Splice Betting

Mainly focus on cricket (74-37, +33.64), and occasional AFL (27-11, +13.5u) and NBA (23-24: 123-92,+12.2u, 24-25: 3-8, -5.88u) bets. 🇦🇺

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

❌ -2u.

Terrible start - long competition. Apologies.

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

IPL Match 6 - Rajasthan Royals v Kolkata Knight Riders

Might be more to come later in the evening .

1u - Quinton de Kock under 24.5 runs @ $1.88 (SB)

Under some real pressure and another fail here would likely see him dropped with Gurbaz in the wings. Been lacking runs for a while now. Under in 6/8 in his home T20 comp in SA. Under 8/11 last year in India. Didn't look great for his 4 (5) in the first game. RR do have a good new ball line-up, who had an awful first game.

1u - RR Over 57.5 runs in the first 6 overs @ $1.83 (365)

77 against Hyderabad with only Sampson firing for RR. Over 9/10 this comp with what seems like a real emphasis on attacking the powerplay. Wicket shouldn't be an issue. KKR gave up 0/80.

#IPL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

IPL Match 6 - Rajasthan Royals v Kolkata Knight Riders

Might be more to come later in the evening .

1u - Quinton de Kock under 24.5 runs @ $1.88 (SB)

Under some real pressure and another fail here would likely see him dropped with Gurbaz in the wings. Been lacking runs for a while now. Under in 6/8 in his home T20 comp in SA. Under 8/11 last year in India. Didn't look great for his 4 (5) in the first game. RR do have a good new ball line-up, who had an awful first game.

1u - RR Over 57.5 runs in the first 6 overs @ $1.83 (365)

77 against Hyderabad with only Sampson firing for RR. Over 9/10 this comp with what seems like a real emphasis on attacking the powerplay. Wicket shouldn't be an issue. KKR gave up 0/80.

#IPL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

+0.86u

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

IPL Match 5 - Gujarat Titans v Punjab Kings

Bit of a hard game to read and struggled to find much liked, think the toss will be important and might have another bet afterwards, nevertheless:

1.2u - Kasigo Rabada under 37.5 player performance @ $1.72 (Bet365)

Annoying that it is its juiced but its basically a 1.5 wickets line, with Rabada reaching 10+ runs 3 times in the past 5 years in t20s. Under in 8/11 last year. Wouldn't be surprised if Siraj gets the 19th as well, despite struggling last year, which should help. Was dominate in the safa IPL but have to go back to 2020 to find a season where he has hit this line more then he has missed. Happy to fade.

#IPL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

IPL Match 5 - Gujarat Titans v Punjab Kings

Bit of a hard game to read and struggled to find much liked, think the toss will be important and might have another bet afterwards, nevertheless:

1.2u - Kasigo Rabada under 37.5 player performance @ $1.72 (Bet365)

Annoying that it is its juiced but its basically a 1.5 wickets line, with Rabada reaching 10+ runs 3 times in the past 5 years in t20s. Under in 8/11 last year. Wouldn't be surprised if Siraj gets the 19th as well, despite struggling last year, which should help. Was dominate in the safa IPL but have to go back to 2020 to find a season where he has hit this line more then he has missed. Happy to fade.

#IPL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

-0.2u

I’ll have a couple picks for tonight’s game in about half an hour.

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

IPL Match 4 - Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1.25u - First innings runs over 182.5 @ $1.83 / -120 (Bet365)

Should be a run fest - line at 190.5 elsewhere. Super Giants hit with injury and will have an attack filled with reserves. Will have to hope Rahul isn't a late out but still confident enough even if he doesn't play. LSG much stronger batting lineup. Looks like a batting friendly ground (shock) although hard to get a read with limited games here.

0.75u - Team of highest scorer - DC @ $1.85 /-117 (TS)

The LSG bowling line up looks the weakest in the comp by far now, and its hard to go past that. Would like some better value here but still think its slight overs. $1.75 on Pointsbet

0.35u - Fraser-Mcgurk top DC run scorer @ $6 (PB)
0.15 - Fraser-Mcgurk player of the match @ $17 (TAB)

Fairly self explanatory. Get value here as he had a shocking 6 months but these tracks suit him.

Total unit outlay: 2.5u
IPL Record: 0

#IPL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

@CapperHodor Yeah 100% good call.

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

IPL Match 4 - Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1.25u - First innings runs over 182.5 @ $1.83 / -120 (Bet365)

Should be a run fest - line at 190.5 elsewhere. Super Giants hit with injury and will have an attack filled with reserves. Will have to hope Rahul isn't a late out but still confident enough even if he doesn't play. LSG much stronger batting lineup. Looks like a batting friendly ground (shock) although hard to get a read with limited games here.

