MAKE SENSE?!?
Sentiment is always the clearest signal.
People watch content to confirm their bias. It makes us feel good if someone tells us something we want to hear.
So think about it...
Why would everyone want the chart to fall????
Because they missed the entire bottom. If they are out, at some point they get forced in. Price doesn't tend to fall when the consensus is ' i wish i could buy lower'
One day the bulls will get all the attention.. at that point stay cautious.
4 year cycle debunked in 1 chart.
look at the consistent length of previous mid cycle corrections on the global business cycle (bottom line on @TechDev_52 chart)
now see that the most recent one is 2 years longer... this elongated mid cycle happened because of delayed debt refi. - this was why no altcoin season happened and bitcoin ran up on apathy.
oh and it was Scott Bessant's announcement a week or so ago about debt refi that caused the MASSIVE surge up for Bitcoin..
Now business cycle expansion / ISM numbers new highs monthly will give the actual bitcoin blow off top and the alt season we've waited over 5 years for.
'it happened before' isn't analysis when the data set is 2.. Here's what else happened before but is different this time.
- there was no altcoin season
- bitcoin hit all time high before halving for first time
- bitcoin v gold bear market finished at the beginning of mid term year not the end.. both times before were december..
This means new highs come way earlier than most expect, because we are in the middle of an elongated cycle... not the beginning of a new one.
Do you agree? What coins are you holding?
Trump is fuming right now because Bessent gave him “bad advice”
Miran will take advantage of situation to reinsert conditional bilateralism
Market will crap out
Fed will be forced to play the tiles
US will realize OMO/TGA not enough to defend 30y
Plaza Accord 2.0
BTC rips
SAMSON MOW: "There's 100 million Satoshis in a Bitcoin, and you could reprice the US dollar to one Satoshi equals $1"
"There's no way to pay the debt off and debt is far higher than GDP. So something has to give. Either there's a debt jubilee all around, or you have to reprice or rebase to a harder asset."
"When fiat currency fails, you just make a new one and you lop off some zeros. But with the advent of Bitcoin, it's no longer possible because people have an option now. They have a choice to go to Bitcoin or to accept a new fiat... it is inevitable that we do rebase to Bitcoin eventually."
If this is your first crypto cycle
here is my Spot Strategy recommendation so you dont get rekked.
Hold 80% of your allocation to crypto in adopted L1 network stake (majors) - hold these in cold storage self custody and do not touch this portfolio until at least Q3 2027 but most probably the hold is to 2030 for maximum appreciation. Add to these on major pullbacks if more liquidity becomes available or use a DCA (dollar cost average) strategy but start today. Add to self custody wallets directly. Its an accumulation strategy with exit at the top of the Wyckoff Distribution. Follow my Wyckoff posts for timing in 2027/2028.
$BTC, $SOL, $ETH, $SUI, $HYPE
20% dabble in ecosystem infrastructure tokens like $ORE, $WAL, $DEEP, $JUP and similar but keep them in hot wallets and be ready to trade them into StableCoin and back as they may experience periodic moments of decoupling from $BTC in their own way. This arbitrage can increase your token balances. Dont overtrade. 90% of traders lose tokens.
If you want high risk high return dopamine games allocate 5% of this allocation to Leverage trading the above majors and infrastructure tokens in a DEX to try increase liquidity and to accumulate more majors in cold storage, but understand you may lose it if you dont know what you are doing.
Avoid crypto that represents nothing or is unadopted, and avoid high leverage trading over 10x.
High leverage trading over 10x has a very low success rate. If you are well trained it can be rewarding. If you use higher leverage follow my Liquidation Level stream and posts, and Max Pains, these will identify exactly where the price will be manipulated to hunt you down. Counter trade these flushes.
Never all in.
Never leverage trade large amounts of your allocation.
Safest play? 100% $BTC
Good luck and bon voyage.🛫
Japanese financial powerhouse SBI Holdings has announced a strategic partnership with the Solana Foundation to build an on-chain financial market in Japan. The initiative involves rebranding SBI R3 Japan to SBI Solana Global, with the Solana Foundation acquiring a stake alongside existing shareholders like SBI Holdings and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG).
Think about this:
OpenAI wants to take a cut of customers AI-aided discoveries but also wants to offer private equity firms 17.5%+ “guaranteed” returns and offer early access to said tools
No wonder people don’t believe in capitalism anymore. The system is totally broken