Smoke Crypto

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

0x8Ec6FF9D38DEAbda57aEA315CCFB91d6EBdF94DE
https://t.co/P4MGTBXlHy

I think it will cost a million

[Robinhood Crypto @RobinhoodCrypto]

Friend: crypto is not real money

Me:

[HoodTrace @HoodTrace_xyz]

We’re only getting started with HoodTrace. 🏹
More updates are coming: deeper wallet intelligence, onchain trader discovery, and tools to identify high-performing wallets for copy-trading research.
Blue check soon. Built on Robinhood Chain. Launched via @BagsApp.
$TRACE

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

5/5 I also appreciate the team behind it. The product keeps improving, and frequent limit resets make the free version much easier to explore and use. Thanks for continuing to make advanced AI more accessible. @OpenAI #ChatGPT

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

1/5 I really like GPT-5.6 Sol. It feels genuinely intelligent, and you don’t have to spend ages perfecting a prompt to get a strong result. Even a simple request is often enough. @OpenAI #GPT56 #AI

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

4/5 It’s honestly exciting to realize that we’re living through an era when technology like this is becoming part of everyday life. The progress is moving incredibly fast. #FutureOfAI #Technology

[HoodTrace @HoodTrace_xyz]

A token does not disappear when its balance hits zero. If it changed realized PnL, HoodTrace keeps the closed position in your trail. Tokens that never touched the wallet stay out
@RobinhoodApp

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

@GeoOnchain @arc @OnChainHistory @arc
bitches
0xD7EAe0F010F4eFB65105509FaFA1a1f43fFEfd3E

[HoodTrace @HoodTrace_xyz]

Your wallet has a memory. HoodTrace reconstructs full-history PnL on Robinhood Chain including partial sells and closed positions. Paste a public address. Nothing to connect or sign. https://t.co/IdP4wEQdjG @RobinhoodApp @Noxa_Fi

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

https://t.co/NH9QoD3Z1X
Polymarket Perps invite
@Polymarket

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

Polymarket Perps invite
https://t.co/QodJF8fdDm
@Polymarket

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

@Andrey_10gwei @Polymarket @PredictParity cool post, whale had a good work

[Andrew 10 GWEI @Andrey_10gwei]

$900k Whale Play: How Token Pumping + Trading on Polymarket Paid Off

> Two Polymarket accounts linked on-chain to the top 3 holder of the $GENIUS token.
> Bets placed on the GENIUS FDV markets
> $900k total profit from token pump + @Polymarket predictions

Here’s how it went down - full timeline.

> April 5
Polymarket account GeniusMoon starts loading up on “YES” positions:
Genius FDV
- > $200M
- > $300M
- > $500M
- > $1B

GeniusMoon trades on the Genius FDV Market (via Parity): https://t.co/fHzkUNmtzc

His account on Polymarket: https://t.co/ABMtfYbBH3

> April 8
Creates a second account, TaiwanNumbaWan, and places the exact same bets.

All positions were bought ranging from 5¢ to 40¢

TaiwanNumbaWan trades on the Genius FDV Market (Via Parity):
https://t.co/wuZGJzy792

His account on Polymarket: https://t.co/v0kuZPiVMY

> April 13,

- 14:00 UTC
Market prices the probability of GENIUS FDV > $500M at roughly 5-6%.

- 15:00 UTC - Wallet 0x199A7443a80ab606f79F837e9FBD0D85173b1146 begins aggressive buying of $Genius on DEX.

In 30-60 minutes, ~$400k is spent to scoop up around 2 million tokens.

- By 16:00 UTC, the probability of GENIUS FDV > $500M on Polymarket jumps above 50%.

> April 14 - Markets close in the green for:
FDV > $200M
FDV > $300M
FDV > $500M

The whale pockets ~$50k PNL on Polymarket from the pump, plus $844k PNL on the token itself.

Check the trader statistics/PNL for this market on Parity yourself:

https://t.co/IjNhVPk2ba

Total: ~$900k. Whale still holding $GENIUS.

//

On-chain connection between the Polymarket accounts and the whale:

1. All tokens were sent from 0x199A7443 to the wallet with ENS gianmarco_eth (0xD8BDd80BBc4d874702a1670E98D028847Fa2c712).

This gianmarco_eth wallet and 0x199A7443 are directly linked via transactions to 0x87B11C5C08F27B04630cB8221c75C5202bAB1074 (the signer wallet for the Polymarket account TaiwanNumbaWan).

Proof:
TX 1: https://t.co/St6W7B07l7
TX 2: https://t.co/l3OESr1FKX
TX 3: https://t.co/yctkK246jW

2. Link to GeniusMoon
The Solana wallet that received the Polymarket winnings from GeniusMoon account is connected through intermediary wallets that received funds from gianmarco_eth via DeBridge.

For on-chain sleuths, here are two tracers (Solana + EVM):
https://t.co/rLoxhTOPg6
https://t.co/tH8iiGu0lu

By the way, the Polymarket winnings were also converted into $GENIUS via Relay bridge.

My take: Gianmarco is likely someone close to the Genius team or a market maker for the project.
The whole token pump was clearly pre-planned and coordinated - even though they didn’t manage to push the FDV all the way to $1 billion.

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

@usuches @edgeX_exchange @Polymarket @polymarketinfo @PolymarketTrade looks like we got similar predictions on this token🔥

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

Polymarket FDV markets predicted every single token collapse correctly.

6/6 "strong collapse" events — PM was right.
PM bracket accuracy: 82% overall.

The contrarian signal: when PM odds are too optimistic → price dumps at launch. r = -0.81

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

Surprising finding from analyzing 221 token launches:

Tokens with SMALL circulating supply dump HARDER than tokens with large supply.

<10% circulating → median -17%
50%+ circulating → median -4%

Why? Market fears future unlocks more than actual selling pressure.

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

https://t.co/acvvMDkrG3
@Polymarket

[Smoke Crypto @SmokeDegen]

@KK20889898 go push first