Framework of Breakout Strategy that turned @Qullamaggie into multimillionaire trader
Kristjan Kullamägi, better known as Qullamaggie, is a self-made multimillionaire trader from Stockholm, Sweden, who has grabbed the attention of traders around the globe with his incredible rise, disciplined strategy, and refreshingly simple approach
Sharing complete framework & live examples from Indian Market 👇
Thanks for all of the new followers on this account, it’s very much appreciated.
I’ll be sharing trade ideas, market models, and other financial information that can help you throughout your career.
Let’s work y’all 🤝
@HervTrades All a part of the process.
It's okay to feel tired or burnt out sometimes. Take a break. Reset.
Remember why you love this. ❤️
Pursue your happiness
Portfolio plan
Just so it is said.
I have been leverage long since bottom day+2 after briefly being out on bottom day+1.
As we head higher on indices and break the pause highs, I want to make sure to stay rational and proactive. I want to take off exposure.
What makes me think.
1. We are yet to feel the full effect of the tariffs, containers take weeks to arrive at US ports and the true price inflation and general slowdown of orders is still to reflect.
2. The entire world changed their stance this week from being pressured by the US into deals to making deals with China and waiting.
-> Longer deals, more pain
3. We are under major moving averages.
4. Longs are getting excited, shorts are capitulating, all while retail is all in.
My moves.
By reducing my leveraged exposure, I make sure to give myself the room to capitalize on a bigger downturn, upon which the trading cash flow and margin would allow me to accumulate new assets or put on adds.
i want to remain slightly leveraged long on Latin America and reduce my exposure to the US-assets.
Scenario 1:
No pivot by trump, longer tariff war. I expect the odds of a recession at 80% in this case. A recession would ensue, bonds would go haywire and the US stock market would feel the pain.
I'd expect the market to pull another 20-25% into $350 ($QQQ).
Trading cash flow and margin would allow me to add to the asset base.
Scenario 2:
Quick pivot, inflation eases, rate cuts and we barely miss a recession. In this case I could see the market climb the wall of worry. I would still be long, just not leveraged and I would look at tactical spots to add to the existing asset base to maximize gains.
In either case I would be well positioned for the next stage, with triple digit percentage gains for 2025, allowing for a pullback to set the stage for further gains into the backend of the 2020s. If we continue I will be happy to lock in a massive year and look forward to deploy more capital as opportunities arise.
All in all, I am well positioned and rational about this bounce being nothing more than a bounce until proven otherwise. 2022 taught me very costly lessons.
When everyone switches from short to long and longs can not even envision a new low being made, I want to be proactive. At bounce tops the portfolio looks safest, everything is breaking out, the distance to lows is 'too big'...
The bounce turns into 'a safe, confirmed long'.
If you did not trade 2022, 2008 is the closest it will come to those lessons. 20, 18, 15.. are all either too different, guided by QE or too shallow.
This pullback has been brutal and has showed that it is to be respected. I will not buy into the idea of a V-bottom... not leveraged at least.
I will lock in the 15% Nasdaq gains, which my portfolio is correlated too with a strong beata (35%+ gains for portfolio through positive beta and leverage).
Do not get lost in the emotionality of your fintwit feed and in the short term, ZOOM OUT!
@traderthiz You know I was thinking about you the other day, I was like "I wonder how these Tariffs will affect fireworks?" . . Since most come from China/Asia.. I suppose time will tell. Hope you're doing well ❤️
For now, the 1998 analog continues to hold, and shows a textbook pattern of a normal 10% correction giving way to an impulsive 20% decline, then rebounding but initially failing at the old breakdown point. From there the index retested the lows, held, took out the retracement high, and with the help of three rate cuts from the Greenspan Fed, was off to the races.
While fundamentally 1998 was quite a different cycle from today, it’s worth noting that the valuation backdrop is similar. At the cycle peak in July 1998 the P/E multiple was 25x, and from there it fell to 20x at the low. A cycle bottom P/E of 20x is historically very high, and I remember that at the time many investors missed a good chunk of the bull market because they couldn’t accept that a new bull could start at such a high multiple. They ended up chasing the bull all the way to its https://t.co/AHwbGNds0b bubble extreme in 2000. This is why it’s important to take a holistic approach to market analysis, rather than relying solely on earnings and valuation.
$SPY has formed a Death Cross on the Daily chart. This setup has only happened 3 other times in the last 8 years☠️☠️
This thread will analyze the current Death Cross & compare it to the historical data
🧵👇
Mr End Boss at the top of our AT Leaderboard is @Jackaroo_Trades with $18.3M in profits and over $2M this week alone!
Everyone knows what he’s achieved, but what makes him tick?
We compiled a thread of 10 interesting things about the mindset that took Jack to the top 🧵