$OILK and #US10Y are easing, but bitcoin:native still lags $SPY . Bitcoin may be signaling that underlying funding conditions remain tighter than headline risk sentiment suggests, despite improving macro optics.
Lack of movement cannot define abandoned property. it was never abandoned because it remains on the same blockchain it always has been. There is nowhere for it to travel to or from. I can conciously choose to not move my assets for years and still be watching the public wallet address everyday and be aware of its existence. The definition of abandoned in this case is completely arbitrary. what if i don't sell my stocks 10 years, are they abandoned? Also bitcoin is not domiciled in NY, one state or entity can possibly grant permission of ownership to a network that is everywhere. Should really gfile a counter class-action lawsuit on conspiracy to commit grand theft
@QuintenFrancois You mean the one Raoul literally said would inevitably decouple over and over but y'all didn't care until it did. & when it re-syncs y'all will be silent
The key 24-hour macro event is renewed optimism around a potential U.S.-Iran peace path, even as oil remains elevated. S&P 500 futures were up about +0.3% this morning, while Brent crude traded near $104.88 and $WTI near $98.08, keeping inflation and funding-risk pressure alive despite the risk-on equity tone. The U.S. 10Y yield held near 4.58%, leaving liquidity transmission still constrained.
$BTC is trading around $77,366, slightly positive on the day, but still not showing meaningful relative strength versus equities. $BTC remains more fragile than the S&P futures tape implies, which keeps the $BTC/#SPX synchronization signal mixed: #equities are reacting to peace optimism, while #Bitcoin still appears more sensitive to the underlying rate/oil/#dollar #liquidity drag.
The main read is that #macro relief is improving surface risk appetite, but not yet loosening funding conditions decisively. Elevated oil and 4.5%+ 10Y yields keep real-economy liquidity transmission under pressure. If Bitcoin continues lagging while equities rise, that divergence supports the idea that BTC is reflecting liquidity stress earlier than equities.
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May 21st, 2026: #Oil back above $100 lifted #yields and tightened #liquidity conditions. #SPX#futures fell 0.35% while #BTC ($77.2K) remained weaker than GFC conditions imply, reinforcing #Bitcoin’s role as an earlier-warning liquidity asset versus #equities
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Bitcoin still looks macro-supported, but the research point here is not a trade recommendation — it’s regime context.
Weekly FLI remains elevated relative to the 2022–2023 lows, which suggests the current environment does not resemble a structural liquidity breakdown.
But the slope has softened.
A high liquidity level can provide support.
A rising liquidity impulse provides fuel.
BTC appears to be digesting the prior liquidity expansion rather than collapsing alongside liquidity. The 3M % delta spread has moved from a long positive phase toward neutral/slightly negative, implying BTC has started to re-accelerate relative to liquidity — but not yet in an extreme way.
May 18: BTC continues lagging Global Funding Conditions-implied momentum as yields, dollar strength, and firm oil pressure liquidity transmission. Bitcoin may again be discounting weakening macro conditions earlier than equities despite structurally supportive ETF and treasury flows.
May 17: BTC continues lagging equities as oil, yields, and dollar funding stress tighten liquidity conditions. Bitcoin may again be front-running weakening macro transmission before broader equity markets fully reflect deteriorating funding conditions.
May 16: Oil + yields are tightening global funding conditions as BTC slips below $80K. Bitcoin is diverging negatively from equities again, potentially signaling liquidity stress and transmission weakness earlier than SPX.