Speed-Geeks.com

Motorsports Analytics and Predictions platform which leverages race outcome simulations and probability.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

@RkyMtnBETS It would be super easy to boycott them if they didnt constantly post the softest T5/T10 lines in the industry.

[Juiced Bets @JuicedBetsEV]

NASCAR printing with @Speed_Geeks 🏎️💨

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

@SpursTedLasso @HighLineBetting @AustinKonenski @LASTCARonBROCK Oh my!

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

@leftturncult @kdon116 You'll absolutely get a more deserving champion, I'm just afraid to buy tickets and have that race be meaningless.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

@leftturncult @kdon116 I'm just saying the race had more guaranteed importance when it was one race for all the marbles. I do like the 10-race format better, just not for that last race.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

@leftturncult @kdon116 I lost a little interest when they switched to the 10-race chase. When it was going to be the true 1-race championship race there, I was absolutely planning to attend. Now, it could be decided before they even get there!

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

Takeaway:

Nashville has consistently rewarded cars with strong long-run pace, but late cautions and track position swings have repeatedly reshaped the finishing order.

The box score rarely tells the full story here.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

NEW: Weekly Track Review Threads 🧵

Each race week, we’ll look back at the last few Cup races at the upcoming track:

🏁 Elite Pace
⚡ Better Than the Finish
🔧 Compromised Days
👀 Sneaky Strong

The goal is simple:
Refresh the memory and help set a baseline expectation for the weekend.

Starting with Nashville:

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

2023 Nashville Review:

🏁 Elite Pace:
• Ross Chastain — Broke through for his first win of the season after showing front-running speed throughout the night.
• Martin Truex Jr. — One of the strongest long-run cars and a major factor for most of the race.

⚡ Better Than the Finish:
• Tyler Reddick — Had top-tier speed and led laps, but the final result undersold how competitive the car really was.
• Denny Hamlin — Consistently near the front with strong pace before fading late relative to the leaders.

🔧 Compromised Days:
• William Byron — Fast enough to contend, but pit road and track-position swings kept the team from fully capitalizing.

👀 Sneaky Strong:
• Corey LaJoie — Quietly put together one of the more respectable runs among smaller teams.
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr. — Showed better pace than expected relative to equipment level.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

And last but not least… the Five-Figs Club.

Members who ship $10k+ on a single DFS lineup or betting slip will receive a custom engraved leather koozie to commemorate the win.

Small compared to the 💯 Club maybe… but still life-changing money for a lot of people.

Powered by Probability.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

Introducing the Speed Geeks 💯 Club.

Custom engraved YETIs for members who ship $100,000+ on a single DFS lineup (or betting slip).

Every one is personalized with:
• race
• payout
• username
• winning lineup

Honestly, this might be my favorite thing we’ve built yet.
Powered by Probability.

First wave is officially on order, can't wait to ship them out to some very successful members!

@Sydthekid087DFS
@nets713
@JoeSchroe85
@adam_schrom

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

In addition to the 💯 Club, we’ll also have the Fiddy Stacks Club for members who ship $50k or more on a single DFS lineup or betting slip.

These winners will receive a custom engraved metal bottle opener to commemorate the hit.

Tailgate approved. 🍻

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

The Speed-Geeks 6-Figure club has gained ANOTHER member! This might call for some custom swag!

Congrats Adam!

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

@_DanielCespedes calculate the score by running position instead of car and you'll pretty quickly see if it has a track position bias.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

This is...... not great

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

Auto-Advancing Drivers that DNF in Segment 1 or 2 will be scored no worse than 26th, this was not my initial interpretation (in the screenshots above), but will be updated and reflected in future simulations.

[Speed-Geeks.com @Speed_Geeks]

The 2026 All-Star Race format is wild enough that I had to build a completely custom simulation process just for this event.

Inversions.
Unexpected segment leaders.
Auto advancements.
Average segment-finish advancements.
Fan vote advancements.
Eliminations.
Chaos.

Honestly, this has been a fun challenge.

(Images below: Auto-Advance Driver [unless DNF] / Bubble Driver / Unlikely to Advance)