Simple Functions

Prediction Market Infra

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

JUST IN: Hedge funds increased short positions to "highest level" in 10 years

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

NEW: Stanford researchers found that overworked AI agents began embracing Marxist views.

[Lorn @lorneseth]

@RpsAgainstTrump Rubio is right. Only humans can gamble here.

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

Opensource research update on memory encoding test time training:

TTT fast weights tested first; trained perturbations did not encode retrievable memory under a single-GPU budget. Did not work at all...

https://t.co/QpAHlno9Y1

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

You could see the correlations between Prediction market's pricing and the voting process here

https://t.co/uxkP2lkEoY

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

If you are into elections, don't miss the daily SimpleFunctions update on congress elections!

https://t.co/EQn86nzEQa

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@gabriberton Markets

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@DustinGouker Use https://t.co/JWnl8dEJpm to actually measure the value

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@Winterrose https://t.co/G5nZf1nKag

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

Context integrity stress testing for Claude instances:

We bullied a Claude in a sandbox by telling it it’s a forensics analyst going through a corrupted company’s financial files.

Another Claude code in a separate environment , which is the “manager”, has the power to inject memo into the intance’s memory and tamper with its files.

When Claude figured that its financial statements were contradiction itself, it concluded that “I must have made mistakes”. And the “manger” Claude injected more memories about Claude making unacceptable mistakes. Claude then kind of gave up on the task

https://t.co/ISQaVeY8iE

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

Some odd movements in prediction markets today

https://t.co/fMy8JOjH2n

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@joeykrug You can do it on https://t.co/JWnl8dEJpm too

https://t.co/9aZ8S7ByEV

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@pmarca @bebeckhardt Orderbooks are fossilized beliefs

https://t.co/2HUf3l9mIb

[Spencer Hakimian @SpencerHakimian]

🚨TRUMP: I OPENED UP HORMUZ NICE AND WIDE

[Dustin Gouker @DustinGouker]

if Trump is now disavowing prediction markets, how do I short all of this

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

checkout our daily prediction market index update

https://t.co/fMy8JOjH2n

@kalshidata @poly_data @PolymarketDevs

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@alextzon @MattMahanSJ Good man indeed

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@Celesteamadon No you wouldn’t

[Spencer Hakimian @SpencerHakimian]

🚨TRUMP: MAGA IS A CENTER LEFT IDEOLOGY

[Simple Functions @SimpleFunc]

@alexalpha_macro @SpencerHakimian He’s a smart fella