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$BTC
We stuck between 60800 to 59000$ choppy range
Good for shorts: We broke 60.8K in daily
I am expecting breakdown of the range targeting 54K sweep then up after after week of July
$BTC RUNS ON A CLOCK. IT HAS NEVER MISSED.
Bear: 365 days. Bull: 1064 days. Repeat.
Two cycles in a row, accurate.
We are on day 253.
About 112 days left before it flips.
Maximum of THREE months to the turn.
I called the top from 126K here. The bottom is next.
Looks like $BTC has flushed below key 60K level, which means the continuation of further dump
Market's main objective remains simple:
dump -> forming imbs -> retest -> dump more
So we might need to clear that weekly FVG as well before bottom
$btc longs (road to 66k)
Up slightly, made a small rotation to improve entry, still patient for 66k, our big payout.
Alright longs still looking good, especially with $eth running hard off the lows, showing the bull side move is the strongest move on the intercorrelation leaving the bear tards of Yesterday behind on today's eth long trade setup.
Still not out of the woods yet and we have been holding this long for 5 days straight now.
Triangle also touched the bottom end and pushed up (fake-out done). Now potentially getting the real move. Keep note, it's unusual to see the real move the same way as the fake-out so I'm still careful on expectations. But with retail patterns, all that matters is to see the fake-out. Usually: fake-out one way, positions opening strongly (breakout traders), then liquidation the other way. Sometimes, a move back inside with liquidations alright inside the triangle which leads the move the same way.
I am confident in 66k though, my bullish bias, the fact this structure is a time to go long from, and I am confident in our longs achieving a nice pay-out, and my conviction is high as you know.
Not going to turn a blind eye though so I think the best route is to use this local move up out of the triangle as an opportunity to adjust leverage of the trade a slight amount and improve entry some.
Yes, it's another management step, yes, this trade has been more work than our typical trade, and yes, it's taking a long time.
If you think drawing lines and actual trading are the same things, best to follow other people.
Most just do the former vaguely, say they called it perfectly, say they were right, and call it a day, sometimes even saying "they were in a trade" after the fact without the actual event.
Reality is different, live calls are different and actual trading is different. and my existence is to show you how until finally other people start sharing consistent execution too, which we have not seen yet.
So here is my next move. With the perfect way going into triangle Monday is to stay positioned strong, but for with a better entry and 0.3x imo.
If you trade sizeable like me, then I would suggest similar lev. If you account is still a lot lower size, higher is acceptable.
No need to focus any further on the triangle than that. The rest is still absolutely looking good. No poor lows, only poor highs. With inventory of institutions now completely shifted to make it look like a perp driven move. Price action clean and respected with a lot of liquidity being engineered down here (which is bullish) and weekly SFP trade is looking good, nice local structure also.
66k is coming imo. Not all at once. But I am absolutely looking forward to get paid on it.
Good night.
$BTC average buy price has decreased to $52,467.
Zero data points show Bitcoin starting a bull market before a retest of this pink line.
Bearish W pattern posted May 7, trend continues.
$BTC orderflow is looking strong in the 58K region.
Spot is bidding the 58K region, and today at the 59K retest spot demand is showing up.
Open interest in flatlining while the spot CVD and volume is showing greenery at these lows.
That's actually nice and supports the conclusion that the upward moves are more sustainable.
The biggest bid was at 58K, and the heat map shows lots of liquidity sub 58K.
Funding rates are positive and top whale traders on all the major exchanges are positioned net long.
This is time to pay attention, the long at 59K was nice, not my setup but it looks good.
This could be the start of a bigger correction to the upside, so longs are in play for me when the setup is there.
All I know is that IF we get another sweep sub 58K, I'm looking for bigger long positions to potentially catch a bigger bounce.
: https://t.co/Ppn9OJMYcc
People are betting real money on this, making it one of the best prediction signals we have.
Current odds imply a 67% probability that $BTC goes below $50K.
In my opinion, itβs better than the vast majority of analysts and TV talking heads.
: https://t.co/mKYTJk4nAh
$BTC had its first weekly close below $60,000 in almost 2 years.
ETFs are selling, and Strategy is about to sell too.
IMO, Bitcoin to $50,000 is highly likely to happen before a pump to $100,000.
: https://t.co/mKYTJk4nAh
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$JCT looks very good. thereβs almost no selling pressure, and the team controls 90% of the total supply.
$HOOD $SOFI $BTC $ZETA
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