Say NO to Sumrall! This is not a brand or statistical fit for Florida right now. (With no disrespect to former Kentucky LB Sumrall, but Florida's fanbase should not have to endure what is statistically likely to be Billy Napier part 2. 2x Sunbelt champ at Troy after Billy left for Florida. Took over at Tulane, where Willie Fritz won 12 games, and then 11. Sumrall won 9 in year 1, and is now 9-2 this year.)
The results between Napier and Sumrall are highly correlated. If you hire Jon Sumrall, you are statistically hiring a defensive-minded Billy Napier. Both coaches feature dominant G5 records with small average margins of victory and an unsustainably high win rate in close games.
Billy Napier (Last 2 Years at UL)
Jon Sumrall (Troy/Tulane)
Avg. Margin of Victory
Napier +12.1 points
Sumrall +11.8 points (+4.0 this year)
Record in 1 Score Games
Napier 13–1
Sumrall 10–3
Scoring Defense
Napier 19–22 PPG allowed
Sumrall 17–20 PPG allowed
Strength of Schedule
Napier -4.82 (Very Weak)
Sumrall+1.20 (Above Average) (This is the best thing going for Sumrall)
Recruiting/Portal
Napier- Built largely on HS recruiting
Sumrall-Heavy Portal user (Tulane)
Success Rates for Sumrall (A former Kentucky LB)
Tulane 2025 Offense 51 Defense 115
Tulane 2024 Offense 21 Defense 15 (Great results here)
Troy 2023 Offense 79 Defense 26
Troy 2022 Offense 100 Defense 50
Say NO to Sumrall. This is not a brand or statistical fit for Florida right now.
Billy Napier was emotional in his postgame interview after the win over Ole Miss.
Gotta say, he’s done a heck of a job getting us to 6-5 after a 1-2 start.
- I wanted to see a jump in year 2 but I think some of that is a complete roster flip with transfers and freshman.
- Let’s let the season play out. Fix penalties and self inflicted wounds and get the run game going.
Gonna be a long season. #GoGators
Game 1 thoughts…
- overall just extremely disappointed in the product we put on the field.
- Utah is a really good and well coached team so give them credit.
- I’m not ready to give up on Napier yet but dang it’s tough after the play calling and coaching mistakes.