SoloSongTA

Crypto + U.S. Stocks | Technical Analysis & Trading

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Opening a quick long position on $PENDLE.

After a roughly 7% drop, the price seems to have reached a level where the selling pressure could temporarily ease.

From a technical perspective, the 1-hour chart is showing signs of a potential short-term bounce.

Let’s see if I can catch this move and make a quick profit.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Update on ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 and $BNKR:

ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is now trading at around $0.485, almost 20% above the level where I first called it. I still believe we are in the early stages of a much larger uptrend. Let’s stay patient and give the thesis time to play out over the coming weeks or months.

As for $BNKR, I sold my entire position at a loss, but the price has nearly doubled since the level where I first called it. That move is honestly incredible.

The biggest lesson I took from this trade is that I still need to develop more patience—when I truly believe in a token’s fundamentals and thesis, I need to give the market enough time to gradually discover its value instead of exiting too early.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Bullish on ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32:

ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 has been in a prolonged downtrend and is now trading near historically low levels. However, I believe we could see a potential reversal in the near future.

First, let’s look at why ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 has been valued relatively cheaply compared with other DeFi tokens.

The biggest issue has been token value capture. Historically, LDO holders have not directly shared in the revenue generated by the Lido protocol, which has limited the market’s willingness to assign a higher valuation to the token.

Another concern is Lido’s declining share of the ethereum:native staking market, which has fallen from around 24% to 21%. For now, I don’t see this as a major concern, but it is something worth monitoring.

These are the main issues currently weighing on ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32. However, I’m starting to see some positive signals that could lead to a re-rating.

NEST and LDO buybacks have already started to improve the tokenomics, but it will still take time to prove that they can generate sustained, large-scale buying pressure rather than just a one-off boost.

From a TA perspective, the weekly chart also looks interesting. The price has already broken out of a large descending triangle, which I see as a positive signal.

ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is now testing a key resistance level around $0.42. If the price can break above this level and hold, I think it could open the door to a much stronger uptrend.

Overall, I think ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is currently offering an attractive risk-reward setup. If both the fundamentals and technicals continue to improve, a 2x move—or potentially more—could be possible.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

The mechanism isn’t very easy to understand, but I think it’s quite well designed.

It’s probably worth doing some research on the project first to understand how the whole system works.

So far, the mechanism seems to be working well, and at the current valuation, I think robinhood:0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062 is still undervalued.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Bullish on robinhood:0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062 around a ~$20M market cap.
It launched with 100M tokens, but circulating supply is already down to ~91M, with ~9.6M permanently removed. Only ~4.9M is currently sitting in Banker ledgers waiting to be minted.
The Branch economy is also working. On Sept. 22 alone, ~768K STANDARD was permanently removed through license purchases, almost fully offsetting the ~770K daily gross issuance.
But the bigger opportunity is outside the tokenomics.
The Standard Reserve is now trying to use its treasury to provide liquidity for tokenized stocks and RWAs on Robinhood Chain. If this starts generating real external fees, robinhood:0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062 could evolve from a monetary experiment into a real onchain financial business.
At ~$20M market cap, I don't think much of that upside is priced in yet.
CA: robinhood:0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Bullish on robinhood:0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062 around a ~$20M market cap.
It launched with 100M tokens, but circulating supply is already down to ~91M, with ~9.6M permanently removed. Only ~4.9M is currently sitting in Banker ledgers waiting to be minted.
The Branch economy is also working. On Sept. 22 alone, ~768K STANDARD was permanently removed through license purchases, almost fully offsetting the ~770K daily gross issuance.
But the bigger opportunity is outside the tokenomics.
The Standard Reserve is now trying to use its treasury to provide liquidity for tokenized stocks and RWAs on Robinhood Chain. If this starts generating real external fees, robinhood:0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062 could evolve from a monetary experiment into a real onchain financial business.
At ~$20M market cap, I don't think much of that upside is priced in yet.
CA: robinhood:0x88ad8ddf1e3898412146a534538d418c6f8a9062

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

$STBL HOLY crap! $2M market cap and a new ATH. What an insane move — and I’m sitting on the sidelines. 😭

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Today's potential gem: $STBL.

