.80-1.90. I’ll be straight that this is a moderate edge, not a lock. One service lull or a single Altmaier hold and steal can destroy this bet. Which is exactly why it’s 1.5U.

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

ATP Halle PTOD🔨 06/17🇩🇪🔥🎾

Hubert Hurkacz -3.5 Games @ 2.05 1.5U🔨

Taking the pole to win here by a comfortable margin. Can’t see why he can’t destroy Altmaier with his serve and just all around difference in skill alone.

Best of luck to everyone who tails!🥂🔥🎾
#ATP #ATP500 #ATPHalle

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

ATP Halle & London / WTA Berlin & Nottingham Full Card 06/16🔥🎾

🇩🇪🇬🇧
Yastremska ML + Muchova ML @ 1.73 2.5U
🇩🇪 (Berlin & Halle)
Fernandez ML @ 1.73 2U
Griekspoor ML @ 1.68 1.5U
Medvedev -1.5 Set hc @ 1.67 1U
Popyrin ML @ 2.31 1U
🇬🇧
Norrie ML @ 2.13 0.5U

Big card for tomorrow! Let’s cash!🔥🎾
#ATP #WTA

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WTA Nottingham / ATP Halle PTOD🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇩🇪

Tatjana Maria ML / Frances Tiafoe +1.5 Set hc @ 1.83 1.5U✅✅

Tiafoe takes first set 6-2, and Maria defeats Tjen 6-3, 6-2. Sweat free cash. Finally gaining some momentum!
#WTANottingham #ATPHalle

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

WTA Nottingham / ATP Halle PTOD🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇩🇪

Tatjana Maria ML / Frances Tiafoe +1.5 Set hc @ 1.83 1.5U

Only running this parlay for tomorrow. Don’t want to force anything like I did yesterday with another small slate.
#ATP #ATPHalle #WTANottingham

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

WTA Nottingham / ATP Halle PTOD🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇩🇪

Tatjana Maria ML / Frances Tiafoe +1.5 Set hc @ 1.83 1.5U

Only running this parlay for tomorrow. Don’t want to force anything like I did yesterday with another small slate.
#ATP #ATPHalle #WTANottingham

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

ATP Halle / London Quals Full Card 06/14🇩🇪🇬🇧

Aleksandar Vukic ML @ 1.63 2U🔨🔨❌
Marcos Giron ML @ 1.80 1.5U💰❌
Lorenzo Sonego ML @ 1.60 1.5U❌

WTA London Live bet🇬🇧🔥🎾

Raducanu to win 2nd Set @ 2.30 2.5U❌
Raducanu ML @ 4.80 0.5U❌

I might just be the worst tennis bettor of all time. @FadeShamBets doesn’t sound too shabby right now. All jokes aside, really just ended this terrible week with probably the worst card I have ever created. I was better off flipping a coin to predict who would win each match. I have no choice but to full sweep tomorrow. Time to get my shit together, on the hot seat right now. Adversity breeds champions.

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

@kbetsdoomer Whole card is fading rn, might have to change my name FadeShamBets🤣🤣. Sorry about this card brother. Only fires me up more to beat the books!

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

ATP Halle / London Quals Full Card 06/14🇩🇪🇬🇧

Aleksandar Vukic ML @ 1.63 2U🔨🔨
Marcos Giron ML @ 1.80 1.5U💰
Lorenzo Sonego ML @ 1.60 1.5U

Writeups in comments. Best of luck to everyone tailing, let’s cash!
#ATP #ATPHalle #ATPLondon

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

WTA London Live bet🇬🇧🔥🎾

Raducanu to win 2nd Set @ 2.30 2.5U
Raducanu ML @ 4.80 0.5U

Raducanu has looked very solid throughout London. We all saw how she just handled Jovic. She was just seen by the medic and got her thigh tape removed. I totally think this was throwing her off her game. She looked very solid in her first serve game of the second set and I love her odds to win it. No better place to make a comeback with the home crowd backing her!🇬🇧🔥🎾
#WTALondon

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Giron looked very solid in Stuttgart. He beat Bautista Agut 2-0, and went toe to toe with Shelton losing 6-7(4), 6-4, 6-7(5). When Giron holds his composure and stays poised he plays tennis at an elite level. I like his odds to beat Hijikata.

