You’re totally wrong… the math here is completely wrong on multiple levels…
First, he didn’t day trade for 40 years… he was a long-term investor from 1986…
he switched to day trading in 2015 at age 79…
Second, and this is the big one… he traded the Japanese market… not the S&P 500…
You’re benchmarking him against the wrong index entirely… Nikkei 1986 to 2026 returned roughly 2.5~3x over 40 years…
because it crashed in 1989 and took 35 years to recover…
Correct benchmark.. ¥65M in Nikkei buy & hold = roughly ¥160-200M today…
His actual result… ¥2,000M… he beat his correct benchmark by 10x…
You picked the wrong benchmark, wrong timeline, wrong strategy label…
He survived Japan’s lost decades and came out 10x ahead…
That’s not failure… for retail investors, he’s very good.
If everyone is supposedly bearish then:
Why do I get hundreds of comments saying "I can't wait for you to be wrong" on every video I post expressing a bearish view?
Why do dozens of influencers tweet about me weekly laughing and saying that BTC follows M2, ISM, etc. and that this is a 5 year cycle or supercycle?
Why is it that every time I join a twitter space, the collective response is for people to label me a doomer for having the audacity to suggest midterm years are not great for BTC?
It's easy to pretend like everyone is a bear, but one look at plenty of influencers on this app would show the opposite.
I see a lot of influencers who missed the top and faded the four year cycle now desperately want the market to bail them out.
I see influencers that shilled altcoins for 4 years because they thought alt season was coming and now they desperately are searching for any reason that the market won't go lower.
Social interest in crypto is still trending down. Monetary policy remains restrictive, and macro headwinds continue to exist for the first half of 2026.
BTC always forms lows in February of midterm years, then has countertrend rallies that lasted a few weeks, before the market then drops again.
No amount of mental gymnastics will change how the market cycles tend to work.
We can keep pretending that everyone is a bear, but one look at the comment section on any of my bearish tweets would prove otherwise.