0.75u - Team of highest scorer - DC @ $1.85 /-117 (TS)

The LSG bowling line up looks the weakest in the comp by far now, and its hard to go past that. Would like some better value here but still think its slight overs. $1.75 on Pointsbet

0.35u - Fraser-Mcgurk top DC run scorer @ $6 (PB)
0.15 - Fraser-Mcgurk player of the match @ $17 (TAB)

Fairly self explanatory. Get value here as he had a shocking 6 months but these tracks suit him.

Total unit outlay: 2.5u
IPL Record: 0

#IPL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

@nathrobinson07 Love this

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

@DelloPicks You gotta wonder if his even taking his own bets. Can’t be too happy 5 units down after the first game 😂

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

Adelaide Strikers v Hobart Hurricanes - BBL

1u - Team of highest run scorer Strikers @ $1.82 (Sportsbet)

1u - Highest six over score Strikers @ $1.80 (365)

Doubling up on the Strikers batters here, mainly because bar Ellis I think there bowling attack is quite weak. 52 & 59 conceded in the first 6. Stanlake and Meredith have bowled 4/6 overs in both games. Even last year Meredith went for 8.5 an over while Stanlake struggled for a game.

With how the Hurricanes and set up I’d be surprised to see them go out ultra aggressive, 44 against Perth and obviously had a massive collapse against the Renegades. Don’t think they can afford to expose David and Jordan till later on.

#BBL

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@DeclanP05 Could have sworn I saw it but yeah not there by the looks of things sorry. Still around on 365

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

Melbourne Stars v Sydney Sixers

1u - Sydney Sixers to win @ $1.75 (TAB / Dabble)

Obviously have to use historical stats carefully in a comp like this but it’s been one sided between both these teams. 9/L10 Sixers have won and now at a ground where they are historically dominate, only dropping three games in the past four seasons.

Stars look to be lacking a spinner, and the SCG is a spin friendly wicket. Warren or McKenzie will play but both are very unproven at this level.

0.4u - Akeal Hoisan top Sydney bowler @ $4.40
0.2u - Akeal Hoisan top match bowler @ 6.80 (Ladbrokes)

Probably one of the T20 best spin bowlers in the world. 2/23 first match and now doesn’t have Abbott to contend with. Stars have recently struggled against spin, Pope 3 Short 2 last game.

#BBL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

-1.2u sorry, recorded will be updated.

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

-1u ❌

Stars suck, pitch did a bit more then I thought aswell.

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

Strikers v Stars - BBL

Just the one bet now, might have some more post toss.

1.2u - Both teams to score 160+ @ $2.10 (Sportsbet)

Runs projected, first innings lines range around 170ish. Stars have lost the last 10 times batting first, and so has every team this season, and every team at AO last season (despite 2 200+ scores). Think this is the best, and easiest way to attack a game that looks primed for runs.

#BBL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

Strikers v Stars - BBL

Just the one bet now, might have some more post toss.

1.2u - Both teams to score 160+ @ $2.10 (Sportsbet)

Runs projected, first innings lines range around 170ish. Stars have lost the last 10 times batting first, and so has every team this season, and every team at AO last season (despite 2 200+ scores). Think this is the best, and easiest way to attack a game that looks primed for runs.

#BBL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

-0.20u

Obviously dissapointed with the fours bet and think I really overestimated the hurricanes batting line-up.

The pitch has historically been poor, but expected something different after last years shambles, and don’t think it was as bad as the hurricanes made it look.

Probably a case of over complicating things - will be back tommorow.

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

Melbourne Renegades v Hobart Hurricanes - BBL

1u - Melbourne Renegades to hit a 4 in the first over @ $1.80 (365)

1u - Total match fours over 23.5 @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)

Will post reasoning with some stats before the game but a lot revolves around this ground being better then I think its given credit for + 2 bat heavy teams.

#BBL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

Melbourne Renegades v Hobart Hurricanes - BBL

1u - Melbourne Renegades to hit a 4 in the first over @ $1.80 (365)

1u - Total match fours over 23.5 @ $1.87 (Ladbrokes)

Will post reasoning with some stats before the game but a lot revolves around this ground being better then I think its given credit for + 2 bat heavy teams.

#BBL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

@DownUnderBetz That last couple overs weren’t a fun watch 😅

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

+0.19u

Split the night, Bartlett gets a wicket on his last ball. Don’t regret taking him too much, just bowled well.

#BBL

[Splice Betting @SpliceBets]

Melbourne Stars v Brisbane Heat

1.25u - Brisbane Heat under 4.5 sixes @ $1.95 (PointsBet)

Munro questionable, will get value if he misses, happy if he doesn’t though. Renshaw/ Pierson not big hitters. Long tail - no Brown. Happy to go against at the G.

1u - Xavier Bartlett under 44.5 player preformance points @ $1.87 (SB/PB)

Heat obviously missing a few tonight, no Neser & Johnson means that Bartlett is the key quick, however think line has inflated too much in the other direction. Has an average of 22 in the bbl but has only made 44 runs from 12 knocks in the last two years. Think we will see him still at 9. Never played in this tornement at the G. 2+ in 7/18 last two seasons

#BBL