๐จ Paris R1: Blockx vs Merida โ the market's right ๐พ
๐ Blockx (โ138): #27, US Open QF + Madrid SF this year. 6'4" server on fast indoor hard.
๐ Merida (+138): #41, both ATP finals on clay. Lost Vienna R1 to Medvedev in straights.
โก Twist: on paper this is a coin flip. The price isn't โ +138 is cheap for 50/50.
๐ฏ Win/loss โ Blockx.
Price โ Merida. Pick your lane, don't call it a lock.
โ Not financial advice ยท RT if you're on Paris
๐จ Paris Masters โ the French wildcards are NOT what the odds say ๐ซ๐ท
๐ฏ Arthur Gรฉa (WC) โ ranked #44, rated like a top-30 player. Kalshi has him โ133 vs Struff. Should be closer to โ230.
๐ฏ Titouan Droguet (WC) โ ranked #72, rated inside the top 50. Listed as the DOG (+117) vs Molcan, who's playing his 3rd match in 3 days.
โก Twist: Daniel Merida โ the Spaniard in the Blockx match โ is rated top-30 too and sitting at +138. Three dogs, same story.
๐ The one WC to fade: Kouame vs Davidovich Fokina. Weakest player in the draw, Davidovich โ270 is still cheap.
๐ซ Dead zone: Jรณdar โ400, Bergs โ257 โ market already priced the hype.
โ Not financial advice ยท RT if you're on Paris this week
๐จ ATP Paris Masters โ R1 board (Mon/Tue) ๐พ
๐ Locks: Davidovich Fokina (โ270), Djokovic (โ223), Ruud (โ270)
๐ฐ Value dogs: Merida +138, Droguet +117, van de Zandschulp +150, Darderi +113
๐ Fav I still like at the price: Nakashima โ144
๐ซ Pass โ market's run ahead: Bergs โ257, Paul โ194, Khachanov โ156, Van Assche โ156, Norrie โ212
โก Fade the hype: Jรณdar โ400 is too rich for a R1
Parlays posted
โ Not financial advice ยท RT if you're on Paris this week