The Fed has asked for rates in USDJPY according to many reliable sources. This is USD bearish. Highly unusual. Strong signal.
I want to be long AUDUSD for CPI next week.
So I am buying Wednesday 0.6920 AUD calls now for ~22.5bps
not investment advice
Here's a rundown of what you've missed over the past week if you don't subscribe to Brent Donnelly's am/FX:
29JUL:
"I think the BOJ will hike, and I think this could lead to a break of the key 152.00 level in USDJPY."
05AUG
"On a very short-term time horizon, things are so dramatically oversold, and Tuesday is such a bullish day of the week ... I am looking for tactical fade trades."
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Today's am/FX is free ... inspired by a tweet from @Citrini7 via @Nemo_Audit
With a GLP-1 designer ETF out and South Park spoofing the craze... It's not a bad time to lighten up on GLP-1 exposure. It’s all priced in.
Also: Watch JGBs.
https://t.co/vfASmoV3ft
2/2
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Today's global macro heatmap
Oil is falling as another failed geopolitics long oil trade hits the skids. EUR rallying on a short squeeze as Asian recycling put the floor in at 1.0630.
NVDA and crypto also coolered.
Today’s Global Macro Heatmap
Risky assets like crypto, DAX and TSLA smoked but so are some safe havens like CHF and fixed income. A bit of an “inflation is getting a bit scary here!” trade going on and the CHF move is more about mean reversion after the big month-end rally.
Friday Speedrun!
Talking about volatility, TICKER: DJT, and why the speed of moves is often just as important (or more important) than the direction of moves. Especially in bonds.
Have a lurvly Easter.
https://t.co/YFCogdTFEu