Mat (Smada)

@ProspectsLive | Fantasy Baseball | God is love

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

I mostly post about fantasy baseball, but if you have questions about Christianity, feel free to send a direct message. Don't have all the answers, but happy to discuss stuff :)

[Mike Kurland @Mike_Kurland]

#Brewers playing time trends continue to change pretty frequetly

Reminder: All the player trends are on the site along with projected lineups updated daily

Link here: https://t.co/obCOSrN3u3

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

😔

[Underdog MLB @UnderdogMLB]

Lovullo: Corbin Burnes suffered teres major strain; will be shut down for weeks.

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

add a couple low level prospects and he goes to LAD

[Lance Brozdowski @LanceBroz]

Yesterday, @MLBNetwork asked me to come up with Tarik Skubal trade packages.

Here’s how I did it…

First — Not even 24h, and I’ve seen people say these are awful or they’d be accepted immediately, which is a good indicator that I wasn’t *too* far off.

I think DET wants close-to-MLB everything. I was trying to get good pitching prospects into each deal (their SP prospect depth is poor).

I did some back-of-napkin math to find Skubal’s surplus. Didn’t have a ton of time to vet this $ amount but needed to do this somewhat quick.

I calculated Skubal’s surplus as roughly $30m ($/WAR reg szn, rough $ of postseason contribution, QO value to DET minus salary).

Then I tried to beat that $ by >$10 mil with prospect value, using the $ value of FV tiers from FanGraphs with some massaging. I then placed prospects into tiers based on a combo of Eric Longenhagen + Kiley McDaniel’s ranks. See screenshot below.

I think I undersold the value of the Brewers deal on air, and oversold the value of the Dodgers deal, but I’ll maintain that the Dodgers have *so many* options to get this done, they’re the clear favorite by a lot.

The crux in all this is a) is my Skubal surplus low / high and by how much and b) moving prospects a half tier or more can swing some of these values by $5-10 mil, which can make some of these deals look light/heavy.

And super important to “b” is that it only matters what DET grades these prospects as. So if they have a 50 FV on a guy like Letson for MIL … maybe they don’t need to include one of Lara/Jett. 🤷‍♂️ For the Yankees’ package, they’re going to have a hard time with DET if Kilby is a 45+ FV bat to Scott Harris & Co, because they probably need Lagrange for stretch run.

I don’t think my process was perfect, but I’m happy with how this segment came out and my logic approaching it in the time I had.

Always room for improvement!

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

Awesome to see him pursuing football

[Tar Heels Wire @tarheelswire]

It looks like former #UNC WR commit Jordyn Adams is heading to SMU. He retired from pro baseball recently.

[Prospects Live @ProspectsLive]

Lucas Morel (@theprospectprof) delivers a rundown of all the players getting their caps and gowns ready for graduation to the major leagues. Class is in session, time to find out who you need to add to your roster or watch list this week.
https://t.co/IkarrhcYDW

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

Had no idea Taylor Clarke was born with paralysis on the right side of his face.

Been a shut down guy for Dbacks this year moving from fastball to cutter. Elite walks & weak contact
https://t.co/lqJUY2SBZb

[Jake García @Jake_M_Garcia]

Really interesting pregame talk with Taylor Clarke.

He's tied for the most WAR among #Dbacks relievers, despite striking out only 10 hitters in 24 innings.

On embracing how he is, finding success in an unconventional way and making light of his low Ks:

[Prospects Live @ProspectsLive]

PLive Pro Side Podcast Ep. 8 https://t.co/6wD2XYJS7t

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

👀👀👀

[Underdog MLB @UnderdogMLB]

Carmen Mlodzinski placed on restricted list, per @AidenStepansky.

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

Wish that Tatis HR could count for 10

[Matt Heckman @Heckman_Matt115]

I jumped on with @GregHoogkamp to talk some dynasty baseball and what to do with slumping dynasty stars. Check out the podcast below!
10/10 discussion

[Mat (Smada) @Smada_PLive]

Mlod > Chandler

[Underdog MLB @UnderdogMLB]

Carmen Mlodzinski on moving to the bullpen with Jared Jones returning:

"I'm just still communicating with the organization, and people in my corner, whether that's my family or my agency, about what's next."

[Drew Wheeler @drewisokay]

If you wondered what a THREE-HOUR NCAA Region preview podcast does to your brain, @JoshCatlett3 @JakeBarg & I came up with in a state of delusion. Shoutout @TroyTrojansBSB - these are not you, but they *are* Roy.

Full pod tomorrow @ProspectsLive. Viewer discretion advised.

[Prospects Live @ProspectsLive]

Joshua Salguero breaks down the Conference USA Tournament and details the most outstanding prospects from the games he saw.
https://t.co/FKeqfoe960

[Stephen Sutton-Brown @srbrown70]

A week from today I’ll be starting part time with the Pirates as a Data Scientist! Happy with all my time at BPro, incredibly grateful to them for the opportunity, and excited to see things from a team point of view

[Prospects Live @ProspectsLive]

PLive Pro Side Podcast Ep. 7 https://t.co/pYV5UXTdoz

[Mike Kurland @Mike_Kurland]

The Red’s new leadoff hitter (for now). We ride.

[Drew Wheeler @drewisokay]

Incredibly proud. Very excited to see what we were close on, right about, and couldn’t be further from correct about!

Join us for a companion stream for the NCAA College Baseball Selection Show here @ProspectsLive and YouTube at 10:45 AM CST!

[Prospects Live @ProspectsLive]

Prospects Live FINAL Bracketology 2026 LIVE https://t.co/IyRTmNnJRn

[Drew Wheeler @drewisokay]

Wanna hang out with the boys and work up our final Bracketology of the 2026 NCAA Baseball season? 😌

Cool — meet back here @ProspectsLive and on YouTube tonight at 10:30 pm CST for College Baseball Now LIVE!

@JoshCatlett3 @JakeBarg

[Josh Catlett @JoshCatlett3]

Championship day in Charlotte🔥

#1 vs #2.
National seed vs national seed.
Carson Ballard vs Folger Boaz.
Let's crown a champion.