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Vukic has the much more proven tour level grass profile. He has the more accurate serve and all around better weaponry to demolish Wendelkin. I feel like the only reason the market is pricing this match so close is because of Wendelkin’s home advantage. However I don’t think that will be the deciding factor on who comes out on top in this match. Give me Vukic!

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

These weather delays might make me go mad. Can the Shelton and Giron match please just end. I don’t even care who wins anymore😭😭

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Feel like there overpricing Sonmez over Linette. Sonmez won her last match 6-1, 2-0, against Potapova (later retired due to illness). Her stats this tournament are super inflated all due to the beat down she put on Potapova. Linette is a skilled veteran who has a much more powerful serve that will dismantle Sonmez.

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

ATP Stuttgart / Hertogenbosch Full Card 06/12🇩🇪🇳🇱🔥🎾

Adrian Mannarino ML @ 1.67 2U🔨🔨
Amanda Anisimova ML @ 1.71 1.75U
Frances Tiafoe ML @ 2.14 1.5U💰
Magda Linette ML @ 1.89 1.25U

Writeups in comments. Just also wanted to address the tough week I have had. Some really good reads. And then some really crappy reads. Everyone has there swings. Won’t be long until this sloppy transition from clay to grass comes to an end. I will eventually get back into the swing of things and start stacking good days upon good days. If you look at the Clay season alone we went up over 48U!! I appreciate everyone that continues to support me through the adversity!
#ATP #ATPStuttgart #ATPHertogenbosch

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Taking Tiafoe to beat Lehecka. My reasoning being that Lehecka didn’t have the most clean win over Duckworth, he didn’t look sharp and had over 46 unforced errors. Tiafoe only had 26 and had a much cleaner 2-0 win against Hijikata. Love the price the market is giving for Tiafoe here. At plus odds his ML is a steal!

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Jovic and Anisimova have both looked phenomenal throughout London. However Anisimova is the much heavier returner here. This will constantly put pressure on Jovic and give her no room for error. Especially considering the fact that she was landing her first serve at 54% against Eala. Anisimova was connecting her first serve at 74%, and beat Siegemund 6-1, 6-3 (Siegemund was serving at 90% too). Anisimova should dominate this match!

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

Mannarino has looked excellent throught Hertogenbosch. He overcame both Diallo and Rinderknech. Mannarino actually beat Zhang 2-0 in the Miami Open. Which isn’t exactly similar to these Hertogenbosch grass courts. But it is still something to consider. Just off recent form alone im taking Mannarino to win this match. He has been playing too good of tennis to fade him here.

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

18 unforced errors in the third set. 4 of them in the tie break. Really tough loss there. I will always bet against the mental midget Taylor F(ade)ritz. Fading him tomorrow, he had no business winning that match🤣🤣

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

ATP Stuttgart Live Bet🇩🇪🔥🎾

Landaluce ML @ 2.64 1U

Fritz still has that ongoing injury that took him out of clay season. He doesn’t look fully healthy to me. Fritz has had 18 Aces on the fast paced grass, however even after having 12 in the first set, he still loses in a tiebreak. If he is forced to play in long rallies he slowly crumbles given his health. The only way he is scoring right now is through strong returns and his serves. When he doesn’t come up with a big return Landaluce pummels him with shots. I think this third set will be a different story and Landaluce will come out on top.
#ATP #ATPSuttgart

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

@GabrielsccpC 100%. All depends on the player of course. Fritz not so much, but if it does go to a long rally, Landaluce is winning that point. Fritz’s only hope is his serve right now.

[Sham @ShamBooksBets]

ATP Stuttgart Live Bet🇩🇪🔥🎾

Landaluce ML @ 2.64 1U

Fritz still has that ongoing injury that took him out of clay season. He doesn’t look fully healthy to me. Fritz has had 18 Aces on the fast paced grass, however even after having 12 in the first set, he still loses in a tiebreak. If he is forced to play in long rallies he slowly crumbles given his health. The only way he is scoring right now is through strong returns and his serves. When he doesn’t come up with a big return Landaluce pummels him with shots. I think this third set will be a different story and Landaluce will come out on top.
#ATP #ATPSuttgart