How to Catch a High Probability Turtle Soup Entry:
1. Identify a Higher Timeframe Sweep
Start by identifying a sweep of liquidity on the higher timeframe either a significant high or low. This sets the foundation for a potential Turtle Soup (TS) setup.
2. Drop to a Lower Timeframe for Confirmation
Once the higher timeframe sweep is confirmed, switch to a lower timeframe (LTF) to look for signs that price is ready to reverse from that area. Your goal is to confirm that the higher timeframe sweep will actually serve as a support or resistance for the reversal.
3. Confirm the Shift in Delivery (Change in State of Delivery (CISD)
On the lower timeframe, observe the structure carefully:
• Identify the last up-close candle (before a sweep of a high) or the last down-close candle (before a sweep of a low).
• After liquidity has been taken (sweep of the previous high or low), wait for price to close back below that last up-close candle (for a high) or back above the last down-close candle (for a low).
• That closure confirms a Change in State of Delivery (CISD) signaling a potential shift in order flow.
4. Look for Imbalance & Fair Value Gap Violations
The best setups occur when:
• The sweep and CISD happen within the same leg of price movement.
• There’s a nearby imbalance (Fair Value Gap (FVG) that gets violated, confirming that smart money is repositioning.
• After the FVG violation, the CISD strengthens the confirmation that a Smart Money Reversal (SMR) is underway.
5. Entry & Target
Once the CISD and FVG alignment are in place, look for your entry inside the Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG) this acts as your optimal entry zone.
Target the range high or low, or any key liquidity level such as an equal high/low.
That’s all you need to master high probability Turtle Soup entries.
Focus on the sweep → CISD → IFVG entry sequence.
Study this pattern deeply and apply it with patience and precision.
Study 📚
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DXY & EU
Monthly CRT
There are 2 days left for the monthly candle to close. If it closes like this, my thoughts are in this direction.
Cr:@Romeotpt
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📉 ICT Daily Profile Logic – Asia → London → NY (Bookmark this)
ICT teaches: each session builds the daily candle.
If you understand how Asia sets the trap, you can forecast London’s intent and strike in New York with precision.
Here’s the full playbook:
1. Asia consolidates
→ London raids one side
→ NY delivers to the opposite side
🧠 Classic Power of 3: accumulation → manipulation → distribution.
2. Asia raids a PDH/PDL
→ London continues that move
→ NY reverses to rebalance
🧠 Trap confirmed. NY becomes the delivery leg.
3. Asia sets the high or low of the day
→ London respects it
→ NY expands away from it
🧠 Expect strong continuation setups in NYO.
4. Asia creates a large move (displacement)
→ London consolidates
→ NY continues the trend
🧠 ICT calls this a “continuation day.”
5. Asia & London trend in the same direction
→ NY traps late buyers/sellers
→ Reverses hard
🧠 Watch for reversal setups, especially midweek.
ICT says:
“Time + Price = Delivery.”
Asia sets the stage.
London reveals intent.
New York executes.
Study this. Then watch any daily candle form.
🔖 Bookmark it
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