Shazdaq

20 y/o Futures Trader

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

A stock chart is just an image of different human decisions, and humans tend to make decisions in patterns. Therefore, someone who can interpret those patterns should be able to predict them into the future.

This is why TA will always work.

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Taking tomorrow off cuz of OPEX

Many people have been struggling in this price action

It always gets better

One of the most important parts of profitability is knowing when to be risk on and when to be risk off

Skip tmrw, and if you still decide to trade, go for 1/1 rr only

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Next targets

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

BANG- I must be a time traveler😈

When you see the same pattern hundreds of times

You start noticing things…

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Long overdue dump today.

Only caught the first 120 points🤧😓

Both red lines are my next target areas…

Generational Longs coming Soon😉

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Pain 1993
#nq

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Long overdue dump today.

Only caught the first 120 points🤧😓

Both red lines are my next target areas…

Generational Longs coming Soon😉

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Unfilled NWOG and equal lows on ES

Could this be any more obvious?

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Bang

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Watch for these equal lows at 595

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Watch for these equal lows at 595

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

@DodgysDD @FromErik85389 God will always know

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Man Fuck Bill Gates fr cuz how did we let this nerd get this powerful? And nobody ever just beat the shit outta him tho?? Or maybe he did get bullied in highschool but instead of taking the school shooter route he was actually way smarter so chose to rule humanity and destroy us

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

This world is a theatre

[Andrew Tate @Cobratate]

They accused me to cover for Epstein.

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

@DiegoBTrades @DodgysDD Green or red isn’t what’s important. Look at his last tweet, that’s profitability.

[Yush @TraderYush]

The hardest part of trading for me was accepting a red day.

Every red day turned into a blow-up day.
Green days? Easy to walk away.
Red days? I’d spiral.

Then it hit me.
I came in every morning expecting to make X dollars.
Expecting a payout by X date.
So the moment a trade went red, it felt like my future was being taken from me.

That pain = tilt.
Tilt = bad decisions.
Bad decisions = blown accounts.

Everything changed when I stopped trading for $$
and started trading to execute well.

My job isn’t to make money today.
My job is to follow my rules.

Money is a byproduct.
Discipline is the edge.

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

This is some of the best trading sauce I have ever read on Twitter.

Never size according to confidence, confidence doesn’t mean accuracy. Size according to the MATH behind your approach to the market.

[L2WTrades @L2WTrades]

talked to a guy who's been trading 23 years and manages $40M

asked him what separates traders who survive from traders who blow up

his answer surprised me

it wasn't strategy. it wasn't discipline. it wasn't psychology.

"bet sizing. that's it. that's the whole game."

here's what he explained:

THE THESIS:

"I've seen hundreds of traders come through. good ones. smart ones. talented ones."

"90% of the ones who blew up didn't blow up from bad trades. they blew up from bad sizing on normal trades."

"a 1R loss at proper size is nothing. a 1R loss at 10x proper size is account death."

THE EXAMPLES:

he walked me through case studies:

TRADER A:
- excellent strategy, 58% WR
- consistently profitable for 2 years
- had a "high conviction" trade
- sized up 5x normal position
- trade lost
- drawdown was 23% instead of 5%
- psychology cracked
- revenge traded the next week
- blew the account in 8 days

"he didn't blow up from a bad trade. he blew up from a big trade."

TRADER B:
- mediocre strategy, 51% WR
- survived for 11 years
- never sized above 0.8% per trade
- took the same size on every trade
- no "high conviction" sizing
- compounded slowly but never blew up

"he's worth $4M now. started with $50k. just never killed himself with size."

THE RULE:

"every trader who blows up violates the same rule"

"they size based on CONVICTION instead of MATH"

"'this one feels right' so they go bigger"
"'I'm on a winning streak' so they go bigger"
"'I need to make it back' so they go bigger"

"conviction is how you justify stupid sizing"

THE DATA:

he showed me internal research:

traders who sized based on conviction:
- average survival time: 2.4 years
- account explosion rate: 74%

traders who sized mathematically (same size every trade):
- average survival time: 8.3 years
- account explosion rate: 12%

"it's not even close. variable sizing kills traders."

THE MATH:

he broke down why "high conviction" sizing is stupid:

"let's say you're 60% accurate on normal trades"
"let's say you're 70% accurate on 'high conviction' trades"

"sounds good right? go bigger on the 70% trades?"

"wrong. here's why:"

"at 60% accuracy with 1% risk, a 4-loss streak costs you 4%"
"at 70% accuracy with 5% risk, a 4-loss streak costs you 20%"

"and 4-loss streaks happen even at 70% accuracy"

"you FEEL more confident but the math doesn't justify the size increase"

THE SOLUTION:

"how do you size then?"

"same size every trade. no exceptions."

"what about when you're really confident?"

"same size. confidence isn't accuracy."

"what about when the setup is perfect?"

"same size. perfect setups lose 40% of the time."

"what about when you're on a winning streak?"

"same size. streaks end."

"every trade gets the same respect. the 'boring' ones and the 'perfect' ones."

THE IMPLEMENTATION:

his rules for position sizing:

1. calculate your base risk (0.5-2% depending on account size and edge)
2. that's your risk on EVERY trade
3. never size up. ever.
4. if you want more money, scale accounts/capital. don't scale risk.

"I've been trading 23 years. I've never taken a trade above 2% risk. not once."

"my biggest winners and my 'meh' trades got the same size"

"I'm not trying to hit home runs. I'm trying to not strike out."

THE TRUTH:

retail traders think they need big trades to make big money

professionals know big trades make big losses

the traders managing real money all size conservatively

they make money through VOLUME of good trades not SIZE of individual trades

if you're varying your position size based on "conviction":
you're already on the path to blowing up

it's just a matter of when

same size
every trade
no exceptions

that's how you survive

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

@Equ1ty_Engineer @Shinobbs U can still catch stuff like this tho

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Printing paper on paper account in Asia but I’m not even in Asia rn #nasdaq

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Trade selectively is the single reason why I am not rich yet.

If nothing changes, nothing changes.

2026 is personal.

[dhesii @dhesi_trades]

What I need to work in 2026:

Limiting trades.

I am easily able to identify low probability price action, however I need to ACT on that.

I see an A+ set up in low probability conditions and take a chance (half risk, full risk etc). I NEED TO STOP.

If I can avoid those days completely, my trading will be 10% better by the end of 12 months.

[dhesii @dhesi_trades]

What I need to work in 2026:

Limiting trades.

I am easily able to identify low probability price action, however I need to ACT on that.

I see an A+ set up in low probability conditions and take a chance (half risk, full risk etc). I NEED TO STOP.

If I can avoid those days completely, my trading will be 10% better by the end of 12 months.

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

@DiegoBTrades I can. OPEX was today. Backtest any OPEX (options expiration day). We edge the TP every single time. Go look for yourself. We also had a SMT with ES.

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

@Lil_Brick2018 Launching in Q3

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

I wanted to take the long to PDH before while projectX was down, but being forced to wait ended up resulting in an even bigger win. Good reminder today to never chase because there will always be another setup. My personal win rate has always been higher after 10AM. JUST WAIT‼️

[Shazdaq @Shazdaqq]

Today’s Trade- ProjectX crashed again but we still managed to hit a banger today. 10AM reversal short- 110 Points🎯
#nq #nasdaq