State Navigate

Your compass for state legislatures.

Nonpartisan 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization dedicated to creating and curating all data on state governments.

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨FORECAST LAUNCH🚨

We have officially launched our state legislative forecasts for every state in the country.

We currently project Democrats (and Democrat-caucusing Independents) to have a net gain of 407 state legislative seats in November.

https://t.co/rhAuJEssKX

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

The @StateNavigate forecasts have been updated tonight to remove Wedgewood's polls from our Governor forecasts. Not much has changed anywhere. NE w/the largest margin change at 1.1%. Everything else 0.1%-0.3%.

GA, IA, KS, MI, NE, NV, OH, TX, WI are the states where there were Wedgewood polls in our forecasts. All are out now.

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

.@StateNavigate is now looking to raise funds for an upcoming Georgia poll we hope to start 1 week from now.

If you can make a tax-deductible donation to our polling fund, we would greatly appreciate it! We're trying to raise $2,000. I'll post updates:

https://t.co/d8tkQAOoux

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨

SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP)
HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP)
HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP)
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)

https://t.co/gvAtX8puzu

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨

SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP)
HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP)
HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP)
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)

https://t.co/gvAtX8puzu

[Cooper Burton @cooperrburton]

Excited to share that I'm starting a new role as the Data Manager @StateNavigate today! I'm really looking forward to working with such a great org to build out their datasets for 2026 and beyond.

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨

I wrote about the top 20 strangest state legislative races in 2026: 10 crazy, 10 interesting.

Arrested incumbents, write-ins, party-switchers, slurs, pedophiles, Nazis, and more.

Our best article of 2026. Enjoy!

https://t.co/3GhlC8RZQQ

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

👀

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLL🚨

PA SD-46 (Trump +28)

State Senate

🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) [inc] 43%
🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 43%
⚪️Undecided 14%

Governor

🔵Josh Shapiro (D) [inc] 51%
🔴Stacy Garrity (R) 42%
⚪️Undecided 7%

https://t.co/bM03GThpr1

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

ICYMI: we now have a national state legislative forecast simulator. Plug in what you think will happen in the general election and how demographics will vote, and see how it stacks up against our forecasts.

https://t.co/RJbMkBbIEa

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

I'll be hosting a space with @ZacharyDonnini tomorrow at 12PM Eastern to discuss the Virginia early vote so far, 3 weeks in. https://t.co/jdw2XGdEGO

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

2026 State Senate Vote Intention by Leaned Party ID

Rs

🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) [inc] 69%
🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 20%
⚪️Undecided 11%

Ds

🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 73%
🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) 12%
⚪️Undecided 15%

Is

🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 46%
🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) 20%
⚪️Undecided 34%

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLL🚨

PA SD-46 (Trump +28)

State Senate

🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) [inc] 43%
🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 43%
⚪️Undecided 14%

Governor

🔵Josh Shapiro (D) [inc] 51%
🔴Stacy Garrity (R) 42%
⚪️Undecided 7%

https://t.co/bM03GThpr1

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

Trump Approval

🔴51% Disapprove
🟢47% Approve

Shapiro Approval

🟢53% Approve
🔴40% Disapprove

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨NEW VERMONT POLL🚨

GOVERNOR

🔴Phil Scott (R) [inc] 46%
🔵Amanda Janoo (D) 43%
🟢3rd Parties: 4%
⚪️Undecided 8%

LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR

🔵Molly Gray (D) 59%
🔴Phil Scott (R) [inc] 32%
⚪️Undecided 9%

n=948 | ±3.2 MoE

https://t.co/ALEbYaazkb

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

It's been such a privilege to work with @marywitha4, who was instrumental in helping build State Navigate's plethora of databases. Mary will still at least on our Polling Committee given her expertise, all of us at @StateNavigate wish her the best! Thank you for everything!

[Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot]

State-legislative races are undeservedly flying under the radar this year. @StateNavigate's forecasts suggest there could be major changes in state capitols. https://t.co/rNpVI7YkhG

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

@vtdigger @vermontpublic We're also very happy to coincide this poll with the launch of Vermont Navigate today! Check out our district summary pages, ideology scores, vote rollcall database, and more!

https://t.co/nTh6BGCsxo

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨VERMONT NAVIGATE LAUNCH🚨

We're up in our 17th state, Vermont. We have a forecast, district summary pages, news aggregation up now. Watch out for our Vermont Governor poll dropping in a few hours!

https://t.co/jsFAYntLQ3

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨NEW VERMONT POLL🚨

GOVERNOR

🔴Phil Scott (R) [inc] 46%
🔵Amanda Janoo (D) 43%
🟢3rd Parties: 4%
⚪️Undecided 8%

LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR

🔵Molly Gray (D) 59%
🔴Phil Scott (R) [inc] 32%
⚪️Undecided 9%

n=948 | ±3.2 MoE

https://t.co/ALEbYaazkb

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

CC: @vtdigger @vermontpublic