NEW Week 9 Prediction Show!
NFL best bets
NFL ref analysis & best ref bets
Props best bets
📺: https://t.co/me6NrxKXna
featuring @LordReebs & @nflrefstats1
don't miss it
Georgia's explosive play rate (20+ yard plays):
2025: #100 in FBS (5.8%)
2026: #4 in FBS
Ole Miss defensive explosive play rate allowed?
#123 in FBS
Georgia vs Ole Miss preview:
https://t.co/APWjlsanD4
Miami runs between the tackles on 58% of carries
Notre Dame defense between the tackles:
#4 in YPC allowed (3.0)
#3 in yards after contact allowed
20% of up-the-middle runs are stuffed for no gain
#2 lowest explosive run rate allowed
https://t.co/n2YwtEciTp
Ole Miss receivers after the catch:
#114 in YAC per reception
#113 in broken/missed tackle rate after the catch
Ole Miss explosive play rate:
2025: #12 in FBS (8.6%)
2026: #81
https://t.co/APWjlsanD4
Utah RBs run outside the tackles 62% of the time, #17 in FBS
but they rank #65 in YPC outside the tackles
and BYU ranks #9 in YPC vs outside runs (3.2 YPC)
When Utah RB are hit at or behind the line of scrimmage, they have gone down for zero or negative yards 56% of the time, worst rate in nation
https://t.co/nWbW6O7Vzn
Alabama's defense vs quick dropbacks (under 2.5 seconds):
#94 in Y/A allowed
#82 in broken/missed tackle rate vs the pass
#71 in pressure rate (13%)
LSU throws underneath on nearly half its attempts
https://t.co/AckC2VV9ir
Notre Dame gets the ball out in under 2.5 seconds on 59% of dropbacks, #4 fastest in FBS
Pressured on just 7.3% of those att
Miami vs quick throws: #103 in completion rate allowed (75%)
UNC last week: 16 of 18, 10.6 Y/A, 3 TD on quick dropbacks
https://t.co/n2YwtEciTp
Kentucky offense: #1 in yards gained before contact
Tennessee defense: #90 in yards allowed before contact
The Vols allow 3+ yards before contact on 32% of RB carries, #118 in FBS
#117 in explosive run rate allowed (15%)
https://t.co/mWGxWSStvS
the matchups that WILL decide Week 9's biggest games:
📺: https://t.co/ujMoAGhhB0
- CIN v ATL: Can Falcons get after Burrow?
- TB v CHI: Ben Johnson v Todd Bowles 🔥
- NE v GB: Drake Maye v 1st solid pass DEF since wk 3
- CAR v DEN: Broncos FINALLY face a lighter run DEF
plus other key matchup notes for Week 9
@LordReebs & I break it all down
NEW Week 9 Prediction Show!
NFL best bets
NFL ref analysis & best ref bets
Props best bets
📺: https://t.co/me6NrxKXna
featuring @LordReebs & @nflrefstats1
don't miss it
Broncos defense vs WRs:
#1 lowest catch rate allowed (56%)
#2 lowest yards per target allowed (6.8)
#3 lowest TD rate allowed (2.6%)
and now Patrick Surtain is back
heavyweight matchup vs Tetairoa McMillan
Jaxon Smith-Njigba:
#1 in receiving yards (985)
#1 in receiving TDs (9)
100+ yards in 7 of 8 games
Cardinals vs WR1s:
#25 in yards per target allowed (9.5)
#30 in TD rate allowed (8.9%)
JSN's target share in the last 2 meetings: 42% and 50%
https://t.co/t5FsLo1Hxl
Without Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson, the Panthers allowed:
Jameson Williams: 6-102
DeVonta Smith: 7-75-1
Christian Watson: 8-113
Matthew Golden: 7-79-1
Jaylen Waddle: team-high 30% of Denver's targets vs single-high
Nico Collins this year:
Dead last among WRs in ESPN's open score
Bottom 5 in average separation per target
Texans vs Chargers preview:
https://t.co/6dKzEB9tNx
Colston Loveland since Caleb Williams returned:
#1 among TEs in target share (29%)
Vs the blitz: team-high 25% target share
Vs Cover 3: team-high 23% of targets
The Bucs' go-to looks?
blitzing with Cover 3 / single-high
https://t.co/1A7kk72YqH
The Panthers allow a TD on 80% of red-zone trips (16 of 20)
#1 most in NFL
Jonah Coleman took over Denver's backfield in the second half last week:
90% of snaps
8 touches
77 yards
TD