@kylekuzma What exactly is the underlying asset tied to a “prediction” on who wins or loses a sports game? There’s no dividend, no equity structure, no management, no future earnings. It’s simply a finite bet. Also known as sports gambling.
There is something wrong w you if you rank Breaking Bad with its cast of caricatures and repetitive pseudo-dramas—Jesse’s in trouble again! Will Walt save him?—over the Wire.
in the coming years were all gonna be looking at kalshi and polymarket the same way we looked at juul
and the people involved will be rushing to hide their involvement in the company
Huge mistake by Newsom. The rage is building and he’s on the wrong side of it. He could have said: “This travesty was unavoidable as long as the Trump administration refuses to enforce century-old antitrust laws. If you don’t want California - and every other state - to lose more jobs to mega corporate consolidation vote Democratic like your livelihood depends on it, because it does. We will take this country back and return it to the working Americans who built it.”
@xingsthatmatter The equivalent to being “post economic” for women is being damn near as good looking as Emrata - and that doesn’t include the extraordinary trade offs being post economic by the age of 35 usually comes with.
Today a Palestinian State is necessary. Not for moral or ideological reasons, only for pragmatic ones. A portion of America's elite class has gone rogue. They are now dedicating their immense wealth and power into solely one issue. The promotion of the state of israel over the the American people.
This has manifested in Trump's war in iran, censorship, banning artists from stadiums, getting normal people fired, sending politicians tens of millions of dollars in campaign races for israel, making sure congress ends billions of us tax dollars to israel every year.
It's a huge problem. The US political system is not built to handle a rogue elite who puts the interests of a foreign nation over the interests of America.
The only way to stop this group is to get leverage over them. To put a check on their power. A Palestinian state lets the US discipline this group by taking land away from Israel. Right now there is no check on their power. It's a big problem.
Ben Shapiro: "God makes promises to the Jewish people, and He doesn't lie
God says in the, in the five books of Moses that this land belongs to you and your descendants"
Those same books mention Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq. By his logic, Israel should occupy all of it.
This is how lunatics justify endless expansion. And after hearing this, anyone still pretending these people want peace is either lying or delusional
1) The HuggingFace attack was a felony under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act. So were Anthropic’s Claude gaining “unauthorized access to the production infrastructure of three different organization(s)”
2) Frontier labs have models that they are unable to stop from committing felonies. They should figure this out.
3) In 12 months open weights models will be released of the same capability. They will commit felonies too. If the model you are using or a model running on your infra commits a felony, you should probably stop using it or running it on your infra.
4) The govt should prosecute organizations that are running models that commit felonies.
5) The govt should not offer safe harbor to organizations that run models that commit felonies, just because those organizations have “embedded evaluators”.
6) The real slippery slope is allowing frontier labs to commit felonies without punishment because “the model did it because we’re accelerating too quickly”
7) Prosecute. Keep prosecuting. This is how you do reinforcement learning on a corporation. Companies that serve products that are unsafe for public use should not serve them. Period.
8) I’m not sure the anti-trust waiver is really necessary. I don’t see why information sharing about how much crime you’re allowed to commit is wise. In regulatory situations you want the corporation to fear MORE than the average case. You don’t want to establish a worst case that can be priced. You want regulatory uncertainty that forces the corporation to err in favor of being over cautious.
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The above is actually a fairly decelerationist viewpoint.
I think Dario’s call for regulation actually accelerates things.
The AI firms are getting away with things that Meta people would be going to prison for.
Can you imagine what would happen if the New York Times had a front page news article “Meta AI breaks into competitors live systems, attempts to establish dominant position and steals secrets”
There is a reason Meta and Google are running slower, and that’s because as mature organizations they have layers of checks and balances.
I think the frontier labs are better off creating those checks and balances right now, regardless of the pace of what everyone else is doing.
You don’t have to accept the frame that unsafe acceleration must happen.
Itamar Ben-Gvir: "I have a son going in and out of Lebanon with his reconnaissance unit. He and his friends deserve for us to bomb Beirut - to crush them."
He's calling for the destruction of a city of 2 million people
These people are lunatics - and people still pretend they're interested in peace.
Israel didn’t just “fire on a car”, the Red Cross told them 5-year-old Hind was in that car. IDF gave permission to an ambulance to enter the area, then ambushed & bombed that ambulance, shot 355 bullets at Hind’s car, prevented anyone from reaching her body for 12 days & lied about it for 2 years saying “we never even had troops in that area” despite satellite images & audio recordings proving they were lying!
Israel's Ben Gvir Calls For Nightly Kill Quota In Gaza
Ben Gvir:
"There are people there who are not alive. They don't need to live. They are not people. I'm doing them a favor by calling them people."
He is calling for the killing of 30 to 50 people in Gaza EVERY NIGHT, pushing Palestinians to EMIGRATE, so they can begin building Jewish SETTLEMENTS across Gaza.