Everyone's attention is on the crazy move in $4STOCK, but I think $SBTL might have a chance to become another big opportunity.

First, the official website dates back to 2025, which means the Superstables narrative existed well before the recent Robinhood Chain boom.

Second, after doing some digging, I found that the team had already registered a company in Europe in 2025 and later filed trademarks related to crypto and digital-asset services. That suggests this wasn't an idea they came up with overnight.

Third, I found some clues on X suggesting that the team might be connected to $POLS, a previous project that reached around a $500M market cap. However, I haven't been able to confirm that connection yet, so take this part with a grain of salt.

Huge risk as always, especially for something at such an early stage.

CA:
0x79a74fd91f8e1c4ab8e76253dec5c91f3094393f

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Oh my god, what a bad trade on $BNKR.

I sold my bags for a loss of a few thousand dollars, and now it’s up more than 20% from where I sold.

One lesson I’ve learned is that sometimes we may enter at a good price, but we still need to stay patient and give the thesis enough time to play out.

The same thing happened with $MUSEBOOK. It has risen more than 250% from the bottom following the boom in Meta’s $Muse AI agent, while I have no position in it.

Reviewing my bad trades helps me identify my mistakes and keep improving my investment strategy.

Sometimes the mistake isn’t the thesis or the entry — it’s simply not being patient enough.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Today's bet: base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b

This isn't a meme. Bankr is one of the major launchpads and AI trading platforms that originated on Base and is now expanding across chains.

Its latest breakout launch, $MUSEBOOK, is currently holding around a $20M market cap — roughly the same valuation as base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b itself. That's pretty wild.

Meanwhile, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b is already listed on Coinbase and has a real value-capture mechanism: trading activity from Bankr-launched tokens contributes to BNKR buybacks and protocol-owned liquidity.

To me, there's a clear valuation disconnect here.

If $MUSEBOOK continues to hold strong and Bankr produces another breakout meme, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b could be repriced very quickly.

From a TA perspective, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b is also trading near its historical lows, giving the setup an attractive risk-reward profile.

One breakout launch could be luck. Two or three could prove the platform has real product-market fit.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

I think ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is currently one of the most undervalued major DeFi tokens, especially when we compare its valuation with other established protocols.

First, let’s look at the numbers.

Lido currently has around $25.8B in TVL, while ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32’s market cap is only around $353M.

Over the last 30 days, Lido generated around $3.03M in protocol revenue, which equals roughly $36M annualized revenue.

That puts ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 at only around 10x annualized protocol revenue.

For comparison:

$AAVE:
Market cap: ~$2.11B
30D revenue: ~$5.05M
MC / annualized revenue: ~35x

$UNI:
Market cap: ~$5.45B
30D revenue: ~$15.81M
MC / annualized revenue: ~29x

$SKY:
Market cap: ~$1.66B
30D revenue: ~$13.48M
MC / annualized revenue: ~10x

The comparison is not perfectly apples-to-apples because these protocols have different business models, but it still shows how cheaply the market is valuing Lido.

The main reason for this discount is obvious: historically, the success of the Lido protocol has not translated directly into value for ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 holders.

Lido could generate revenue and grow TVL, while ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 remained mainly a governance token.

Another concern is Lido’s declining share of ETH staking. Its market share fell from around 24% to 21% in H1 2026, although the actual amount of ETH staked through Lido still increased from 8.74M ETH to 9.13M ETH.

So this was not caused by users leaving Lido. The whole ETH staking market simply grew faster, especially through institutional and exchange channels.

This is where I think the next growth opportunity could come from.

Lido V3 and stVaults are designed to target institutional staking. Institutions can choose their own validator infrastructure and customize their staking setup while still keeping access to stETH liquidity.

