Simão Pereira

[Simão Pereira @Simaobp]

@camalees @SICNoticias Garantidamente que 90% dos portugueses não pensam assim. Agora se disser 90% dos portugueses com mais de 50 anos, aí sim já me sinto inclinado a concordar.

[Michael Weiss @michaeldweiss]

Should be evidence for any congressional inquiries into what happened with Starshield. If Musk is throttling a Pentagon-run defense network, which was commissioned to work in a partner nation as a matter of U.S. policy, because of his own political bias or desire to sway the midterms he’s heavily invested in (see his subsequent tweet), then he represents a national security risk. I’d argue he represents that anyway.

[Tatarigami_UA @Tatarigami_UA]

While kids from Oklahoma are dying on the beaches of Normandy and Iwo Jima, General Motors is raking in profits, and the elites are getting richer.

[Paweł Wójcik 🦋 @SaladinAlDronni]

I sincerely wish this man ends up in prison in two years.

[Simão Pereira @Simaobp]

@elonmusk You re so fucking pathetic that it's almost unbelievable. You could be a beacon for progress and justice but instead you're perfectly happy to carry water for the Kremlin. Drugs and Epstein parties really did a number on you.

[EUvsDisinfo @EUvsDisinfo]

OTD in 1956, Hungarians rose up against Soviet-backed communist rule. Students demanded free elections, a free press and the withdrawal of Soviet troops. On 4 November, the Soviet Union launched an invasion to brutally crush the uprising.

Seven decades later, Russia is seeking to rehabilitate the Soviet Union’s actions by portraying the uprising as the result of ‘Western provocations’, whitewashing the brutal intervention that killed and wounded thousands and forced 200,000 into exile.

[SONARROW @SONARROW_OSINT]

OSINT FILE 🔎

Ukrainians 🇺🇦 in Athens, Russians 🇷🇺 in Yalta.

How a maritime recruitment agency supplies sailors to Russia's shadow fleet from inside the European Union 🇪🇺.

Olga and Andrii, this is their story 🧵

[auonsson @auonsson]

Sweden have also deployed saildrones by now, guarding the Baltic Sea.

[Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael]

Some positive signs today regarding the 160kmh throttle limit on Starshield.

[Michael Weiss @michaeldweiss]

An unconditional ceasefire along the line of contact is what Ukraine asked for at the start of the second Trump administration and Trump agreed to it. Putin did not, and so Trump dropped that demand. "Great news. End the war." -- in all caps, no less. She thinks this is Zelensky capitulating to something when it's what he's been seeking all along.

[Nastya Stanko @StankoNastya]

When the first four ballistic missiles struck near our home, I was in the hallway of our apartment building with my two children, aged 5 and 1.
During a brief pause, we ran for the basement, but the blast wave had jammed the entrance door shut.
Those were the most terrifying minutes of my life.
This is what Putin’s “humanity” looks like.

[Woofers @NotWoofers]

I want to see Rosneft out of business.

[olexander scherba🇺🇦 @olex_scherba]

Vladimir “The Humanitarian” did this.

[Emma @EmmaBat_]

SÉRGIO SOUSA PINTO 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

[Jimmy Rushton @JimmySecUK]

Russia attacked the centre of Kyiv with Iskander ballistic missiles containing cluster munitions during last night's attack, Ukrainian authorities confirm.

[Tatarigami_UA @Tatarigami_UA]

We’re back to our annual “who won the war” narrative-spinning competition, which somehow returns every time feasible negotiations are on the table. War is merely a means to achieve political goals, so the question should always be what those goals were and whether they were achieved.

Let’s start with Russia:

- Demilitarization: Failed. Considering that Ukraine’s army is now far larger, more experienced, and more capable than before the war, with a much more diversified domestic defense industry, it’s difficult to call it “demilitarized”

- Preventing NATO expansion: Mostly failed. While Ukraine isn’t joining NATO at the moment (nor was it about to before the invasion), which Russia can claim as a result of this war, NATO has actually expanded. More importantly, that includes Finland, a country sharing a long border with Russia, not far from its second-largest city.

- Regime change and installation of a Russia-aligned government: Failed. Clearly unsuccessful, and doesn’t look like an achievable goal in the foreseeable future.

- “Liberation”/occupation of Donbas: Partial success. Russia has made significant gains, occupying most of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. While the full occupation of Donbas wasn’t explicitly proclaimed by Putin as an initial goal of the invasion, it has been implied by him, as well as openly claimed by the Kremlin-controlled media narratives for the past four years.

- Securing a land bridge to Crimea: Success. Another goal never officially stated, but from a strategic standpoint, it can be considered a significant military achievement.

Now, let’s move to Ukraine:

- Preserving independence and statehood: Success. Ukraine retained its independence, control over most of its territory, and functioning state institutions. Not a single oblast center, apart from Donetsk and Luhansk captured in 2014, remains under Russian control. So far, this is Ukraine’s largest strategic success.

- Regaining territories lost since 2014 and fully restoring territorial integrity: Failed.

- Emerging from the war with a stronger security configuration: Unclear. This includes security guarantees or alliances that would prevent post-war degradation, economic collapse, and the constant threat of another invasion. The outcome remains uncertain, with negotiations still ongoing.

Now, what do both countries have in common?

Economic decline, massive demographic losses, a significant share of the working-age male population traumatized or disabled, growing poverty, and younger generations leaving the country.
For Ukraine, there’s also a significant increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio. For Russia, it’s a serious contraction of its National Wealth fund, an economic safety net accumulated over decades.

Ukraine has gained considerable influence on the world stage, built new strategic partnerships, and deepened military cooperation with the West. However, whether it can retain these gains after the war remains an open question.

Russia, meanwhile, has lost numerous Western markets, projects, and partnerships, while gaining new partners such as Iran and North Korea, alongside increasingly unbalanced dependencies on countries like China.

Was the war worth it for Russia?
If you ask whether more than 4 years of grueling war were worth gaining some territory beyond what Russia already controlled before 2022, the answer is a resounding no. The cost-to-reward ratio simply isn’t there, no matter how you spin it.

That being said, there’s one important caveat: the war isn’t over, and the final chapter hasn’t been written.
But it’s already clear that, no matter how you spin the narrative, there are no winners. And it’s not because of the cheesy “there are no winners in war” cliche, but because neither country has managed to achieve its major strategic goals or secure a positive post-war trajectory as a result of this war.

Which brings us to “both countries lost”, or, in more academic terms, something closer to a strategic stalemate.

[Simão Pereira @Simaobp]

PDF Traitor @realDonaldTrump and cosplaying as a corpse whale @elonmusk dont seem to get that these guy are warriors and wont surrender their country https://t.co/NICnp2ZULt

[Anonymous @YourAnonCentral]

Russia has hit Kyiv, Ukraine, with at least 6 ballistic missiles within the last 30 minutes, targeting 3 million civilians and infrastructure, after meeting with Trump's lapdog Witkoff, who praised Putin as a humanitarian and saluted him on behalf of the rogue United States.