I think plenty were aware of the pending resolution and clarification. Personally, I had equal dis-trust of BOTH outcomes on principle. I tossed $100 at yes because it was factually correct. Anything could have happened. Anyone with enough incentive and power to do so could have manipulated it either direction, for any reason, at any time.
At the end of the day, the only certain thing was that MicroStrategy did sell some Sats in that timeframe. What the platform, UMA or whales would do otherwise was at best a strong assumption. Even with the vote having happened on the final outcome - the market wasn’t closed.
With trust already damaged how the hell would anyone know whether they’d pull another Final, FINAL review out of their ass?
As “No” proponents have also argued, @Polymarket can do whatever they want with their platform. They looked like complete jackasses to the large majority while the situation unfolded. I considered maybe they’d do something as to not inculcate that perception by the end.
If yes would have been upheld - stands to reason they would have earned a lot of new loyal, long term users… With money to spend and volume to generate.
Overall, crappy situation. There’s a a really smart business move somewhere in this mess and they don’t seem to care enough to find it. 🤷
To heir on the side of truth is always smart. They should probably just suck it up and pay both sides. Expensive, but it’s the only way to come out looking good.
The potential reputational damage is unknown and could be wildly more expensive. Just concede this market was fucked up and own the mistake imo.
@errolcart@Polymarket@0xSweep Most entertaining outcome now would be @saylor himself buying yes and explode the news. Potentially proceeding to declare he'll use the yes money to fund buying more BTC.
@PolymarketDevs@Polymarket Can you please explain the logic going on here. Final Price says down, Chart says up with target below it, Outcome says down, balance showed as claimable in my account, claimed for 0 - kept showing back up.
I know these markets have discrepancy - and most of the time I can make sense of what happened. This is an outlier though - it’s from an entire day ago. I don’t know if I made money or lost money and/or how to tune my strategy further.
The 5m markets are a fun idea and create some really cool edge opportunities. This is going to have to improve though.
@CARE Hey just want to let you know, I encountered some of your reps today outside of the DMV. I offered to make a one time donation and they refused it. They wanted a quarterly or yearly subscription.
I see on your website now that one time donations are possible. This makes your priorities look misaligned.
The only reason I’m going out of my way for this is because I love to donate to causes when I’m approached in public. It sounds like your charity serves a very serious cause. Maybe you shouldn’t refuse money for it.
@0xCha0s That’s roughly where my head has been. Just trying to feel things out beyond a lot of the noise on here. Expected the volume to taper off more than what it had in the last few weeks… so kept some of my unlocked stack.
Appreciate the thoughts. 👍
@0xCha0s Sir, am a bit curious about your thoughts on Rail here. Short vs. longer timeframe.. I am trying to digest the overall rally in privacy I guess. I'm feeling more as though the move has Leeeggggs.. rather than just legs.
Also am a bit starved for others opinions on the topic in particular. If you've got time for a DM exchange I'd appreciate.
@CreatorBuddyX I sent an e-mail over about a double billing issue. Not sure if that's the best way to get help. I know the how crazy my store inbox gets lol. But would appreciation taking a look for me. @AlexFinn
Ahh man.. this movie was a real defining experience for me. Saw it with my best friend and both of our dads when I was 10. The 4 of us spent the whole next week or probably longer talking about it.
For sure the first time I remember questioning the nature of reality, religion and the laundry list of topics that spider web off from there… Simultaneously being encouraged and reassured that it was OK to flip perspectives around and think about these things.
Also, the lobby scene was the most badass thing id ever witnessed on a big screen 😂
Idk if folks have priced in the idea that a lot of us have low cost basis on an asset that’s been paying us pretty good for 4 years. Half my stack is ride or die, never gonna sell at this point.
In 2021 the situation was ‘this might be a money printer, god pls let it survive the bear market.’ Now I’m a guy who has owned a money printer for 4 years.. and that kinda changes the price of where I’m wiling to part with it. Especially when insane things like the sitting US president having his own stable coin are going on.
Sure, anything can happen.. but anyone who had the balls to hang on to this thing on the tail end of the Luna collapse probably has the balls to set a healthy stack aside and demand $100 per coin.
@theadditionfi was mobile deposit removed from the app? I’ve used it before and it doesn’t show up anywhere in the interface when looking for it today.