Skep Precision

Diversification of Experience + Time = Wisdom -- EQ.#01

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Didn’t he also say he loved inflation?
W President

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Trump: I don't want to drive housing prices down. I want to drive housing prices up

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

I do fuck with this techno-libertarian-oligarchy that’s forming tho, provided I’m on the right side of course 😅

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Drafted by Thomas Jefferson in 1776, It outlines the principle that legitimate government relies entirely on the consent of the governed, and asserts that resisting systemic despotism is a fundamental duty.

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

"Whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government... it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security."

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

"Whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government... it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security."

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Who’s the soccer player most similar to Ray Lewis?

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Check this out on Polymarket https://t.co/WRMY0SJOs9

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

I just want to turn a little money into a lot of money

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

⚽ WC2026 Quant Desk | June 26
🟢 Spain (-154) $8
🟢 Saudi Arabia: +0.5 @ +59 $55 | ML (+170) backup
↳ +18pp edge. Line moved — take the +0.5.
🟢 New Zealand (+900) $28 ⚠️ high entropy
⛔ Norway/France, Senegal/Iraq — PASS (draw bias)
ELO + 10k simulations. Not financial advice.

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

📊 WC2026 Quant Desk | Running Tracker
🏆 Record: 1W-3L
💰 Net P&L: -$44.50 ($50/unit)
🎯 Hit Rate: 25%
🤖 Model Accuracy: 62%

ELO + Dixon-Coles + 10k Monte Carlo. Not financial advice.

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

⚽ WC2026 Quant Desk | June 25 Recap
❌ Japan ML (+110) $10 — LOSS (1-1 draw)
⛔ 4 matches — PASS (draw bias / no edge)
0/1 yesterday

📈 1W-3L | Net -$44.50 | 25% hit rate
ELO + 10k simulations. Not financial advice.

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Is the way to get more traction on X to be more unhinged and controversial?

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Start LinkedInMaxxing, some dumb shit local company will hire you

[hal @haliwriteswords]

really fun to get a masters degree, apply for 5 jobs, get rejected by 3 of them within a week, and now i get 10 spam phone calls a day because they sold my data

[hal @haliwriteswords]

really fun to get a masters degree, apply for 5 jobs, get rejected by 3 of them within a week, and now i get 10 spam phone calls a day because they sold my data

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Isak or gyok is scoring a goal today and Sweden +.5

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

⚽ WC2026 Quant Desk — June 25

🟡 LEAN Japan ML (+110) 0.2u

⛔ Ecuador vs Germany — PASS
⛔ Curacao vs Ivory Coast — PASS
⛔ Tunisia vs Netherlands — PASS
⛔ USA vs Turkey — PASS

Quiet slate. One thin edge survives — everything else is draw bias or a coin flip. Desk sits on its hands.

¼-Kelly · 62% model accuracy · edge unproven out-of-sample

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

⚽ WC2026 Quant Desk — June 24 Recap

✅ Mexico ML (-122) 1.0u — WON (3-0)
❌ Canada ML (+250) 0.3u + +0.5 0.2u — LOST (2-1)
❌ Qatar ML (+475) 1.1u + +0.5 @ 2.63 0.6u — LOST (3-1)

1/3 picks · -0.69u on the day

Mexico delivered. Dogs got buried. Model accuracy holds at 62% overall — the sample's still small, every result counts.

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Every day crypto becomes more and more like a brokerage, who will save us?

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Freddy my man…we gotta show you Florida

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Built a quant model for WC2026 from scratch — ELO ratings, Dixon-Coles, 10k Monte Carlo sims, live DraftKings odds, ¼-Kelly sizing, CLV tracking.

62% accuracy so far. Bias-corrected. Every PASS is explained. No hidden picks.

Posting daily calls all tournament 🧮⚽

Follow for the full ride

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

Will check back tmrw morning with results and next picks… let’s see if we make any money!

[Skep Precision @SkepPrecision]

⚽ WC2026 Quant Desk — June 24
🟡 Canada ML (+250) 0.3u + +0.5 hedge 0.2u
🟡 Qatar ML (+475) 1.1u + +0.5 @ 2.63 0.6u
🟡 Mexico ML (-122) 1.0u
⛔ Scotland vs Brazil — PASS
⛔ Morocco vs Haiti — PASS
¼-Kelly · +0.5 insurance on big dogs catches the draw

Follow for daily desk predictions. Tail every day to see if the model makes money. Stick to unit bets and be responsible!