Institute for MENA Stability (IMS)

We focus on cross-cutting policy issues & regions.
Through independent research, policy analysis & dialogue, the IMS builds understanding of the region’s state.

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Does climate stress produce conflict directly, or does it operate primarily through existing political fragilities — meaning that climate adaptation and conflict prevention should be treated as the same policy challenge? #ClimateConflict #MENA #ResearchDebate

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Lebanon hosts ~1.5 million refugees, the highest per-capita refugee burden of any country globally, against a collapsed economy & fragmented state. The international burden-sharing architecture for displacement hasn't adapted to contexts where host states are themselves in crisis

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Which better predicts long-term stability in the MENA context: institutional capacity, popular legitimacy, or the coherence of elite bargains? We'd genuinely like to hear how researchers are weighting these variables. #StateLegitimacy #MENA #PoliticalScience

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

The record of externally imposed political transitions in the Arab world (Iraq 2003, Libya 2011, attempted in Syria) suggests they consistently underestimate the costs of institutional collapse & overestimate the pace of institutional reconstruction #MENAPolicy #Peacebuilding

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

FDI inflows into the MENA region declined by 18% between 2022 and 2024, against a global FDI recovery trend. The leading deterrent cited by investors is not geopolitical conflict — it is regulatory opacity and contract enforcement uncertainty. #FDI #MENA #InvestmentClimate

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

17 of the world's 25 most water-stressed countries are in the MENA region. By 2050, the Arab world will face demand increases of 25–30% driven by population growth and agricultural expansion. #WaterSecurity #MENA

[SIPRI @SIPRIorg]

Global military expenditure increased to $2887 billion in 2025, the 11th year of consecutive rises, bringing the global military burden—military expenditure as a share of gross domestic product (GDP)—to 2.5%, its highest level since 2009.

Press release ➡️ https://t.co/L2zCjWCOfF
Key developments ➡️ https://t.co/yFSaF55ojU

#MilitarySpending #DefenceBudget #GlobalSecurity #Geopolitics #NATO #MilitarySpending #WorldEconomy #Peace #DataDriven #GDAMS #GDAMS2026 @UN_Disarmament @INakamitsu @DemilitarizeDay

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

ACLED data for 26 records 4,200+ conflict-related civilian fatality across the MENA region — concentrated in Sudan, Yemen, Gaza, & eastern Libya. 70% of recorded events occur in fewer than 15% of the region's conflict-affected localities. Source: @ACLEDinfo #MENAConflict

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Syria’s post‑conflict energy crisis is not just a technical problem; it is a political one. Who supplies electricity and fuel today will shape alliances, influence, and governance models for decades to come. #MENAStability #Syria

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Sustainable growth requires reform, transparent fiscal management, & institutional accountability. Without structural correction, debt pressures risk becoming systemic crises. Is pre-emptive restructuring feasible in high-debt MENA states, or will reform only occur under crisis?

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Climate stability and fiscal stability are interlinked. Reforming financial architecture is foundational to regional resilience, particularly in highly indebted and climate-exposed states. #ClimateFinance #Adaptation #DebtSustainability #MENAInstitute

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

A sustainable path forward requires transparent reconstruction frameworks & cooperative regional energy systems that prioritize Syrian sovereignty. Should Syria’s energy future be anchored in regional integration, domestic renewables, or?
#Syria #EnergySecurity #MENAStability

[Gregg Carlstrom @glcarlstrom]

Turns out "you can't export your oil, but Iran can" is not going over well with American allies, who could have predicted

[BBC News (World) @BBCWorld]

Sudan army denies deadly Eid strike on key hospital in Darfur https://t.co/E31t8y8vIg

[Bloomberg @business]

Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, with only a handful of Iran-linked vessels transiting the chokepoint as it enters a fourth week of effective closure https://t.co/K18vdW1IUt

[Foreign Affairs @ForeignAffairs]

.@NicoleGrajewski and Ankit Panda explain the failure of Iran’s deterrent—and consider what Tehran’s nuclear future could look like:
https://t.co/xBQox940FK

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

A path forward requires transparent reconstruction frameworks & cooperative regional energy systems that prioritize #Syrian sovereignty. Should Syria’s energy future be anchored in regional integration, domestic renewables, or a hybrid model? #IMS #MenaStability #InstituteforMENA

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Durable sovereignty requires institutional resilience rather than personality-driven politics. What concrete reforms would meaningfully strengthen #Iraq’s sovereignty in practice, not just in rhetoric?
#Sovereignty #RegionalSecurity #USIran #GovernanceReform #MiddleEastPolitics

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Long-term stability will require transparent governance structures, credible elections, and reintegration of marginalized constituencies. Without that, consolidation risks remaining high. Can #Libya achieve stability?
#NorthAfrica #PostConflict #GovernanceReform #MENAStability

[Institute for MENA Stability (IMS) @Stability4Mena]

Colonialism/imperialism never required an army to be effective. If you take a quick look at history's most durable forms of control, the ones that outlasted flags or occupation forces, they all work through a combination of culture, faith, & dependency.
https://t.co/GJqetwH1kU