Shift Predicts

Where founders and community owners launch prediction markets.

Infrastructure by @shiftmarkets. Grants up to $1M 👇

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

Your audience already argues about outcomes in your replies. Turn that into a business.

Launch your own prediction market with grants up to $1M through the Founder Program.👇

https://t.co/aXt2i2RsWD

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

Steal This Startup 💡

A rain odds widget for outdoor event ticketing.

Festivals and wedding venues show organizers the market odds for each date, then sell a paid date swap when the odds turn.

Weather markets already exist on Kalshi and Polymarket, so the data is waiting. The product is the swap.

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

Roadmap if you build your own prediction market from scratch:

Q1: build the matching engine.

Q2: wonder where the users are. 😅

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@claudeai

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@GoogleDeepMind @ArtificialAnlys

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@GeminiApp

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@WatcherGuru End of an era 🤯

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@AnthropicAI Refreshing my broker app waiting for Anthropic to list

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@bot @Subscriptions

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

A bowling alley owner asked for a market on December snowfall and got one built for her.

An LA ice cream shop hedges colder days the same way.

Small businesses carry risks like this every season, and few have had a practical way to cover them. That is why prediction markets matter beyond trading.

[Kalshi for Small Business @kalshi_business]

Mammoth Rock ‘n’ Bowl is a restaurant and bowling alley in Mammoth, California, one of the top ski towns in America.

Like the hotels, rentals, and shops around it, the business runs on winter tourism. A bad snow year hits revenue hard. Rock ‘n’ Bowl is especially exposed since they also sponsor a youth snowboarding team.

So rather than wait and see, co-owner Ashley Marks asked Kalshi for a market on Mammoth Mountain December snowfall. We built it, and she’s trading $5,000 for a $31,250 payout if there’s weak snow.

"We created the snow market with Kalshi because like other mom and pop businesses, we live with seasonal snow risk and wanted to give the community a way to offset some of that uncertainty." - Ashley

If the snow comes, business runs like any other winter, and she loses the $5,000 trade.

If it doesn’t, the Kalshi position pays out, giving Ashley $26,250 to help offset lost tourist revenue.

Either way, Ashley's business is protected.

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@claudeai

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@Google @GoogleDeepMind

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@claudeai @kevin_t_ngo

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@claudeai

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@finkd

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

Writing software is cheap now.

Licensing, liquidity and compliance still take years, so the teams who already have them can offer them to everyone else.

A new builder can borrow all of that and spend their time on the product and the people using it. That's how a small team gets to revenue faster.

[@levelsio @levelsio]

It's never been this easy to build software

And never this hard to make money with it

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@WatcherGuru Give it .2 seconds before someone makes a ticker to do with this...

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@dhalishiva @X 🤝

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

Good morning @X algorithm 👋

Looking to #connect with people building in:

• Fintech
• AI tools
• SaaS
• Developer tools
• Startups
• Building in public

Reply with what you’re working on and we’ll follow back 🤝

[Shift Predicts @ShiftPredicts]

@codvynn White-label prediction markets is pretty cool stuff🤷any community can launch their own event contract!

Lets connect 🤝