The business is still very early — stVaults had only 5,768 ETH at the end of H1 — while Lido’s target is to grow it toward 100,000 ETH.

Lido Earn is another potential new revenue stream. It generated only around $0.54M ARR in H1, but the DAO is targeting $5M ARR as the product scales.

So the market currently gives almost no valuation to these new businesses.

More importantly, ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 tokenomics are finally starting to change.

The LDO Accumulation Program has already used 2,320 stETH to buy around 14.8M LDO from the market at an average price of around $0.30.

As a result, outstanding LDO supply has fallen by around 16.4M tokens, or 1.8%, since the beginning of the year.

At the same time, NEST has gone live.

NEST links Lido’s protocol revenue directly to ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 buybacks. When protocol revenue generates enough surplus, part of that surplus can automatically be used to buy LDO from the market.

NEST has not started actual automatic buybacks yet because the accumulated budget is still negative, so I would not count this as current buying pressure.

But if Lido’s revenue improves and NEST eventually starts generating continuous buybacks, the relationship becomes much clearer:

Protocol growth → higher revenue → more ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 buybacks → lower circulating supply.

That is exactly the value-capture mechanism ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 has been missing for years.

Overall, my thesis is simple:

Lido already has a ~$25B protocol behind it, but ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is still valued at only around $350M and roughly 10x annualized protocol revenue.

If staking market share stabilizes, stVaults and Lido Earn start contributing meaningful new revenue, and NEST turns into sustained buying pressure, I think ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 could see a significant re-rating.

The protocol does not need to grow 5x for the token to perform well.

Sometimes the biggest opportunity comes from a large existing business finally transferring its value to the token.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Bullish on ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32:

ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 has been in a prolonged downtrend and is now trading near historically low levels. However, I believe we could see a potential reversal in the near future.

First, let’s look at why ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 has been valued relatively cheaply compared with other DeFi tokens.

The biggest issue has been token value capture. Historically, LDO holders have not directly shared in the revenue generated by the Lido protocol, which has limited the market’s willingness to assign a higher valuation to the token.

Another concern is Lido’s declining share of the ethereum:native staking market, which has fallen from around 24% to 21%. For now, I don’t see this as a major concern, but it is something worth monitoring.

These are the main issues currently weighing on ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32. However, I’m starting to see some positive signals that could lead to a re-rating.

NEST and LDO buybacks have already started to improve the tokenomics, but it will still take time to prove that they can generate sustained, large-scale buying pressure rather than just a one-off boost.

From a TA perspective, the weekly chart also looks interesting. The price has already broken out of a large descending triangle, which I see as a positive signal.

ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is now testing a key resistance level around $0.42. If the price can break above this level and hold, I think it could open the door to a much stronger uptrend.

Overall, I think ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is currently offering an attractive risk-reward setup. If both the fundamentals and technicals continue to improve, a 2x move—or potentially more—could be possible.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Bullish on ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32:

ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 has been in a prolonged downtrend and is now trading near historically low levels. However, I believe we could see a potential reversal in the near future.

First, let’s look at why ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 has been valued relatively cheaply compared with other DeFi tokens.

The biggest issue has been token value capture. Historically, LDO holders have not directly shared in the revenue generated by the Lido protocol, which has limited the market’s willingness to assign a higher valuation to the token.

Another concern is Lido’s declining share of the ethereum:native staking market, which has fallen from around 24% to 21%. For now, I don’t see this as a major concern, but it is something worth monitoring.

These are the main issues currently weighing on ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32. However, I’m starting to see some positive signals that could lead to a re-rating.

NEST and LDO buybacks have already started to improve the tokenomics, but it will still take time to prove that they can generate sustained, large-scale buying pressure rather than just a one-off boost.

From a TA perspective, the weekly chart also looks interesting. The price has already broken out of a large descending triangle, which I see as a positive signal.

ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is now testing a key resistance level around $0.42. If the price can break above this level and hold, I think it could open the door to a much stronger uptrend.

