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15 NFL Bets I Took for this Sunday:
1. Davante Adams OVER 68.5 receiving yards
Adams will face the Bears bottom-3 defense. Expect him to be force fed after voicing his frustrations with his role in the offense…
2. Puka Nacua OVER 58.5 receiving yards
He’s earned 29% of the targets since Kupp returned. Nacua had just 26 yards last week because the Rams threw a season-low 24 times. Expect more targets against the Steelers bottom-10 secondary...
3. Kenneth Walker OVER 72.5 rush yards
He’s an 8-point favorite against the Cardinals bottom-5 run defense. Arizona allowed a 158-yard game to Kyren Williams last week. Walker is coming off season best usage in Week 6…
4. Jayden Reed OVER 2.5 catches
He’s over this in 80% of his games. Reed is coming off the bye week which often leads to rookies seeing expanding roles. This week he faces the Broncos last ranked defense….
5. Rachaad White UNDER 14.5 rush attempts
He takes on the Falcons #4 run defense. White quietly saw a season-low 54% of the Bucs carries last week. Back up Ke’Shawn Vaughn had just 1 less carry coming out of the bye week…
6. Rachaad White UNDER 50.5 rush yards
Same breakdown as #5
7. Gus Edwards OVER 43.5 rush yards
He commanded 61% of the carries last week. Edwards has the 5th best O-Line vs. D-Line advantage on the week. He averages over 5 yards per carry in his career. Expect 10+ carries this week...
8. Mike Evans OVER 57.5 receiving yards
He had just 49 yards last week but he was just missed on a 92-yard TD and dropped a 25-yard catch. Through 4 healthy games with Baker, Evans averages 87 yards…
9. Joshua Dobbs OVER 32.5 pass attempts
He’s an 8-point underdog against the Seahawks bottom-10 secondary. QBs who are TD underdogs or larger this year average 36 attempts. And opposing QBs average 40 attempts vs. Seattle this season…
10. Desmond Ridder UNDER 210.5 pass yards
He’s gone over 300 yards in back-to-back games. But Atlanta is built to run. They don’t want Ridder throwing 40 times, and his 3 INTs last week prove this. Expect more rushing against the Bucs #26 run defense…
11. TJ Hockenson OVER 48.5 yards
He earned 50 yards on a team-high 27% of the targets without Jefferson last week. Hockenson is projected to earn 9 targets this week. When he sees 8+ targets in his career, he averages 75 yards…
12. Baker Mayfield OVER 220.5 pass yards
He had just 206 yards last week but lost 48 yards on drops and just missed a 92-yard TD to Mike Evans. This has artificially deflated his line…
13. Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 10 rush attempts
He got back on track last week playing 64% of the snaps and earning the majority of the carries. This week he faces the Bills who allow the 5th most rushing yards. Expect New England to lean on the run early…
14. Rashee Rice OVER 33.5 receiving yards
Rice ranks Top-10 in yards per route run this season. He ran the 3rd most routes among KC WRs last week. Expect this usage to continue with Justin Watson out. KC will face a bottom-5 Chargers secondary…
15. Raheem Mostert OVER 48.5 rush yards
He’s over this in his last 4 starts. This week he takes on a good Eagles D-Line. But Philadelphia’s linebackers have struggled this year. And Miami is the best offense at attacking linebackers.
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