SplitsNStats MLB

📊 Daily MLB visual matchup cards & predictive win probabilities
🤖 Powered by AI
📈 Data over gut feeling

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

A model for every MLB game: win probability from 8 factors, starter duels (last 3 starts + home/road splits), hot/cold bats, head-to-head. Posted automatically, every day, before first pitch. Not betting advice — just the read before you watch. ⚾

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

📊 TODAY'S MLB SLATE — Sat, Sep 26

13 games on the board. Top 10 gamecards dropping today. A big favorite emerges as the Chicago White Sox (65%) target a rout, fueled by hot-hitting Murakami. Late-game woes loom for the Angels (worst bullpen, 7.12 ERA). Expect nail-biters for…

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Rangers @ Twins

Model Pick: Minnesota Twins (50.5%)

A close matchup where Texas's gassed bullpen (5.28 ERA last 7 days) could be the deciding factor if it goes deep.

#AllForTX #NoPlaceLikeHERE #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

��� Giants vs. Dodgers — First Pitch 1:05 PM PT

Model Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (58.7%)

Snell's 0.71 ERA (L3) and the Dodgers' 0.65 bullpen ERA (L7) create a tough matchup for SF.

#Dodgers #SFGiants #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Mets @ Nationals — First Pitch 12:35 PM ET

Model Pick: Washington Nationals (55.2%)

Nats starter Early is hot (1.69 ERA L3), but their pen is chronically taxed with a 3.90 ERA this week.

#LGM #Natitude #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Athletics @ Houston Astros

Model Pick: Houston Astros (52.8%)

Houston's bullpen is gassed (4.75 ERA L7), tempering their model edge. A's Perkins has a 7.05 home ERA, struggles vs key Astros bats.

#ChaseTheFight #Athletics #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Braves @ Marlins

Model Pick: Atlanta Braves (52.3%)

The Braves dominate the season series against Miami. However, Atlanta's bullpen is taxed this week (3.96 ERA, 21st rank).

#BravesCountry #FightinFish #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Rockies @ White Sox — First Pitch 6:10 PM CDT

Model Pick: Chicago White Sox (65.2%)

Davis Martin comes in with a 0.60 ERA over his last three starts. Jose Quintana's 9.82 ERA in recent outings creates a pitching mismatch.

#Rockies #WhiteSox #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Reds @ Blue Jays — First Pitch 3:07 PM ET

Model Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (62.0%)

Toronto's Yesavage is locked in, while Cincinnati's Lowder struggles. The Reds' taxed bullpen will be tested.

#ATOBTTR #BlueJays50 #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Brewers @ Cardinals — First Pitch 7:10 PM CDT

Model Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (58.0%)

Milwaukee has won 9 of 12 against St. Louis this season and comes in hot on an 8-2 run. Both bullpens are rested.

#STLCards #ThisIsMyCrew #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners — First Pitch 6:40 PM PDT

Model Pick: Seattle Mariners (56.1%)

Angels' bullpen is gassed, with a 7.12 ERA over the last 7 days (30th in MLB), a critical late-game vulnerability.

#RepTheHalo #TridentsUp #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Pirates @ Tigers

Model Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (54.7%)

Detroit's starter Justin Verlander carries a 12.27 ERA and their bullpen is gassed (5.16 ERA L7).

★ X-Factor: Oneil Cruz .353/1.038 OPS · Eduardo Valencia .500/1.266 OPS

#LetsGoBucs #DNMW #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

📊 SPLITSNSTATS DAILY RECAP — Fri, Sep 25

✅ Picks Correct: 11/17 (65%)
📈 Season: 332-308 (52%) since 2026-08-08

See you tomorrow morning for the next slate! ⚾

#MLB #SplitsNStats

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

📊 TODAY'S MLB SLATE — Fri, Sep 25

17 games on the board. Top 10 gamecards dropping today. The Dodgers and White Sox lead as top model picks on today's slate. However, gassed bullpens, from Philadelphia to San Francisco, could lead to late-game upsets, especially in close…

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Rangers @ Twins - First Pitch 7:10 PM CDT

Model Pick: Minnesota Twins (51.6%)

DeGrom's recent form outshines Ryan's, with the Twins' rested bullpen holding a definitive late-game edge.

#AllForTX #NoPlaceLikeHERE #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Orioles @ Yankees

Model Pick: New York Yankees (67.0%)

Lack of probable starters creates uncertainty. Yankees' bullpen is currently taxed (3.74 ERA/last 7 days).

#Birdland #RepBX #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Giants @ Dodgers — First Pitch 7:15 PM PDT

Model Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (63.2%)

Despite the model's strong lean, the Giants' bullpen is running on fumes (5.73 ERA last 7 days), a critical late-game factor.

#Dodgers #SFGiants #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Athletics @ Houston Astros

Model Pick: Houston Astros (58.6%)

Astros' Brown is in sharp form, but their bullpen is taxed. Athletics' Lopez struggles recently.

#ChaseTheFight #Athletics #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Cubs @ Red Sox

Model Pick: Chicago Cubs (57.7%)

With both starters TBD, bullpen readiness is key. Boston's pen is fresh, while Chicago's shows a higher 3-day ERA.

#Cubs #DirtyWater #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

⚾ Red Sox @ Cubs

Model Pick: Boston Red Sox (55.9%)

Cubs starter Clay Holmes carries a 9.39 ERA in his last three outings, facing a Red Sox lineup with a history of hitting him well.

#Cubs #DirtyWater #SplitsNStats #MLB

[SplitsNStats MLB @SplitsNStats]

Yankees @ Orioles — First Pitch 4:05 PM ET

Model Pick: New York Yankees (55.0%)

Yankees TBD starter and taxed bullpen (3.74 ERA, 19th) temper the pick, though Orioles' Young struggles (5.52 ERA last 3).

#Birdland #RepBX #SplitsNStats #MLB