Overall, I think ethereum:0x5a98fcbea516cf06857215779fd812ca3bef1b32 is currently offering an attractive risk-reward setup. If both the fundamentals and technicals continue to improve, a 2x move—or potentially more—could be possible.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Update on $BNKR:

I closed my position for a loss of a few thousand dollars.

I have to admit that I probably opened the position at the wrong price. I chased the move after $MUSEBOOK exploded instead of waiting for a better entry.

It’s still too early to say whether $BNKR will eventually take off in the long run, but in the short term, I need to control my risk and close positions that I no longer feel comfortable holding.

Sometimes taking a small loss is better than staying in a position you don’t have conviction in.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Today's bet: base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b

This isn't a meme. Bankr is one of the major launchpads and AI trading platforms that originated on Base and is now expanding across chains.

Its latest breakout launch, $MUSEBOOK, is currently holding around a $20M market cap — roughly the same valuation as base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b itself. That's pretty wild.

Meanwhile, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b is already listed on Coinbase and has a real value-capture mechanism: trading activity from Bankr-launched tokens contributes to BNKR buybacks and protocol-owned liquidity.

To me, there's a clear valuation disconnect here.

If $MUSEBOOK continues to hold strong and Bankr produces another breakout meme, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b could be repriced very quickly.

From a TA perspective, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b is also trading near its historical lows, giving the setup an attractive risk-reward profile.

One breakout launch could be luck. Two or three could prove the platform has real product-market fit.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

As I mentioned last time, $BTC was sitting at a critical point — either breaking above key resistance or losing its support.

Looking at the weekly chart below, BTC not only held the support level we were watching, but also broke above the key resistance at $80,562 that we highlighted previously. This could be a significant signal that a much stronger bullish trend is starting to develop.

That said, the next key thing to watch is whether BTC can hold above $80,562, as the previous resistance could now turn into support.

I’m very bullish as long as BTC holds above $80,562 on the weekly chart. If it loses that level, though, we need to stay cautious.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

$BTC TA Analysis:

It’s been a while since I last analyzed BTC, so today I want to keep it simple and mainly focus on the weekly chart.

As long-time followers know, I’ve mentioned many times that the 50-week MA is one of the key levels I use to judge whether BTC is in a long-term bull or bear market.

Right now, BTC is testing support around the 50-week MA, while $80,562 remains the key resistance level.

BTC is now at a critical point: a clean breakout above this resistance could open the door to a much stronger bullish move, while losing the 50-week MA could signal the beginning of a longer-term bearish trend.

For now, I’m watching the price action closely and will simply follow whichever direction the market confirms.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Wow, great for $MUSEBOOK — and by extension, bullish for $BNKR too.

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

Meta Platforms $META new AI app Muse is now the number 1 free app on the 🇺🇸 Apple App Store

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Today's bet: base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b

This isn't a meme. Bankr is one of the major launchpads and AI trading platforms that originated on Base and is now expanding across chains.

Its latest breakout launch, $MUSEBOOK, is currently holding around a $20M market cap — roughly the same valuation as base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b itself. That's pretty wild.

Meanwhile, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b is already listed on Coinbase and has a real value-capture mechanism: trading activity from Bankr-launched tokens contributes to BNKR buybacks and protocol-owned liquidity.

To me, there's a clear valuation disconnect here.

If $MUSEBOOK continues to hold strong and Bankr produces another breakout meme, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b could be repriced very quickly.

From a TA perspective, base:0x22af33fe49fd1fa80c7149773dde5890d3c76f3b is also trading near its historical lows, giving the setup an attractive risk-reward profile.

One breakout launch could be luck. Two or three could prove the platform has real product-market fit.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

$ARC mainnet has been live for a day now, but I still haven't bought any memes on the chain.

I heard a lot of trenchers took losses on day one. Many of them were probably expecting the same kind of meme boom we saw on Robinhood.

