Simon Marcus

Political Analysis | Risk Management | Former Head of Policy at Reform UK

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

@MAXIMUM_ODEN Wow, T 35 - thanks for posting.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

That combination of long punches from Usyk, while moving back, that put Verhoeven down, reminded me of Ali V Cleveland Williams.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

@GBNEWS Perhaps its Labour's only viable survival strategy? They can't change. So by trying to unite a progressive, rejoin the EU vote, they will bump their polls by a few points at the expense of the Greens and Lib Dems.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

Starmer's speech displayed an almost pathologised level of groupthink. It is a groupthink shared by most of the political class. Starmer's replacement will offer the same groupthink, perhaps with slightly different packaging. Wes Streeting most likely.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

Watching Met boss Mark Rowley in Golders Green was absurd. Remember when Rowley defended the officer who blocked a Jewish man from crossing the road because his “openly Jewish” appearance would provoke pro-Hamas protesters?

He should have asked for forgiveness in Golders Green yesterday, because it is precisely his attitude - shared by most of the political class - that has brought us to this tragic situation.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

Meanwhile, the UK 10 year gilt yield is at 18 year highs. Passing 2008 levels.

This is significantly higher than the level that helped bring down PM Liz Truss.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

Crowborough in the UK is very distorted. That's because 600 unvetted, young, male, illegal migrants are being housed there.

No one can sell their property, parents are too scared to let their children go out and local services will soon be overwhelmed.

This example is not unique in the UK, or actually in many areas across the EU (with Poland and Hungary as notable exceptions). Context on immigration is important. The EU/UK model is utterly broken and destroying the host country.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

Agreed. And also Police recorded crime has shot up in the last 10/15 years from around 4 million offences to 6.6 million now. This is why government officials prefer the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) which shows overall crime going down over the same period.

However, the CSEW is a survey that doesn't even include some violent crime and has many other flaws. Combined with the fact that police now deprioritise or screen out crimes like shoplifting, and that much of the public has given up reporting most offences, it means crime in the UK is far higher and more damaging than the political class will admit. Officials cling to the CSEW to dodge the uncomfortable reality on the streets.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

@BrendanG3 @NorthstarCharts If it's a bear flag it could touch 81/82 before its trip down to the 50s.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

@GoodwinMJ The response to this book shows how badly it is needed.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

Agreed. The problem is the debate in the UK is being driven by gen Z. They carry an understandable sense of anger and loss, and they lash out.

The debate needs to focus on what a patriot is. Clearly a benchmark based on this would enable the necessary deportation levels.

Just as importantly it would leave unity and a workable political community behind it. Not a wasteland.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

@DanielJHannan Such sad news, I was one of many who benefited from Simon's advice, kindness and support many years ago. He lived the change he believed in. We need so many more people like him. RIP Simon.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

@SurfCity_Cycles The 2025 low could be some sort of stealth 4 year low? Then the 4 year cycle high could be some time in 2027 leading to a left translated and failed cycle into a big low around 2028/29.

[Simon Marcus @SimonMarcusUK]

Today's jobless figures are still in the foothills compared to what is coming. I wrote about it here last month.
https://t.co/HYBB4YP3Kd