@ShitcoinMaxi_ We are reading the same Stocktwits updates / agree with everything completely. I really hope they don’t announce pre-market as I am not at full size yet.
If you like analysis / similar setup - encourage you to look at $GLSI - currently waiting to hit 14 events
@ShitcoinMaxi_ Hey. I’m a big bull fan of SLS. Can’t wait to fully read this.
Question though. Your 0.5/month - if indeed we hit the 80 in April (see theory about clinicaltrial website update). That would actually be increase to 2 events / month right ? To be 0.5 we need to go till 2027?
@PeuterToon When did you predict open label hit full enrolment ? What is your predicted 500 enrolled for non-open label ? I did rough math before and came up with Oct - Dec assuming 0/14 split.
@crypto_biotech@jonatha15364843 Why do you say that ? My napkin math agrees - assuming 0 events in drug arm - it looks to me like Sep-Dec. Or are you assuming 2 of 14 in drug arm ?
@elisworld77 Good luck to all of us! Hoping for those 14 events to occur in Dec 2026 ! If so - should be great (80%+) and a last minute win with our pick.
@crypto_biotech Using last 2 PRs ; would love if you could validate my expectation of 14 events hits Q4 `26
-~1000 pts Dec1,if 460 HER2 (=230pbo).
-At 150 screen /qtr (past yr) = ~35 pbo add per qtr for past yr. 1 yr ago - makes us only ~100 pbo?
-my napkin math;shows Q4 (love to be wrong
@intimepk That is what I came up with as well in my simple spreadsheet. q4 2026. Assuming 100% in placebo arm. They say “screened” patients. It’s up to 3 months from screening to starting drug… so that shifts things by half a quarter.
@intimepk@crypto_biotech --- $GLSI ; loved your past analysis. Hoping my math is wrong in my last reply but(assuming vaccine 100%);think we are still a ways away from 14; if only 96 placebo 1 year ago. Also: PR said "screened" patients... ie add up to 3 month before drug starts
@intimepk $GLSI - Trial design -- dont think open-label count for 14 events.
With 1000 screened and 46% HLA-02 = 460 /2 = 230 in the Placebo arm. At 150 screen per quarter (past year) * 46% =69/2 = 34 placebo per QTR; So1 year ago we had 96 placebo total. At 2.4 events/year...