J.J. Smith

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@jwigderson It's fucking miserable.
But at least we're almost guaranteed to have divided government.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@DanRShafer @Robin_Vos_Stan The message would be a lot more effective coming from Crowley, who fought successfully to save municipal budgets (including police budgets) from the disastrous Republican shared revenue restrictions.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@kid_riles I think it's a coin toss if she's the nominee.
But her coattails probably doom the Assembly Dems, and probably also Cooke in CD3.
The Senate I think is also a coin toss with her at top of ticket .. Making an R trifecta an actual possibility.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@PollTracker2024 @daveweigel Worst kept secret in the state

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@EricJBott This is basically how you could score the entire campaign so far, for the same reasons.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@drake_bentley @bhaviklathia It sounds like she's still focused on winning a rhetoric contest over this issue when the only people who care about the rhetorical nuance are non-persuadable partisans.
This answer isn't going to help against Tiffany's ad machine.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@ForlongD @SwannMarcus89 lol, aka one of the core purposes of political opinion polling.
Not just to get the general vibes of the public, but to test how they react to messaging.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@ForlongD @SwannMarcus89 They write questions that way to inform messaging strategy/vulnerability.
Because of course your perfect plan is going to get attacked specifically on what it costs the average taxpayer.
You want to know from polling how much that attack will hurt your plan's popularity.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@DriverHawk @JosflowersLA @RadioFreeTom Iran isn't Al Qaeda where it's led by a handful of guys with exclusive info about the org personnel, ops & logistics. It's a nation-state with a full military bureaucracy. You can't "decapitate" your way out of this problem.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@jwigderson Personally, I'm expecting Hong to narrowly win the gubernatorial and lose the Assembly--maybe lose 1 or 2 seats Dems already hold--and then she has to govern like Tony Evers for four years..

And no one will learn anything.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@marcthiessen We can begin rebuilding the DOD after the idiots who started this obviously idiotic adventure resign.
Hegseth is a fucking clown and now the architect of the worst US strategic defeat since the Philippines in 1942.
He cannot be part of the solution. Caine too.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@VoteLewko @HunterBiden Haha holy shit, cry me a fucking river, you fucking babies.
Sorry, your dumb clown leader has no capacity for humor and humiliated himself telling ChatGPT knock-knock jokes to a dead-silent audience.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@scarylawyerguy Not only does the media not expect him to DO anything, the media does not expect him to know anything.
As long as he keeps making good clickbait.
(And also partly because people in media these days also don't know anything, so his ignorance makes him even more relatable to them.)

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@JonathanCohn It's also a much smaller population in a cheaper media market.
I assume that at least part of the motivation here is to try to preserve the possibility for an under-funded candidate to have a chance if they run a strong grassroots campaign.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@DanRShafer Again, what the fuck was he doing in this race to begin with? Why did no one tell him what a stupid idea this was?
He's run for one elected office before, like 20 years ago? Get fucking real.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@DanRShafer This data pretty clearly suggests that if it weren't for the revolt of the Rodriguez donors, she probably could have survived.
65% had no opinion --Twitter is truly not real life.
But also just malpractice.. incumbent LG, running for Governor for a year.. no one has heard of her.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@jrholtz This is also not a new "kalshi law" or anything like that.
It's literally one of the oldest laws in the Wisconsin statutes, and has been litigated at the state Supreme Court several times over the last 150 years.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@RealRiddimHours I think it's been obvious for a long time to everyone except the people who now control the policy -- the president, the VP, and the senior political leadership of DOD.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@BrittCudaback Probably should have used some of that popularity 6-9 months ago to ensure he could pick a successor, rather than showing up to try to fix the problem after the clown car crashed and burned and then exploded.

[J.J. Smith @Smithowits]

@rolandthree @BlueCheese608 Tiffany is going to have infinity money to make voters 100% aware of every stupid thing Hong has ever said.
No swing voter is ever going to hear anything about Tom Tiffany other than his biographical commercials where he's basically doing his best Tony Evers impression.