I'm staying cautious. There are already so many meme ecosystems across $RH, $SOL, $BSC, and $BASE, and I'm still trying to figure out what really makes $ARC different. In other words, what can make $ARC stand out from all the other chains competing for the same attention and liquidity?

For now, I'm waiting for the right opportunities and staying patient. The meme battlefield is extremely risky, especially on a brand-new chain.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

It’s interesting to see $METAPAD hit a new ATH this morning.

As you know, I only bought it for fun and sold my entire bag yesterday at a small loss.

There might be something important about this project that I overlooked, which helped push the price all the way back to a new ATH.

I’m not planning to buy back into $METAPAD, but I’m still happy to see it doing well and wish the project the best.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

A launchpad for launchpads. $METPAD

Such an interesting concept that I had to grab a small bag just for fun.

Let’s see where this one goes.

Huge risk as always!
CA:
0xcc50404bd4219245eae40415d6bab679180f7f7e

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

With the rate decision approaching and regulatory clarity around the GENIUS Act still uncertain, crypto might see further pullbacks — especially across the meme battlefield.

That’s also why I haven’t called many memes recently. We’re in a tougher market environment right now, with a much less attractive risk-reward ratio.

Of course, I did call one meme today — $METPAD — which gave me a small loss. But as I said from the beginning, that was just a small position for fun.

I’m still bullish on crypto overall, but sometimes the best move is simply to stay patient and wait for better opportunities.

Meanwhile, I’m also paying more attention to the U.S. stock market and looking for potential opportunities there.

Tomorrow, the $ARC mainnet is set to launch.

Let’s see whether it brings some fresh opportunities to the meme market.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

A launchpad for launchpads. $METPAD

Such an interesting concept that I had to grab a small bag just for fun.

Let’s see where this one goes.

Huge risk as always!
CA:
0xcc50404bd4219245eae40415d6bab679180f7f7e

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Update on $ANTHROPIG:

We’ve seen a big pullback across the meme market, while $ANTHROPIG is still holding around a $4M market cap, showing much stronger relative strength than most other memes.

Surprisingly, $ANTHROPIG has now slightly surpassed $CATGPT in market cap.

I still remember saying that if Anthropic commands a significantly higher valuation than OpenAI, then its meme counterpart should have plenty of room to catch up as well.

Recently, I’ve added more $ANTHROPIG to my bags, as I believe a lot more attention could flow into this narrative as the IPO gets closer.

From my perspective, there’s still a lot of room for this meme to run.

CA:
0x351ab2c51e223b28d219fe28cc3956410cc11e18

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Review of some memes I’ve bought recently

First, $LAPTOP.

This has been my biggest loser among the memes I’ve traded recently. I saw some potential narratives around it, but the token simply didn’t perform the way I expected.

On top of that, the creator’s poor reputation makes it much harder for the token to gain broader attention and build a strong community.

I have to admit that my judgment on this one was wrong. It’s a mistake I need to learn from and avoid repeating.

Second, $ANTHROPIG.

We saw an insane run that almost took it to a $20M market cap, while it is now sitting at around $4M.

I’m still holding because I think the Anthropic IPO narrative could bring a lot more attention back to the meme as the IPO gets closer.

That’s it for this update.

Some of the memes I’ve posted about recently went on to hit new ATHs soon afterward. Part of that was probably good timing, part of it was the strong market environment, and only part of it came from my own judgment.

Keep learning, keep improving, and keep fighting to survive in the meme battlefield.

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Nice, $LLM ATH!

[SoloSongTA @SoloSongTA]

Today’s lottery ticket: $LLM

The mechanism is simple:

Trading → creator fees → compute → inference

A real use case: trading activity funds actual compute and inference on frontier AI models.

There are already a few projects exploring a similar idea, but none of them has really emerged as the clear winner yet.

I’m buying $LLM as a bet that it could become the leading project in this narrative.

Huge risk as always!

CA:
0x6f1a924b217e7bb254605662c4223b604b7e07ff